After Understanding QSR Industry, let's take a deep dive into the companies of this sector.
We are starting with the #Jubilantfoodworks, The only profitable company in QSR space along with highest RoCE.
Like and retweet for maximum reach
Jubilant FoodWorks Limited (JFL/Company) is part of the Jubilant Bhartia group and is India’s largest food service Company. The Company has the exclusive rights to develop and operate Domino’s Pizza brand in India, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Nepal.
Mr. Shyam Bhartia & Mr. Hari Bhartia are the founders of Jubilant Bhartia Group.
The Jubilant Bhartia Group, has a strong presence in diverse sectors.Jubilant Bhartia Group has 4 flagship Companies- Jubilant Pharmova, Jubilant Ingrevia, Jubilant FoodWorks and Jubilant Industries
Their Family Chart👇
Their shareholding pattern and changes in shareholding pattern.
Promoters are holding 41%
FII 40%
DII 12%
PUBLIC 7%
Brands
Domino's Pizza
In 1996, the first Domino’s Pizza store was opened in New Delhi. After that in 2012, launched Dunkin' Donuts.
Now they also entered in Chinese cuisine via Hongs Kitchen and Biryani via "Ekdum". Majority of there expansion pertains to Domino's only
Let's understand Domino's :
largest among QSRs – both in terms of the number of stores (1,435 stores and ~1,485 stores across all brands at the end of 2QFY22) and overall sales (higher than the next three QSRs put together).
The opportunity for growth is humungous. Its revenue stood at ~1% of the FSI in India and ~2.5% of the
organized FSI market.
EBITDA Margins also expanding and can go upto 25%.
RoE & RoCE also remain strong for Jubi.
They also cover almost 300 cities with increasing expansion of Homegrown Hongs Kitchen as well.
They are expanding but with caution because of burnt hands in dunkin' Donuts.
The company is aggressively focusing on increasing the market presence of Domino’s. As Domino’s is the main segment of the company therefore the company has doubled the number of Domino’s restaurants over last few years.
Guidance for network also increased from 2k to 3k.
One Metrics to be check for QSR is SSSG : same store sales growth, currently it is negative due to Corona, but sooner it will reach to 15-16% again as the economy open up.
Operating margins will remain in the increasing order as we can see that in last 10 years, margins increased from 15% to 25%.
Check out the cost breakup👇
Due to Lockdown the restaurants temporary closed which affected the sales of the company for FY21.
Further the lockdown hours also acted negative for the company. As a result the company reported negative growth in revenue and profits.
Some Growth prospects we can't ignore : Delivery Signals & their tech driven approach.
Their app downloads are fastest in the Qsr segment as well their availability on agreegator approach increase there availability.
Fastest Delivery and decreasing dine-in need after Corona, also helping Qsr to expand fast further, as unit economics favours them.
As explained in the QSR Thread.
Peer comparison
Trading at P/E of 95, cmp/sales of 9.6, where devyani trading at 19, which is far higher than jubilant and recent fall in jubilant also makes it attractive at this level.
This is about our first detailed analysis on QSR Segment.
Src- MOSL, PA Wealth
Fundamental Problem - Why it's a Ponzi Scheme for VEDL Shareholders
To service its own debt burden, VRL is systematically draining VEDL, forcing the operating company to take on ever-increasing leverage and deplete its cash reserves. This looting erodes the fundamental value of VEDL, which constitutes the primary collateral for VRL's own creditors.
VRL forces VEDL to declare disproportionately large dividends, which are funded not by free cash flow but by taking on more debt and draining its balance sheet
VEDL has incurred a $5.6b free cash flow shortfall against dividends paid in the last 3 years..
This arrangement has pushed the entire group to the brink of insolvency, propped up only by a continuous cycle of new debt, accounting tricks, and the deferral of massive, undisclosed liabilities.
Major allegations/red flags:
Bait and Switch Funding Model - Raise fresh capital to service debt in the name of new projects like Semiconductor
Irreconcilable Interest Expenses
Inflated asset values of non-operating subsidiaries exceed the value of debt
CAPEX Fraud - Expenses across operating subsidiaries are systematically capitalized, artificially inflating profits and asset values. This is a material misrepresentation.
Off-Balance Sheet Items – Billions of dollars of disputed expenses are kept off-balance sheet and undisclosed in financial reports.
Governance failures across management and auditors, including inappropriate auditor choices
Listed at ₹3000, now trading at a deep discount,
yet no buying interest.
A Thread 🧵
Like and Share for Max Reach
#CorporateGovernance #redflag
Learning: "Not every special situation is worth looking."
I request you to read all tweets to understand the full story of value destruction and how we can learn from the same.
The story began with big restructuring at Raymond Ltd. In FY23, they sold their FMCG business to Godrej Consumer for ₹2825 Crs, mainly to cut debt. Net debt significantly reduced.
This sale was supposed to leave a net surplus of ~₹1500 Crs on the balance sheet for growth capital after clearing debt.
Let's start with what SEBI found : Gensol actually submitted false documents about debt servicing to Credit Rating agencies concerning two lenders (IREDA and PFC).
Interesting charts, data points and investing perspective
A data-backed thread 🧵
Favourite: There is always a reason to sell
Whenever such events occur, we feel it is a time to invest through mutual funds (Why not equity? Because you don't need to worry about ab konsa stock/ sector chalega)
Despite several intermittent crises, Indian Equities have gone up over the long run mirroring earnings growth