When you thought you found a generational arb opportunity then realized you calculated the probabilities wrong and now instead of being a rich genius you’re a poor moron. 
Absolutely gut-wrenching tbh. Jumped out of my chair and was hyped af for a whole 15 minutes. Feels almost as bad as being liquidated 😭
PAIN
For the record it’s still +EV but nowhere near what I initially (incorrectly) calculated
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