1) Those arguing that the West offered a “pledge” to forego NATO expansion grapple with the fact that Yeltsin and Putin both openly flirted with joining NATO in the 1990s/early 2000s.
2) Self-proclaimed realists digest the clear reality that the (post-colonialist) Kremlin’s designs on Ukraine go far, far beyond the simple question of Ukrainian NATO membership.
+1 Not nearly enough grappling with what would have happened if NATO actually *had* stopped expanding. (Polish nuclear program? Hungarian irredentism? A far, far, far worse security landscape on Russia’s western flank?)
One way to disabuse ourselves of the idea that the latest Russia crisis is only about "Ukraine joining NATO" is to revisit all the historic importance Moscow placed on the Eurasian Union circa 2011-13—and how Ukraine imploded those hopes: foreignpolicy.com/2014/06/05/vla…
(Hot take: Moscow's initial plans for the Eurasian Union—and the obvious failure of those initial goals—remain severely overlooked in the West.)
If Moscow thinks it could somehow “install a pro-Russian leader in Kyiv,” Putin’s even further down the rabbit-hole than assumed. gov.uk/government/new…
The notion that the Kremlin could somehow(?) successfully install a “pro-Russian leader” in Ukraine reminds me of Yanukovych’s dreams he could return and somehow “reunite the country”:
Would be a good time to revisit Putin’s recent jeremiad that Russians and Ukrainians are “one people—a single whole”: en.kremlin.ru/events/preside…
Nearly a decade ago, Azerbaijan secretly bankrolled one of the most lavish American congressional junkets (hiding the funding behind a “non-profit” organization): occrp.org/en/corruptista…
The details of Azerbaijan’s secret funding of the US congressional trip are almost comical: crystal tea sets and expensive rugs, DVDs about Azerbaijan’s dictator, etc. archive.thinkprogress.org/mastermind-beh…
In 2013, Kanye took millions to perform for the family of Kazakhstan's dictator (and never apologized, returned the money, etc): theguardian.com/music/2013/sep…
Kanye is also "working on business deals" with the Agalarov family, who coordinated the infamous 2016 Trump Tower meeting offering dirty on Hillary Clinton: newrepublic.com/article/143879…
I know no one wants to talk about it, but state fracture in Northern Kazakhstan isn’t something that can be dismissed out of hand (especially given the past few years, and as KZ’s political scene turns turbulent). Quick thread 🧵:
In 1991, Yeltsin’s office claimed Russia had the right to “revisit” four different borders in the post-Soviet region.
Read a bunch of books in 2021! Here are my top-10 (non-fiction) reads:
1. Lords of Finance: The Bankers Who Broke the World, by Liaquat Ahamed, on the humanity and myopia that inflicted the Great Depression on the world—and the inflection points that got us there.
2. The Earth Shall Weep: A History of Native America, by James Wilson, which should be required reading for every American (and then some). Somehow manages to weave a concise story of centuries of settler-colonialism in North America, and the stories buried under myth.