(1) "The second man appeared to be in his 50's or early 60's, had a long grey beard, was wearing a worn puffy jacket, had a larger frame, and was around 6 feet in height"
- Tom Sowinski, The Avery's newspaper delivery man
(2) In John Ferak's patch.com article, that broke this story, we also found out:
"The man with Bobby Dassey moving the RAV-4, Zellner said, looked to be at least 6-feet-tall and, he had a beard between 8 inches to 12 inches long."
- Michael Osmunson (too young)
- Chuck Avery (wrong build)
- Scott Tadych (unlikely)
- Alan Avery (possibly)
- Earl Avery (possibly)
- Osmunson's Dad or Uncle (possibly)
- Someone associated with the gun dealer phone call (possibly)
- Other (possibly)
(4) Among the Avery gang and Scott Tadych, Alan Avery is the most likely suspect, unless a disguise was used, or the person shaved off the beard after being seen.
Someone should have noticed that.
(5) Michael Osmunson's dad, Ozzie, fits the description, but this picture is current, not from 2005. Back then he was too young.
(6) Michael Osmunson's uncle, Don Osmunson, was born in 1944, and would have been 61 in 2005. He lived directly across the street from Michael on Nuclear Road in Mishicot. He no longer owns the house, as of 2020.
(7) A lead came in over twitter suggesting the gun dealer's name was Kevin Hansen. The lead showed a picture that I believe is actually Duane "Ozzy" Osmunson in 2017 or so. This is very preliminary.
(8) I did find a current picture of a Kevin Hansen, working in Sheboygan, WI. The name is fairly common, so this is not a probable lead.
(9) @ZellnerLaw is no longer soliciting leads on the Gray Beard man. I suspect they have identified the person with some certainty.
I apologize that I have no idea who it was.
(10) ETA: I found notes, and I had ruled out Kevin Hansen from Sheboygan. Here's another picture of Duane "Ozzy" Osmunson circa 2017 or so (left). He does match the photo that was original attributed to Kevin Hansen (right).
(11) From the collaboration of the false alibis, and the lies they both told about their whereabouts on 10/31/2005, we know Bobby Dassey and Scott Tadych engaged in a conspiracy.
It's possible the man with Bobby pushing the RAV4 was Scott Tadych, maybe disguised.
(12) Alan Avery may also be a person of interest. He was old enough at the time, and did sport a variety of beards. Bobby Dassey was grand kin; that could have made a difference.
(13) Perhaps the most likely gray beard is someone we just haven't heard about.
If the conspiracy goes beyond Tadych and Bobby, we just didn't get enough investigation to know the facts.
(14) ETA: I think @Joriz74 put this exhibit together, which shows flyover video that corroborates Tom Sowinski's affidavit.
I've enlarged the middle and bottom pictures on the right, so you can see the tire tracks. The arrows go above the tire tracks.
(15) @Joriz74 has corrected me. @MKUniversoul provided this analysis of the flyover video and Tom Sowinski's affidavit. Thanks so much MKU, and sorry for the misattribution.
(1) Video from behind Charlie Kirk shows that crowd near Charlie new displayed an "Acoustic Startle Response" during the high powered rifle shot, suggesting it was not shot at Charlie, but over the top of them.
(2) Background:
When a supersonic projectile passes nearby, it produces a shock wave that propagates a loud crack perpendicular to its conic front.
(3) That shock wave arrives at the target with the bullet. For people nearby the shockwave will be delayed, roughly by their distance from the shockwave divided by the speed of sound.
Sniper Hide in FG 201A (Jamb Bore Vector)
Link:
Why top: Warfighter tags (@ZebBoykin, @ValhallaVFT) sparked replies; the repurposed diagram and wound correction got Zeb's like on a related reply.
@ZebBoykin @ValhallaVFT (3) Top Threads by @39Magilla
Directional Analysis Overlay (Losee Center Supersonic Origin)
Link:
Why top: @MichaKobs collab on the plot/map tie-in pulled in mapping nerds; solid follow to the hide thread.
(1) Does the Disabled Veterans National Foundation (DVNF) T-Shirt Scream "Blind Meet"?
(2) When people meet on the Internet and then decide to rendezvous, they often use their clothing to identify themselves - a "Blind Meet".
Tyler Robinson's T-shirt was not inconspicuous, but it may have been the signal to the person that lured him to the Losee Center roof.
(3) But get this: Yesterday's X buzz exploded when Ryder Corral (that 19-y.o. TPUSA memorial trasher) got pinched in the exact same eagle-flag black long-sleeve—down to the gold accents—while chucking Kirk tributes in Phoenix.
(1) Deep Dive: AI Enhanced Photo of the potential shooter in Room 201A of the Brandon D. Fugal Gateway (FG) Building
(2) Viral @RangeDayBro video tried to locate the Sniper who shot Charlie Kirk in the right side.
That video, shared with others, had a frame that showed a suspicious person in Room 201A of the Fugal Gateway (FG) Building.
@RangeDayBro (3) This is an AI Enhanced view of the suspicious figure alone in Room 201A of the Brandon D. Fugal Gateway (FG) Building during the Charlie Kirk Event:
(2) Unlike the theoretical and exposed sniper positions proposed in earlier theories, Brandon D. Fugal Gateway (FG) Building, Room 201A had a lone occupant during the rally.
(3) Repurposing this diagram developed by @Discordeus, I've added the shot vector from FG Room 20A to the photo and an indication of the entry vector on the victim.