Two things I’d like to see more of:

1) Those arguing that the West offered a “pledge” to forego NATO expansion grapple with the fact that Yeltsin and Putin both openly flirted with joining NATO in the 1990s/early 2000s.
2) Self-proclaimed realists digest the clear reality that the (post-colonialist) Kremlin’s designs on Ukraine go far, far beyond the simple question of Ukrainian NATO membership.
+1 Not nearly enough grappling with what would have happened if NATO actually *had* stopped expanding. (Polish nuclear program? Hungarian irredentism? A far, far, far worse security landscape on Russia’s western flank?)
One of the best threads on the latest Russian crisis, and the red herrings being spun:
One way to disabuse ourselves of the idea that the latest Russia crisis is only about "Ukraine joining NATO" is to revisit all the historic importance Moscow placed on the Eurasian Union circa 2011-13—and how Ukraine imploded those hopes: foreignpolicy.com/2014/06/05/vla…
(Hot take: Moscow's initial plans for the Eurasian Union—and the obvious failure of those initial goals—remain severely overlooked in the West.)

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More from @cjcmichel

Jan 26
The raid of Rep. Henry Cuellar shows just how deep Azerbaijan’s tendrils of illicit lobbying (still) reach in the US: newrepublic.com/article/165140…
Azerbaijan has spent years launching illicit lobbying campaigns across the West—and not just targeting politicians.

And there’s a strong argument they’ve been most successful in the US, on both sides of the aisle.
'Allowing foreign powers to meddle in America without serious consequences is the new, dangerous normal.' responsiblestatecraft.org/2022/01/17/in-…
Read 4 tweets
Jan 22
If Moscow thinks it could somehow “install a pro-Russian leader in Kyiv,” Putin’s even further down the rabbit-hole than assumed. gov.uk/government/new…
The notion that the Kremlin could somehow(?) successfully install a “pro-Russian leader” in Ukraine reminds me of Yanukovych’s dreams he could return and somehow “reunite the country”: Image
Would be a good time to revisit Putin’s recent jeremiad that Russians and Ukrainians are “one people—a single whole”: en.kremlin.ru/events/preside…
Read 6 tweets
Jan 21
Going to be fantastic to watch details from this investigation on Azerbaijan and US officials/businessmen come out.
Nearly a decade ago, Azerbaijan secretly bankrolled one of the most lavish American congressional junkets (hiding the funding behind a “non-profit” organization): occrp.org/en/corruptista…
The details of Azerbaijan’s secret funding of the US congressional trip are almost comical: crystal tea sets and expensive rugs, DVDs about Azerbaijan’s dictator, etc. archive.thinkprogress.org/mastermind-beh…
Read 6 tweets
Jan 11
Quick thread on Kanye's proposed plans to meet with Putin: billboard.com/music/rb-hip-h…
In 2013, Kanye took millions to perform for the family of Kazakhstan's dictator (and never apologized, returned the money, etc): theguardian.com/music/2013/sep…
Kanye is also "working on business deals" with the Agalarov family, who coordinated the infamous 2016 Trump Tower meeting offering dirty on Hillary Clinton: newrepublic.com/article/143879…
Read 4 tweets
Jan 5
I know no one wants to talk about it, but state fracture in Northern Kazakhstan isn’t something that can be dismissed out of hand (especially given the past few years, and as KZ’s political scene turns turbulent). Quick thread 🧵:
In 1991, Yeltsin’s office claimed Russia had the right to “revisit” four different borders in the post-Soviet region.

1. Abkhazia (Russia invaded in 2008)
2. Crimea (invaded 2014)
3. Donbas (invaded 2014)
4. Northern Kazakhstan
Kazakhstan moved its capital to Astana in 1997, predicated (in part) on deterring regional separatist sentiment.

A few years later, an actual separatist plot fizzled (connected to, of all people, the fascist Eduard Limonov).
Read 11 tweets
Dec 29, 2021
Read a bunch of books in 2021! Here are my top-10 (non-fiction) reads:
1. Lords of Finance: The Bankers Who Broke the World, by Liaquat Ahamed, on the humanity and myopia that inflicted the Great Depression on the world—and the inflection points that got us there.
2. The Earth Shall Weep: A History of Native America, by James Wilson, which should be required reading for every American (and then some). Somehow manages to weave a concise story of centuries of settler-colonialism in North America, and the stories buried under myth.
Read 12 tweets

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