Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 1/

The FBI raided Giuliani's office in April 2021. Took 18 devices. The Special Master read all 28,000 files, kept only a handful protected as 'client-attorney privilege' while handing rest to federal prosecutors

I am CERTAIN Rudy will be arrested
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 2/

Who am I to say? I am a professional forecaster (in the tech & media industries, have written 12 bestselling books etc)

I am also one of most accurate forecasters in politics for more than a decade here on Twitter. I have a track record.. :-)
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 3/

No forecaster can get every forecast correctly. That is impossible in the forecasting business. We try to be more right than wrong

But sometimes we KNOW something will happen (like say Nokia will collapse in 2011 or Trump will lose in 2020)..
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 4/

It was not a 'bold' prediction to say Trump will lose in 2020, even Mitch McTurtle knew that in the SUMMER of 2020 when he trolled Trump with the tan suit. Trump knew. That was when Trump started to pimp himself out as Spokesman for Goya Beans
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 5/

Most forecasts (by professional forecasters) have margins of error, how LIKELY is this forecast to happen. It is 90% likely that x happens, or 70% likely that y, or 95% likely that z

It is 100% certain Giuliani is arrested

I will tell you why
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 6/

We KNOW Rudy Giuliani committed a series of federal crimes so severe, they carry decades of prison time, or Life Sentences or even the Death Sentence. Including
Ukraine (Trump)
Ukraine (Putin)
Big Lie (Arizona, Georgia etc)
Voting Machines
Jan 6
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 7/

We not only saw Giuliani commit these crimes, live, when they happened. We saw Rudy CONFESS some of these crimes on TV

We saw his client, Trump confess some of these crimes, and implicate Rudy in them. There is no doubt Rudy Colludy is guilty
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 8/

Over the past 13 months we have seen various documents with Rudy's involvement. All this tells us, yes, Rudy is guilty

Why do I KNOW he will be arrested?

It has NOTHING to do with January 6th, or Georgia or Arizona Big Lie, or Voting Machines
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 9/

Something RARE happened, legally to the notorious serial butt-dialer and alleged attorney, Rudy Giuliani

His office was raided by the FBI. A lawyer's office was raided. That takes EXCEPTIONAL ruling by a Federal judge. It is VERY RARE
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 10/

The previous time we saw this happen, was with Michael Cohen office, raided by FBI. He was convicted, pleaded guilty, sentenced to prison

I know for a FACT Rudy Giuliani will also be arrested, tried, convicted & sent to prison. Because...
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 11/

There are THREE conditions for a Federal judge to authorize an FBI raid of the legally protected sanctuary of a lawyer's office and that lawyer's files. When we understand this, we see Rudy will CERTAINLY be arrested, tried, convicted to prison
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 12/

The prosecutors have to CONVINCE a Judge, that at that lawyer's office (or home, or on his digital devices) there is EVIDENCE of a crime. They have to be explicit, what kind of evidence & what crime. They cannot go look for it. It must be there
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 13/

The evidence of the crime, in the attorney's possession must be such, that it exists NOWHERE ELSE. Because of the sanctity of an attorney's files, the Judge will refuse any search warrant, if that same evidence exists ALSO at another place
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 14/

So for example, if Trump has a copy of that digital file, or Lev Parnas has it - the Judge will say the prosecutors have to subpoena Trump or Lev, but are NOT ALLOWED to raid an attorney's office

So we KNOW, Rudy had UNIQUE evidence of a crime
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 15/

Thirdly, prosecutors have to CONVINCE the Judge, that this attorney is so crooked, attorney will not deliver the evidence if a subpoena is served on the attorney (and typically prove, this attorney is so crooked, is willing to destroy evidence)
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 16/

IGNORE January 6th, and everything that happened around the election. The FBI wanted to raid Rudy Giuliani in SUMMER of 2020

So this crime, for which Rudy holds the ONLY existing evidence, happened BEFORE summer of 2020 (likely in 2019)
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 17/

To be clear, Bill Barr corruptly blocked the raid of Giuliani

The moment Garland took over, as Attorney General, he approved this raid of Giuliani in April 2021. That should lay to rest any doubts Garland is somehow protecting Trump or Rudy
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 18/

Because of the PROCESS the DOJ had to go through, with a Federal Judge, to approve raid of Rudy Giuliani offices, we KNOW, in summer of 2020, Feds KNEW, there exists UNIQUE evidence in Rudy's possession, of a crime. Now the Feds have it
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 19/

What if they found 'nothing'. That is not possible, because of the Rudy Giuliani freak out, in late 2021. He begged for the Judge to order Rudy's phones to be DESTROYED, rather than let prosecutors see what was on them
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 20/

We know from court documents, Rudy had been under FBI wiretap all through his election crimes - that carry MULTIPLE LIFE SENTENCES WITHOUT PAROLE - and we JUST learned, Rudy was SO AWARE of the danger of prison on this venture, he WARNED Trump
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 21/

When Rudy KNEW, he had committed MULTIPLE crimes so bad, he faces MULTPLE prison sentences of Life Without Parole on his NEW CRIMES

Rudy still feared feds seeing the SERIOUS crimes on his phones, so much, he begged for phones to be destroyed
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 22/

Rudy had been wiretapped during Jan 6th. He will be sentenced to multiple Life sentences on those wiretap phone call evidence alone, as are his co-traitor Republicans who spoke with Rudy

What the FBI raided from Rudy is MORE SEVERE than that
Giuliani Pending Arrest Thread 23/

