Thinking about the idea of “living in harmony with nature.”

I tend to 🙄 at this as a romanticization of nature. But there is a sense in which it is a very important goal!

The challenge is that we have to achieve harmony with nature *unilaterally*.
Nature is not even *trying* to live in harmony with us. Nature is completely blind and indifferent to us.

Any “harmony” has to be created by us and us alone.
There are two ways to do that: we can adapt our ways to nature, or we can *make* nature adapt to us.

(There is no opportunity for persuasion, negotiation, or mutual understanding.)
The “wizards” (techno-optimists) and the “prophets” (enviro-pessimists) *might* actually agree on the above.

They differ on how much we can successfully and sustainably make nature adapt to us, and therefore on how much we must adapt to it instead.
The defeatist view is that any time we make nature adapt to us, we're sort of cheating and it's unhealthy/unsustainable. This view always defaults to giving up on such pursuits and adapting our way of life instead.
You can also err in the other direction, complacent optimism: blindly assuming we can successfully adapt nature to ourselves in any given case.

Better to be realistic about our problems without giving up on solving them—a view I've termed “solutionism.” technologyreview.com/2021/07/13/102…
But—is there even a real distinction between adapting ourselves to nature vs. adapting nature to us? Which are we doing when we vaccinate ourselves against diseases? When we fertilize and irrigate our crops?

Even to command nature requires obeying it.
In the end, whether you see an action as adapting nature or adapting ourselves, we are meeting nature *somewhere* in the middle—finding an intersection between the desired and the possible—and it is our agency that initiates and guides the action.
The only difference is one of degree: how much of what we want (food, shelter, comfort, safety, entertainment, connection, etc.) can we actually achieve?
“Adapting ourselves to nature” just means we give up a lot of what we want and settle for something less. “Adapting nature to ourselves” means we achieve more of what we want.
In my view we should never attempt more than is truly possible (which will backfire or break down), but we should also never settle for less than is possible.
The wizard/prophet difference ultimately is one of temperament: deep convictions, a worldview that guide one's intuitions and assumptions about what is possible.
But to the extent that we agree that we want a healthy, sustainable, enjoyable life for human beings, then ultimately how much of that is possible (and for how many humans) ought to be a matter of demonstrable fact. Wizards and prophets should be able to debate on common ground.
(Except to the extent that we *don't* agree on this end goal as common ground—to the extent that the prophets have turned against humanity, seeing us as “a plague upon ourselves and upon the Earth”.)

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More from @jasoncrawford

Nov 27, 2021
A striking chart: Famines by political regime @OurWorldInData ourworldindata.org/famines
@OurWorldInData From the same page: “Amartya Sen famously noted in his 1999 book *Development as Freedom* that ‘there has never been a famine in a functioning multiparty democracy’”
(The @OurWorldInData article notes that “exceptions to this rule can be found – depending on the definition of ‘democracy’ and ‘famine’ being employed”, and discusses them in detail)
Read 11 tweets
Nov 1, 2021
What are some compelling examples of new things we could do with energy abundance—say, 10x (or more) energy usage per capita?
In the 1930s, Winston Churchill (yes, Churchill) predicted that with fusion energy, “Schemes of cosmic magnitude would become feasible. Geography and climate would obey our orders.”

rootsofprogress.org/winston-church…
He also predicted “materials thirty times stronger than the best steel”, engines that carry “fuel for a thousand hours in a tank the size of a fountain-pen”, and farming “without recourse to sunlight”, all based on having enormously abundant energy at incredible energy densities.
Read 6 tweets
Oct 4, 2021
Facebook is down this morning, apparently due to a BGP problem.

What's BGP? It's an absolutely essential but fairly obscure internet protocol. I have a CS degree, but I only know about it because I did a summer internship with @Akamai a very long time ago.

A brief explainer:
One of the more mind-blowing facts about the Internet is that *no one owns or manages all of it*, and there is no central authority keeping track of all of its parts. Authority and responsibility are distributed among a large number of ISPs who manage independent networks.
Each ISP has a map of its own network, so its routing computers can route packets of information internally. But how does information go beyond the confines of one ISP? How does a browser on Comcast talk to a website on AT&T?
Read 15 tweets
Oct 4, 2021
Proposed NYC subway expansion, 1920. Everything in red was proposed to be built by 1945.

Source: NYT, colorized for readability by @Chaos_Boy / @transitmap transitmap.net/ny-subway-expa…
Here's the original, from Oct 3, 1920. The plan was for an additional 830 miles of track over 25 years. The eventual capacity would be 5 billion passengers per year.

timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1…
Said chief engineer Daniel Turner, “the growth of the city will never cease… in twenty-five years the population will be in the neighborhood of 9,000,000, and … the city must speedily provide facilities for the accommodation of an additional 2,000,000 passengers a year.”
Read 8 tweets
Jul 9, 2021
In the 1960s, one of the top concerns of the environmentalist movement was “overpopulation”. Books such as *The Population Bomb* and *Famine 1975!* waged a campaign to sound the alarm.

What happened next: Image
*The Population Bomb*, by Paul and Anne Ehrlich, was particularly defeatist, opening with:

“The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s… hundreds of millions of people are going to starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now.”
In 1970, Paul Ehrlich said: “When you reach a point where you realize further efforts will be futile, you may as well look after yourself and your friends and enjoy what little time you have left. That point for me is 1972.”

books.google.com/books?id=pwsAA…
Read 12 tweets
Jun 30, 2021
Cars are one of the most amazing and wonderful inventions in all of history. They serve us. They connect us. They liberate us.

The future should have lots more cars. Self-driving cars. Flying cars. Space cars! Cars are fantastic.
Nothing else:

* Takes you directly from origin to destination
* Is available instantly on-demand
* Can carry a family and/or packages
* Protects you from the elements
* Is safe to use at night and in all weather

For convenience, practicality, and safety, cars are unbeatable.
Cities should absolutely be designed around cars! Not as an exclusive consideration, but as one of the top considerations.

A city that is unfriendly to cars is a bad city.
Read 31 tweets

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