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Benjy Sarlin Profile picture
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Feb 4 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Yet another jobs report where the topline is way off expectations and the revisions explain why the previous one that was way off expectations was actually just inaccurate
Why do we do this to ourselves
May just have to pin that last tweet
I mean ffs

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More from @BenjySarlin

Benjy Sarlin Profile picture
Feb 4
10 years this week since Linsanity! My best ever take as a reporter wasn’t about politics, it was that @JLin7 would blow up. In fact, I pitched a rare non-politics profile of him and had an interview pending just weeks before. Then Knicks PR killed it when he joined the team. Image
My very-2011 pitch to editors was “This guy’s going to be the next Tim Tebow.” He’d been badly undervalued as a player because of his ethnic background and Ivy degree. And I knew so many kids of Asian immigrants growing up in NY who balled and would get where he was coming from.
Linsanity was the single best sports experience of my life by far. And the Knicks letting him walk was the only time I actually thought I was done with the team forever. I got League Pass, figured why not try being a Rockets fan? They’re lucky they were so good that year…
Read 5 tweets
Benjy Sarlin Profile picture
Feb 2
One thing that leaps out to me about Whoopigate is that discussing race (especially in non-US contexts) is often confusing because so much of it is arbitrary categories that were designed by one group to justify subjugating another group. They don't make sense for a reason.
The philosopher Charles Mills, who popularized a lot of today's conversation about "white supremacy," also wrote the "white" part was an accident of history since Europe dominated the world and developed a set of racial beliefs mostly to rationalize their actions after the fact.
Mills argues the same racist formula always can (and has been) tweaked to justify new atrocities. Nazis devised a hierarchy to target Jews, Slavs and Gypsies on explicit racial grounds. Japan, a nonwhite colonial empire, used racial theory to justify atrocities in Korea and China
Read 5 tweets
Benjy Sarlin Profile picture
Jan 31
It's fine to question research, seek out opposing viewpoints, test alternative theories, the reason it's dumb to carry on with this w/ vaccines is you have ongoing realtime evidence from literally billions of people all over the entire world and it all keeps saying the same thing
On the one hand, you have more than 10 billion doses distributed in a short period and public and private sources from a wide array of countries with divergent interests and cultures everywhere putting out research and data. On the other, you heard from a guy.
In order to pretend THIS much evidence isn't true, you don't need to just find alternate evidence, you need to create an entire conspiracy worldview and build a cult around it to maintain it. Which is exactly what's happening.
Read 5 tweets
Benjy Sarlin Profile picture
Jan 31
Ye olde thread
I think a lot of the "We believe in SCIENCE" discourse is poisoned by basic misunderstandings about what it is: A process. Especially in a new situation, it's awaiting research, then interpretations, then real world verification, then new research, etc etc etc
This is easily exploited, because you can always point to old findings or interpretations being wrong or inconclusive or superseded by new evidence and cherry pick which to emphasize. But that's how it's supposed to work. Truth is a continuous verification process.
Read 5 tweets
Benjy Sarlin Profile picture
Jan 25
So I think this is missing the issue. BBB individually is all popular poll-tested vanilla policies. The strategy to PASS it has been a disaster that’s done grievous damage because of Schumer’s decision not to pick a combo of policies Manchinema signaled support on first.
Indeed, Manchin and Sinema seem fairly flexible as to which spending polices even go into it since they’re mostly not very controversial. The main barrier is the overall cost and structure. That’s all on leadership and WH.
There’s a plausible strategic explanation: “Let’s aim higher than they wanted on BBB and then pressure them to come closer to our number.” But if it’s January and you’re begging them to even consider their July offer again, it’s a self-evident failure on substance and tactics.
Read 6 tweets
Benjy Sarlin Profile picture
Jan 23
This is the latest in a long series, “Biden is actually saying the thing pundits constantly say he should say and it probably doesn't matter all that much”
Previous editions include “why won’t Biden clearly say schools should stay open”
Obama had a bunch of these, “why won’t he do X?” moments in which he, in fact, had done X. It’s not as simple as saying some magic words to turn around approval or make a story stick. Requires sustained effort and usually is just drowned out by bigger events.
Read 5 tweets

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