It is CERTAIN Rudy Giuliani will be arrested, convicted for crimes facing CENTURIES in prison

I do not know WHEN he will be arrested. With Michael Cohen it took 5 days after this same Special Master finished. With Rudy it has now been 15 days

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More from @tomiahonen

Oct 15, 2023
GAG ORDER THREAD

On Monday Judge Chutkan in DC (Jack Smith 2) case will hold a hearing about putting a gag order on Herr Hezbollah, the nation's Terrorist-In-Chief. Trump was under protective order. He breached it many times. So this is now his 'final warning'

Let's do a Thread Image
GAG ORDER THREAD/2

Don't look at me like that! This is JUSTICE. It is EXACTLY the same legal standard that would apply to you and me. Nothing more, nothing less. Trump is a FIRST TIME OFFENDER; has NEVER been convicted of any crime (yet). He was put on a 'protective order' FIRST Image
GAG ORDER THREAD/3

Then Trump repeatedly broke that protective order. We WITNESSED IT LIVE on TV and on social media, REPEATEDLY

But the Judge CANNOT do anything about it. Until she is FORMALLY told by the prosecution. She CANNOT do anything yet. It would be same for you and me Image
Read 17 tweets
Oct 14, 2023
Justice IS COMING

We certainly feel it was taking too long. In reality this is about par for the course, in some ways FASTER than normal, for such a large criminal conspiracy. Timing is similar to Watergate

FIRST of PLANNERS of Jan 6 go to trial, in Georgia in two weeks !!!
Image
So January 6th, 2021 was two years and 9 months ago. Over 1,000 of the violent mob have been caught, over half prosecuted, and prison sentences for those running up to more than a decade in prison. That is justice

The ORGANIZERS of the Jan 6th plot are Trump, the Seditious Six.. Image
The ORGANIZERS of Jan 6 are
Trump
Seditious Six (Giuliani, Flynn etc)
Evil Eleven of Congress (Gosar, Gym, Gaetz etc)
and a handful others (Roger Stone, Bannon etc)
They are ALL CAUGHT

Jack Smith STARTED to prosecute the organizers. Look who he has as WITNESSES to this crime Image
Read 10 tweets
Oct 12, 2023
Trump calls Hezbollah "very smart" for their terrorist attack? Same Senile Man called Putin smart for invading Ukraine. And called murdering dictators MBS and Kim Jong Un smart

Meanwhile Trump has called HIS OWN CABINET and HIS OWN GENERALS idiots & stupid

Ok, Trumpo, I'm game
Let's get Trump opinions by HIS OWN Generals:

General Mattis: Trump's not mature, a 5th grader
General McMaster: he's a dope, kindergartner idiot
Colonel Esper: irresponsible
General Milley: crazy
General Hytin: an idiot
General Kelly: Trump's crazy, an unhinged idiot

Next... Image
Then let's ask Trump White House staff, people Trump selected:

VP Pence: Trump is reckless
CoS 1 Priebus: he's an idiot
CoS 2 (Kelly, in above)
CoS 3 Mulvaney: terrible human being, a clown show
CoS 4 Meadows: Trump is worthless
SoS Tillerson: he's a fucking moron

and more... Image
Read 7 tweets
Oct 11, 2023
New York New York Thread /1

Trump was massively embarrassed in New York, and that trial still continues. But this incident (Trump sitting in NY court for 3 days and then bailed) exposes insight into how incredibly stupid, and self-destructive Trump is

Let's do a Thread Image
New York New York Thread /2

So what happened? Trump sat in the civil trial - he is NOT required to be there (he must attend all criminal trials which start in March 2024). He feuded with the judge, got hit with a gag order, then stormed out of New York. Let's see how dumb it was Image
New York New York Thread /3

Donald the Duck McTrump's whole brand is based on the carefully constructed fake illusion, that he is somehow a 'billionaire'. WE know he is not. That Trump is a fake, a con-artist, living on other people's money. But his SUPPORTERS believe that lie Image
Read 16 tweets
Oct 3, 2023
What happens next? The House cannot conduct any other business until it has selected a new House Speaker. The GOP is in civil war. It may be chaos for a while. Most likely they find a suitable Republican Speaker

DEMs do not have votes for DEM Speaker

BUT DEMs could make a deal Image
If a slice of Republicans (as few as 6) ally with DEMs, then that alliance could select (a Republican) speaker

Realistically the most logical such choice is an EX House Republican, like Liz Cheney

Because of GOP civil war, DEMs have leverage now Image
This is the deal I suggest:

DEMs make deal for ANY Republican who they can trust (like Liz Cheney, Kinzinger) where promise is 2 House Votes every week. One vote on legislation provided by GOP, the other vote legislation provided by DEMs. Both will get a floor vote each week Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 1, 2023
Flipper Thread/1

With Friday's bombshell news in court filing by Jack Smith of 3 more prosecution witnesses - now just about as big as they come - let's do a Thread about the flippers in Trump's life, the rats who all testify under oath, in criminal courts, against Trump Image
Flipper Thread/2

Trump committed an act of insurgency against America. That word is rarely used. The legal EFFECT is the same as 'treason'. Trump committed a crime which is essentially as bad as treason

So who does Jack Smith have as a witness? Trump's OWN Attorney General Barr Image
Flipper Thread/3

Bill Barr was not just the nation's top lawyer, as Attorney General, when this plot was first hatched - Barr learned of the idea - and TOLD TRUMP IT IS ILLEGAL. That is what Barr will testify under oath. That Trump KNEW this plot is illegal

But it gets worse Image
Read 24 tweets

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