I think it's in poor form for @ScienceAdvances to have published this latest piece by EcoHealth/Daszak et al. without asking them to elaborate on how exactly they will work on improving the safety + transparency of virus discovery work.
h/t @TheSeeker268 science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…
@ScienceAdvances@TheSeeker268 "... for viral discovery, we chose to use the proposed budget of the Global Virome Project, a decade-long project that seeks to identify 70% of the unknown potentially zoonotic viruses in wildlife globally. It has an estimated budget of $120 million to $340 million per year."
@ScienceAdvances@TheSeeker268 I'd really like to know if any of the peer reviewers challenged this claim in the paper:
"Humanity needs a global viral discovery project if we are to prevent future pandemics."
How did all the virus discovery work in the past decade help to prevent pandemics?
"In relation to primary prevention, this library would help target where activities should be focused geographically."
But SARS2 popped up in Central China, not South China or SE Asia where the scientists thought there was a risk of SARSrCoV spillover after all their research.
"Identifying rare and potentially more virulent viruses will require more extensive sampling of host populations"
Do any of these scientists understand that this current pandemic might've emerged exactly because of this type of research?
This is the only line in the entire paper that expresses some awareness of the enormous mistake made in past virus hunting work:
"As with the genomes of newly found viruses, the information obtained must be made nonproprietary and available to scientists from all nations"
Me: the mission was to collect all the viruses in the wild and use it to help prevent pandemics.. this is a pandemic. So why didn't they share that database with other scientists so they could figure out how dangerous this virus, where did it come from? transcripts.cnn.com/show/csr/date/…
GUPTA: What is the status of that database now? Have you been able now then as a member of this WHO team or in any capacity to look at that data?
DASZAK: No.
GUPTA: That sounds concerning, Peter, if it is as serious and we're trying to be as thorough as possible...
Their strategy seems to be asking for even more money without demonstrating any benefits, without acknowledging the glaring problems in their plan, and without demonstrating accountability for past behavior.
Some people, including scientists surprisingly, see peer-reviewed articles as guaranteed high quality scientific content.
If you've been in research for some years, you understand that peer review can only go so far. Many papers like the one above make it through peer review.
Problem is that then scientists and journalists feel more confident about citing the peer-reviewed article above as justification for more money for virus hunting.
Even if you think this pandemic that has killed millions only had a 1% chance of starting due to virus hunting work, @ScienceAdvances should at least solicit a paper describing the risks of research-related outbreaks and steps to make virus discovery more transparent and safe.
@ScienceAdvances I'm interested to see if any natural origin proponents raise issues with this paper and call for safer and more transparent virus hunting + manipulation in laboratories around the world.
If they consider a lab #OriginOfCovid possible, they should advocate for safer virus work.
@ScienceAdvances Some prominent natural #OriginOfCovid proponents already said in 2018 that virus hunting is "of little practical value when it comes to understanding and mitigating the emergence of disease."
But they didn't write about the risks of virus hunting.
Now that we know virus hunting is of little practical value for predicting & preventing outbreaks, AND could also lead to catastrophic outbreaks, shouldn't there be more peer-reviewed articles evaluating the risks vs benefits and proposing new rules + oversight structures?
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It troubles me that there are emails and documents located here in the USA which can tell us what SARS-like viruses and rare cleavage sites scientists in Wuhan had discovered.
Why are these not being subpoena'ed so that we can end speculation about #OriginOfCovid?
I keep seeing tweets about not being able to investigate the #OriginOfCovid unless the Chinese government lets us. If you think it through, there is so much info, documentation & communications scattered around the world. A lot of it here in the USA. We've known this since 2020.
The numerous scientists, many here in the US and some in other countries, who were part of the DEFUSE proposal just kept mum about their 2018 furin cleavage site insertion pipeline for nearly 2 years until some anonymous person leaked it.
I'm grateful for the growing number of scientists and science reporters who are advocating for a credible investigation of both natural and lab #OriginOfCovid hypotheses.
People in the future need to be able to look back and see that some scientists have integrity & courage.
Knowing that there are checks and balances in our research system (including its funding, publication, and media reporting), and people to actually enforce those checks and balances, builds the bedrock of public trust in science.
If the #OriginOfCovid is traced to research activities, it would make me most relieved if scientists played a prominent role in investigating and determining the origin - and not in covering it up or suppressing an investigation out of self-preservation or fear.
I'm concerned about the SAGO process of figuring out how to track the #OriginOfCovid because apparently one of the experts in the original China-WHO team didn't know that viruses are cultured at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.
It's likely because of my own network, but most of the people who have expressed concerns to me about a lab #OriginOfCovid and want it to be properly investigated are scientists (pro-science) and democrats/liberals.
Reporters & people describing the #OriginOfCovid issue (~6 million deaths & counting) as a political game where each side is betting on one origin should be ashamed of themselves.
The inquiry into #OriginOfCovid should be motivated by facts not one's wishes or tribalism.
Telegraph reports Jeremy Farrar, Wellcome Trust director, said the lab leak theory ruined international co-operation and shut the door on identifying animal origins..
Farrar added: “If we now focus only on the lab side of this and we ignore the natural side, then we will miss the emergence of new pathogens which could be so disruptive to humanity.”
Not sure if Farrar was lucid in the past 2 years but the lab side was the side ignored.
Look at these monies invested into new centers for research in emerging infectious diseases!
Is there something equivalent for centers for research in preventing lab-based outbreaks? niaid.nih.gov/news-events/ni…
2 years post-pandemic I think we can largely agree on the following regarding #OriginOfCovid:
1. No direct evidence for or against any particular origin hypothesis has been found.
2. Likely or not, lab origin is plausible & should be investigated, not ruled out prematurely.
And hopefully also:
3. Regardless of whether #OriginOfCovid was natural or lab-related, we need to immediately develop and enforce new regulation, with measurable and publicly reported outcomes, to make risky virus research way more transparent and safer.
Scientists arguing over whether it's a 5% or 50% chance that Covid-19 came from a lab, instead of calling for an investigation + new regulation, are missing the point that the scientific community should already be acting to reduce that % chance of a lab-based pandemic down to 0.