I am *very* tired of seeing 1/6 type stuff play out and then watching folks try and imagine like Russia or some secret far right institute masterminded the whole thing in a complex plot.
It ignores the chaos and lets the US participants and organizers off the hook.
What usually happens is that propagandists throw shit (like these Facebook groups) at the wall & see what sticks.
Then, astroturfers build on that theme and organize their contacts on the ground to pretend to be the new fresh-faced grassroots supposedly galvanized by the issue.
In Philly, I could give you a list of names of who those usual suspects are.
Rarely are there actually new faces, new folks galvanized by the latest issue.
That's not what it looks like with this.
There's still a clear inorganic propagandic push, but it's being met with genuine grassroots energy.
The astroturf networks will no doubt be present, but this isn't just them once again faking a new grassroots-led outrage.
The astroturfers will show, but this is already moving without them putting on the usual puppet show.
There is some genuine grassroots energy already there, without them needing to fake it.
Like, I'm watching people in the suburbs making offline meet-up plans.
That's... really bad.
And we can acknowledge that some shady shit is moving behind the scenes on this without saying "oh it's just the evil Russians again, not anyone from my neighborhood."
Folks, these really are our neighbors.
There really are a lot of people in the US eager to sign on and get involved on this copycat convoy stuff.
It's not just bots and Putin fronts moving this along. Not anymore.
We live in a white supremacist country, a lot of white supremacists are emboldened, and they really want a do-over on 1/6.
Putin didn't need to talk them into it.
They're just racist reactionaries itching for a fight.
They're excited about this, and even if it flops, it's a way for them to build relationships and connect.
Those are networks they will draw on in the future, whenever the next major fascist insurrection effort comes (and it likely will).
If it isn't clear, this is *worse* than some Putin distraction op, precisely because it has grassroots energy.
Disinfo networks are always trying ops, most of them never go anywhere or attract people outside of astroturf land.
This is different, and that is a bad thing.
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Truly wild how many lies and inaccuracies Andy Ngo can cram into three little paragraphs.
Let's count them (thread):
1) I'm not a member of Philadelphia Antifa.
I'm an antifascist, and they're lovely people in my experience.
But yeah, no, the fact that some Sputh Philly racist once told a radio host I was part of some secret Barack Obama Antifa plot is, um. Not actually fact, lol.
2) I'm not a fat rights activist.
Never have been, have never called myself that.
It's good, liberatory work, but it isn't work I do.
This is just Andy calling me fat and then presenting it as journalism.
Yeah, I don't know Canada well enough to say for sure, but my sense is that there was a lot of astroturfing there.
For the US, propaganda networks encouraged the idea of a US convoy, grassroots networks are now forming around it, and astroturfers will ultimately resource them.
Usually for this stuff, the order is different-- propagandists float outrage bait to see what most inflames the base, then astroturfers spend the bulk of their resources trying to prop up anemic organizing by the usual suspects, who turn out the usual people.
I'm not trying to downplay the role of propaganda networks and astroturfing institutions here, but what's crucially different is that there's already a grassroots, organic response to the propaganda pushing a US copycat convoy.
Folks, I was an organizer otg first day for both Occupy Philly and Abolish ICE, and a lot of smaller left emergent movements.
The signs I look for that tell me an emergent movement has legs?
They're all there for this US copycat of the far right Canadian trucker convoy.
I really want to emphasize that I'm saying this not only as someone with expertise and a lot of experience monitoring and organizing against the far right, but as someone who has a pretty good track record of spotting, organizing within, and analyzing emergent movement.
When I'm assessing this sort of thing, I'm looking at whether there's a certain amount of social media buzz (there's lots), but also whether there's the potential for resourcing (there's plenty, look at the Canada convoy GoFundMe precedent) & institutional support (it's there).
Again, I think it's too early to assess if or how well this will come together, emergent movement fizzles more frequently than it pops.
That said, a lot of the pieces are there.
On the ground meetings are happening, a grassroots network is emerging, there's a celeb component
We know from the Canadian one that money (lots of it) is likely available, which will heavily attract even more of the kinds of niche celebrities grifters that helped popularize 1/6/22.
And of course, it will also present at least the perception of resourced gathering otg.