Here is an indispensable piece of work to understand the global dynamics of environmental pressures. Thomas Wiedmann & Manfred Lenzen in @NatureGeosci.
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In a globalised economy, many processes of production scatter through complex, international supply chains. To calculate the footprint of one single country, one must keep track of all the impacts its consumption has abroad.
This article is a review of the empirical literature that has looked at the environmental and social impacts embodied in international trade.
I often hear that high-income countries have clean air because of technology and environmental awareness. In fact, they do mostly because they outsource their most pollutive productions abroad.
This pattern repeats itself for other environmental impacts. For example, 50% of the biodiversity footprint of developed economies happens outside of their borders.
If it looks like the EU has a sustainable use of water, it's because 80% of the water scarcity situations its consumption creates happen in other countries.
Here is a case of 'decoupling through burden shifting': high-income nations pride themselves in using less materials domestically, but this happens at the expense of using more materials in countries who export products to the global North.
Similar patterns also exist for social impacts. For exemple, many rich nations have a high 'inequality footprint' because they import products from countries with very low wages.
One way of visualising these patterns is to look at the average physical distance of a national footprint, which becomes a measure of how much of the national social-environmental burden is shifted to other countries.
Take-home message: the green growth of rich nations is often a mirage caused by narrow indicators. When looking at the global picture, the illusion of decoupling disappears.
Karma moment in science. Two weeks ago, @IvanVSavin & @ProfJeroenBergh published a (flawed) review of the degrowth literature arguing that there were « very few studies using formal modelling ». This week, Lauer et al. published a study showing that this is wrong. đ§”
Systematically reviewing the literature from 2000 to 2023, Arthur Lauer and his colleagues identify 75Â modelling studies.
Savin and van den Bergh (2024) argue that « the fraction of studies undertaking modelling or data analysis fluctuates in the range of 0-15% over tiem shows no clear trend » (p.3). Wrong again.
Today is Black Friday, a nonsensical ritual invented by for-profit businesses for the sole sake of moneymaking. By shopping today, you are willingly enriching a small class of business-owning super-polluters who bath in ecosystem-killing profits.
The top 10% richest humans own 76% of world wealth and generate 50% of all carbon emissions. The footprint of the world top 1% equals the one of the poorest 66% of humanity.
We are told that consuming forever more is part of human nature. Bullshit. The seemingly inescapable rat-race for positional prestige is constructed by an army of influencers, growth hackers, and ads designers. Read it again: the destruction of life on Earth is designed.
Of course that's your contention. You're an economist who just heard about degrowth. You just got finished reading some quick-and-dirty critique â the latest piece in The Economist probably â and youâre convinced that degrowth is unnecessary because we can green growth.
Youâre gonna be convinced of that âtil next month when you read "Decoupling Debunked", then youâre going to admit that decoupling has never happened in the past but youâll say that it could sure happen in the future.
Thatâs going to last until next year when youâll be regurgitating Andrew McAfee, Sam Fankhauser, or Alessio Terzi about how price signals and technological progress can solve any environmental issue.
Summary of my talk at the #BeyondGrowth conference on the impossibility of green growth and the necessity of degrowth. đ§”
There is a rumour that is picking up speed in the media, affirming that it is possible to both produce more while polluting less. Some people call it âgreen growth.â
This rumour is not only a rumour, it is also a belief deeply embedded within our current environmental strategies. Problem: The idea of an economic growth fully decoupled from nature is scientifically baseless and it is distracting us from more effective transition strategies.