Let me deal with this. I know we need to stop emitting anthropogenic GHG emissions now - I've been saying it consistently on Twitter, and for over 30 years. 1/
I've been pointing out that the 1990 Stockholm Environment Institute report, from which the 2C figure was drawn, said there was nothing safe about 2C, and the real safe figure was more like 1C - since just after the report came out. 2/ carbonbrief.org/two-degrees-th…
I had a running battle with the Guardian newspaper on their comments section, to stop telling people that 2C was the internationally agreed safe limit we could work up to. Telling them to be honest about what the SEI report actually said.
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It's all very well saying "We need" to do this and that, because I have been following the ecological crisis for over 50 years, and people were saying what we needed to do 50 years ago. The problem is this didn't happen. 4/ un.org/en/conferences…
The real problem is not what we "need" to do, because as I say, informed people have known that for over 50 years, and as regards the climate crisis, for over 30 years. No the real problem is how to put this into action.
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It is now crystal clear that we can not rely on politicians to do this (I was saying this 30 years ago, but other environmentalists dismissed me as "too cynical"), despite their promises. The only way to overcome this is to create a mass movement, to force this action.
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Political leaders fear one thing, the public turning against them, and if they believe they'll be forced from office if they don't do what the majority demand, they will do it.
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Luckily, one person with a platform understands this, @GretaThunberg. Within just over a year, she inspired the biggest mass movement in human history, and got many millions on the street on a single day, and addressed a crowd of 1/2 million. 8/ vox.com/energy-and-env…
The growth of this movement has only been put on hold, because of the pandemic. It has not gone away. Greta's genius is much underestimated. She is an incredible communicator and strategist.
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You see, environmentalists and climate activists had previously made a huge mistake. They wrongly focused only on what "we need to do" (which is very important), but useless unless we find a way to put what "we need to do" into practise.
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Just saying what "we need to do" is merely preaching to the converted, and grandstanding, without motivating the public, to demand it. Otherwise, the only people listening are environmentalists and climate activists, who are currently are not at a level to force this action.
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Greta's success, has been to highlight key parts of the problem in a few words, like the problem is "the crisis is not being treated as a crisis", and we have got less than "8 years of the current carbon budget left" to stay below 1.5C. 12/
The idea is to focus on the essentials, and to highlight how only drastic and significant cuts to GHG emissions in the next few years will work.
"Only rapid and drastic reductions in greenhouse gases in this decade can prevent such climate breakdown" 13/ theguardian.com/science/2021/a…
It is my belief, that Greta is fully aware that the IPCC reports are too conservative, and she definitely knows the inadequacies of the Paris Agreement, but she also knows this is the only science most will agree on, so she highlights their figures.
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This is why communication to most people is all important. That is why it matters highlighting in a few words, to the public, why were need to act now, by explaining how little we have of the carbon budget to say under 1.5C.
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You can make clever quips to other climate activists, about what we need to do. BUT HOW IS THAT GOING MOTIVATE THE PUBLIC TO GET BEHIND IT? AND FORCE ACTION.
Stop trying to undermine the strategy of those who have had far more impact than anyone else.
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Seeing this tweet reminded me of a long term thought experiment I've had. What if huge wealth is something akin to a powerful addiction to a drug like heroin?
That for all intents and purposes, those with it develop something close to a dangerous personality disorder. 1/
I use these thought experiments to test out how the world actually is. I do this very simply, by setting these thought experiments up, and seeing if I can reject these ideas. Often one single contrary bit of evidence, is all you need to reject the hypothesis.
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However, this is the very worrying thing, after many decades of running this thought experiment, I cannot find one shred of evidence to reject this hypothesis. I can't find one example of a very rich person, say a billionaire or serious multi-millionaire, who is normal.
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A quick thread explaining the background of Badger baiting and this sort of Fox killing. Most of the "terrier men" involved in this, often work as "terrier men" for official Fox Hunts posh people wearing red coats, who hunt Foxes on horseback with dogs.🧵 dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
The job of "terrier men" on official Fox Hunts is to block up all the Fox earths and Badger setts in the area, on the day of a Hunt to stop Foxes going to earth. If they do go to earth they then use their terriers to help dig them out.
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These are the men you see following Hunts to this day, on quad bikes with boxes - to hold their terriers. Apologists for illegal Fox hunting like the Countryside Alliance laughably claim these boxes on quad bikes are for fence mending. 3/ morethanjustbadgers.net/tag/fence-mend…
"Revealed: The hard-Left anti-vax aggressors who hurled abuse at Keir Starmer for 'forgetting the working man' were whipped into a frenzy by Jeremy Corbyn's conspiracy theorist brother Piers" dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
That's clear isn't it. They are claiming that the perpetrators were the "hard-left".
The reality is very different. Actually the instigator was a former Tory councillor only recently expelled from the Conservative Party who campaigned with Boris Johnson. theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/f…
Whilst I don't doubt some anti-vaxxers etc, are left wing. The Mail article presents not one iota of evidence that any of those highlighted were even left wing, let alone "hard left".
I made a point about this a few weeks ago. That what are basically climate change deniers in the Conservative Party, are attempting to take advantage of Boris Johnson's weakness, and need to appease all factions, to undermine climate policy. theguardian.com/politics/2022/…
It is part of a whole agenda to shift all policy to extreme right. They are as the article implies trying to make climate denial part of their culture war agenda. However, I disagree, that this has only started now.
Whilst there has always been a pro-oil, free market, libertarian streak in Conservative politics, both sides of the Atlantic, it has only been in the last 15 years that a left right divide has started to appear over climate policy.
I'd like to clarify, that when I used the acronym and term CCS here I meant all forms of capturing carbon, from just after burning, to removing from the atmosphere and then storing it. I regard all the acronyms and supposed methods, to be highly misleading and indeed false.
What I mean by highly misleading and false, is they give the misleading and false impression that a specific technology actually exists, which could be implemented if possible. In reality all these methods are experimental, and don't really exist.
Yes it is possible to remove carbon and store it. What matters though is at significant scale. There is so far, no evidence at all, that any other these methods could realistically be used at any significant scale. So as far as I'm concerned, they are imaginary.
I'd like to tell a tale about Carbon Capture and Storage CCS. I'm sure @KevinClimate will appreciate the irony. It's a sort of tale in the manner of the Emperor's Clothes, to illustrate the amazing hubris of the powerful. Maybe the wonderful @thejuicemedia could use it.
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Essentially, what the aim of CCS is about, is to suck the excess CO2 out of the atmosphere, released by our burning of fossil fuels, then pump it deep underground, where it will be stored safely for generations to come. 2/ en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_ca…
Superficially, it seems a genius idea, which will allow us to carry on burning fossil fuels BAU, whilst sucking the problem product out of the atmosphere. A sort of have your cake and eat it solution. The dream of techno-fantasists (sorry techno-optimists) everywhere.
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