⚫️ Vaccine effectiveness versus hospitalization continues to remain strong now that Omicron is dominant in New York State
While I cannot sit and write 3000, here’s a few: Vaccines work. The COVID-19 vaccines are extremely effective at preventing serious illness, hospitalization, AND death.
Comparing the rates of COVID-19 hospitalization between fully-vaccinated and unvaccinated people using age-adjusted vaccine effectiveness, fully-vaccinated New Yorkers remain strongly protected against COVID-19 hospitalization.
Across the time period of analysis, fully-vaccinated New Yorkers had between an 90.2% and 95.8% LOWER chance of being hospitalized with COVID-19, compared to unvaccinated New Yorkers.
Effectiveness against laboratory-confirmed infections is high (~80%), but lower than against COVID-19 hospitalization. THIS is why it is always important to look at real-world data outside of lab collected data.
In this analysis, fully-vaccinated is defined as an individual who:
•Has received one of the three vaccines currently authorized by the FDA: Pfizer-BioNTech, Moderna, and Janssen/Johnson & Johnson.
•Is 14 days or more past the final dose of their original 2-dose
(Pfizer-BioNTech, Moderna) or 1-dose (Janssen/Johnson & Johnson) series.
•Fully-vaccinated people may have received additional or booster doses, which are NOT specifically accounted for in this analysis.
•For the purposes of this analysis, cases are defined at the person-level (1 case per person) and hospital admissions are defined at the event-level (multiple admissions with COVID-19 possible per person).
“Please note that grey shading has been applied to recent weeks for which data are still accruing, with a darker grey representing data with the largest amount of uncertainty. Estimates in darker grey are likely an undercount and are subject to most change."
Also, for those who are asking about Israel, as I am usually asked on every post of mine. The data STILL supports vaccines. Keep in mind Israel is 66% fully vaccinated. Please see: haaretz.com/israel-news/om…
“The ongoing >89% effectiveness against hospitalization is consistent with the results of the original vaccine clinical trials’ results, which showed protection from severe COVID-19 disease at these levels. Taken together these results demonstrate that vaccines continue to be-
highly-effective at protecting New York residents from infection and hospitalization with COVID-19. Put simply, these outcomes are occurring among vaccinated people, but at levels far lower than among unvaccinated people, because vaccines work.”
This information comes directly from New York State COVID-19 Breakthrough Data for current estimates of cases and hospitalizations by vaccine status, and vaccine effectiveness and is PER 100,000. coronavirus.health.ny.gov/covid-19-break…
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Rates of COVID-19 Cases and Deaths by Vaccination Status per the CDC:
Unvaccinated: 1,174 cases per 100k
Vaccinated: 512 cases per 100k
Boosted: 305 cases per 100k
Unvaccinated: 9.7 deaths per 100k
Vaccinated: 0.7 deaths per 100k
Boosted: 0.1 deaths per 100k
Source for information above can be found here:
•covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tra…
Data posted on January 21st. You can find breakdowns by age group and vaccine product here as well.
Summary:
•People who were unvaccinated had a greater risk of testing positive for COVID-19 and a greater risk of dying from COVID-19 than people who were fully vaccinated
•Unvaccinated people in all age groups had higher case and death rates than fully vaccinated people
Just a friendly reminder. If you test positive for SARS-COV-2 after being vaccinated and are experiencing mild symptoms or even no symptoms at all?
Congratulations.
Your vaccine worked.
The term infection refers to the virus entering and being detectable in your system regardless of whether OR NOT it makes you sick, whereas the term illness refers to the virus entering, being detectable in your system AND making you sick. It it important not to conflate the two.
“The first thing to know about the COVID-19 vaccines is that they’re doing exactly what they were designed and authorized to do. Since the vaccines first started their rollout, rates of COVID-19 disease have taken an unprecedented plunge among the immunized.”
Just a friendly reminder. Despite what you might hear, there has yet to be a variant that isn’t susceptible to the vaccines.
The term infection refers to the virus entering and being detectable in your system regardless of whether OR NOT it makes you sick, whereas the term illness refers to the virus entering, being detectable in your system AND making you sick. It it important not to conflate the two.
In regards to BA.2. Per @tuliodna, WHO stated:
•There’s NO evidence of a difference in severity between BA.2 & BA.1 (BOTH are Omicron)
•BA.2 is more transmissible than BA.1 BUT the gap is smaller than between Omicron & Delta
•Vaccines are EQUALLY effective against BA.1 & BA.2
Them: The COVID-19 vaccines don’t work. The majority of hospitalizations are fully vaccinated.
Me: Base Rate Fallacy would like a word with you.
Let’s try something. Most people get this question wrong. Can you solve it? A town has only two colours of car: 85% are blue and 15% are green. A person witnesses a hit-and-run and says they saw a green car. If witnesses identify the colour of cars correctly 80% of the time, what
are the chances the car is actually green? You might have said 80%. A lot of people do. The correct answer is 41%. The reason so many struggle with this question is due to the Base Rate Fallacy. Our brains tend to ignore statistical information (aka base rates) and focus on
Omicron meet Portugal, one of the world’s most vaccinated nations. Portugal has vaccinated ~90% of its total population. 🇵🇹
Don’t tell me vaccines don’t work.
NOTE: This graphic has now been UPDATED to reflect data AS OF January 29th, 2022.
Omicron hit Portugal in November, leading to an increase in cases. “Vaccination has been effective against it. That's why we have a much lower number of hospitalisations, fewer people in ICU and deaths.” -Prime Minister Antonio Costa reuters.com/business/healt…