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Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
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Feb 11 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
Apparently this tweet, which I found only mildly amusing and deleted, has now gone completely viral in China. Image
My wife and I hypothesize it’s because, if you post anything that mentions Eileen Gu or Zhu Yi, it gets censored, but this is a way of joking about it that doesn’t name names.
My wife has former high school classmates in China texting her out of the blue about this.
"I'm big in Japan"
If I play it right, I could be the next this guy: Image
wsj.com/articles/the-q…

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Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Feb 13
Whenever I see this kind of thing, I’m reminded of China’s position in rare earths, and why it’s very important to distinguish between a monopoly of actual supply and market share based on price/convenience.
With rare earths, for example, there are many alternatives to China but they involve costs buyers would rather avoid. If China blocked them, however, they would access them.
This meant that China’s 90% share of rare earth output was more fragile than it looked, and not the stranglehold it appeared. (Caveat: there are different kinds of rare earth minerals and some offer more alternatives than others).
Read 4 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Feb 13
How is he winning? Other than generating headlines.
At this point, no one has conceded anything to Putin. He now faces a choice between a potentially risky invasion with diplomatic and economic consequences, and pretending he didn’t mean it. I’m not sure how this amounts to winning.
If he wins major concessions, that might be different. But will he?
Read 5 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Feb 12
Sorry NR. This is boring and dumb. Calling it Beijing or Peking carries no political meaning, of any real significance. Image
I still call it Bombay out of habit and familiarly, rather than Mumbai. That may make some Indian nationalists mad, but it’s not going to change the world one iota either way.
The only name I insist on is Saigon instead of Ho Chi Minh City. But that was a renaming that wasn’t just phonetic, and had real political significance.
Read 4 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Feb 12
I don’t know whether Putin is bluffing or not. But if he invades Ukraine, I think it will prove a colossal strategic blunder. So we should hold firm, on everything that matters, and call his bluff.
Tactically, I’m guessing that Putin can march into Kiev. Strategically, I think this will be the least of his worries if he goes forward with an invasion of any serious scope.
I think he would face a diehard Finnish-style opposition in western Ukraine. But more importantly, I think he would solidify Europe against him, and bolster NATO a great deal.
Read 6 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Feb 12
I thoroughly enjoyed this pilot's review of the airport where I learned to fly: Image
What that looks like on final approach: Image
"If you can dodge a wrench, you can dodge a ball."
Read 4 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Feb 11
Just came across this, which my 9-year old daughter did for fun:
“frosty Alabama”
Sounds like a decent cocktail.
Read 4 tweets

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