Ben See Profile picture
Feb 11 14 tweets 4 min read
Do climate and energy experts often ignore the fact we're in a mass extinction that's now accelerating during 21st century capitalism because it disrupts their visions of 'solutions'?

THREAD. 🧵
1. We're in a mass extinction due to habitat destruction, pollution, and many other factors including abrupt climate change: 20% (30-50%?) of species face extinction by 2050, and 75% of mammals as early as 2300.

We don't know which species can survive 1.75°C-2.75°C by the 2040s.
2. It seems many climate and energy experts say climate change won't lead to human extinction within decades or centuries, without acknowledging that extinction threats to species come from a range of activities likely to be maintained in a 'green' growth, 'clean' energy economy.
3. Climate & energy experts should discuss climate change in terms of mass extinction & ecosystems collapse, not just emissions & technology, and acknowledge that a key question is whether, or in what ways, billions of people are, or will soon be, in danger.

#ExtinctionEconomy
4. The near-term obliteration of 20%-50% of the species humans rely on for survival due to the activities of this growth economy would obviously be utterly horrific.

"Will humans become extinct due to climate change?" is a red herring.

References below:
7a. 'In around 300 years time, 75% of all mammal species will have disappeared from this planet... if the current rates of extinction continue and the animals already threatened or endangered are wiped out this century.' bbc.com/future/article…
7b. 'Once-common species will be extinct, or exist only in human-made environments like zoos or private breeding colonies far from their natural habitat, such as the lemur sanctuary in the Caribbean that Virgin boss Richard Branson proposed'.

Grotesque.

bbc.com/future/article…
8.

1.75°C-2.75°C by the 2030s or 2040s will be horrendous.

(Maintaining the current economic system would in theory make 1.6°C by 2050 possible, but would mean wrecked ecosystems and unbearable pollution, etc)

System change required immediately.
9. “Drastically increased rates of species extinctions and declining abundances of many animal and plant populations are well documented, yet some deny that these phenomena amount to mass extinction”scitechdaily.com/sixth-mass-ext…
11.

2.5- 4.5 billion people look likely to face intolerable risk by mid-century as major ecosystems are wrecked and species are wiped out.

How many scientists will scream for system change?

How many journalists?

12. "temperature-driven fertility losses may be a major threat.. We already had reports of fertility losses at high temperature in everything from pigs to ostriches.. even humans..perhaps half of all species will be vulnerable to thermal infertility." phys.org/news/2021-05-i…

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More from @ClimateBen

Feb 11
The global economy threatens 20%-50% of species with extinction by 2050.

Global use of materials is outpacing population growth:

1972: 29 billion tonnes
2000: 55 billion tonnes
2019: 100 billion tonnes
2050: 184 billion tonnes

It's the *system* that's killing everything.🧵
1.'Material extraction & use are climbing year on year
In only 50 years, global use of materials has nearly quadrupled—outpacing population growth. In 1972, as the Club of Rome’s report Limits to Growth was published, the world consumed 28.6 billion tonnes'
2. Abrupt climate change isn't the only reason we may consider ourselves in a terrible predicament. Extinction is escalating due to deforestation, logging, road-building, pollution..

Only system change action may limit the damage and/or protect us. Thread:
Read 5 tweets
Feb 10
Today's economic system is taking us to 1.6°C-2°C by the 2030s with emissions now rising towards epic new extreme record highs compounding the extinction-ecosystem collapse crisis.

These tenths of a degree mean mass death, a truth which must be faced if we want effective action.
It's disheartening we're not facing the fact that 1.75°C-2.5°C, likely by the end of the 2040s, would mean billions of peoples' lives either turned upside down or taken from them without profound system change.

Mass animal deaths are on the rise.

Thread:
The impacts at 1.75C-3C would be shattering for species and billions of people.

IPCC aurhors have made clear there are definitely impacts we can't cope with from 2C.

1.25C is already putting enormous strain on our food systems. 1.75C would be awful.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 8
According to scientists, economic growth cannot prevent us exceeding somewhere between 1.6°C and 2.4°C of global warming by the 2040s, when a staggering 20% of species face extinction.

When you listen to the scientists, you realise economic system change is the only way. 🧵
1.

'The most optimistic scenario has global temperature nudging past 1.5°C by mid-century but then dropping back by late century. Such a relatively short excursion above 1.5°C might not trigger the worst outcomes, according to the panel.'

'might not'..

yaleclimateconnections.org/2021/08/key-ta…
2.

Of course, a lot of climate scientists still cling to the "don't reduce emissions so fast that it disrupts the economy" idea.

But plenty recognise that 10%-30% of species threatened within 25 years by the growth economy signals a need for change.

Read 5 tweets
Feb 5
US sanctions and extreme drought exacerbated by abrupt climate change are threatening 23 million people facing acute food insecurity in Afghanistan. 🧵
1.

'There are 22.8 million Afghans facing acute food insecurity. By March, 8.7 million of those are expected to slide into critical levels of food insecurity'. news.un.org/en/story/2022/…
2.

'22.8 million people will face "high levels of acute food insecurity." This is 55 percent of Afghanistan's population, the highest ever recorded in the country. An estimated one million children are suffering from "severe acute malnutrition" this year.'commondreams.org/views/2022/02/…
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4
BREAKING: climate change since 1980 is nearly twice as bad as previously calculated 🧵
1.

From 1980 to 2019, the world warmed about 0.79°C. But taking energy from humidity into account, the world has warmed and moistened 1.48°C. And in the tropics, the warming was as much as 4°C.

To try to avoid total catastrophe will take total change.

abcnews.go.com/Technology/wir…
2.

The extreme climate danger zone appears to be around 0.75°C-1.25°C. We're now into 1.25°C-1.75°C.

This economic system can't take us off the extinction path - making electric cars & planes for the rich will finish off ecosystems.

Profound change now.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 24
Abrupt Climate Change:

The combination of rate & magnitude over the coming decades is unprecedented.

We must expect rates of warming, shifting rainfall and drought that will challenge the adaptive capacity of life on Earth including human beings.

Media won't make this clear.🧵
1.We must protect species and everybody. The current growth economy would take us to 1.6°C-3°C hell in the next 25 years if maintained. Fair, emergency system change required. Only by supporting independent media might the action-blocking silence be broken.climatecentral.org/news/ecosystem…
2. An ecological catastrophe.

Pollution, deforestation mostly due to animal agriculture, logging, mining, road-building, disease, industrial fishing, abrupt climate change, etc,..all causing rapid extinction.

Economic system change now.

Thread :
Read 6 tweets

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