Molson Hart Profile picture
Feb 13 12 tweets 4 min read
I read this bearish piece on crypto making the rounds.

I’m qualified to debate the points on Bitcoin but nothing else.

Here are his criticisms of Bitcoin and my responses:
I used to think this was the fatal flaw of Bitcoin.

He’s right that this occurs. Mining is a commodity marker and economies of scale drive concentration, which is bad because it increases the chance of a 51% attack allowing a miner to double spend their Bitcoin. ImageImage
However, once this occurs, and we would know because you can’t double spend your Bitcoin without someone being on the other side of that, it would cause massive loss of trust not only in the participating miners/their public addresses, but also in the entire network.
In other words, you just built the worlds largest Bitcoin mining network at huge cost so you could double spend Bitcoin which is now worth significantly less because you double spent your Bitcoin.

Miners are incentivized to keep market concentration law to keep btc prices high.
So it’s a Pyrrhic victory to do this for the miners.

Iirc a mining pool did once get over 51% and when this was noticed they had to reorient their computing power to again deconcentrate because no one is going to use Bitcoin if it’s centralized like this.
Bitcoin uses a lot of power.

It’s true it does, however this is mitigated by when it uses power (at night when it’s cheaper) or the type of power it uses (renewables) or waste power (natural gas flares). Image
Designed or not, the entire piece just focuses on the negatives of crypto but that’s not really the right way to look at it. You have to look at the negatives and positives of both crypto and our current system. Well our current system uses a ton of power as well.
Look at how much intellectual brainpower is dedicated to making finance hum. That random chase tower you see in a small Kansas City. They’re processing transactions. What about our entire legal system of judges, juries, lawyers. That’s power too ans used to sustain the system.
Yeah you can’t reverse transactions when you screw up. It sucks and it’s a fair knock on crypto but I think the tools to reduce these issues are going to keep getting better kind of like how in the late 90s and early 2000s we were all scared of getting our credit card stolen on Image
the internet. Shit got better and easier. And the same will happen to crypto which, was been around for 13 years. Internet first cropped up in the 60s. It takes some time.
Crime. I agree that it’s a problem for crypto but it’s not like crime doesn’t happen with our current system. Again, I think this negative needs to be balanced with the positive. For me, I prefer to have higher rates or crime than to have government everywhere because for me as a ImageImage
student of history governments do much more damage than decentralized individuals.

You can read the piece yourself but crypto isn’t going anywhere and it’ll just be an ever larger force in our lives going forward. Yeah prices will fall or rise, but long term, it’s here to stay.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Molson Hart

Molson Hart Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Molson_Hart

Feb 15
My company won an appeal in the 5th circuit court of appeals (on all counts).

That's a very good thing, but unfortunately, it's not a precedential decision, meaning it can be cited, but it is not binding.

If I had known that was a possibility I might've settled.

1/3 ImageImage
The best part of the case was a very big Chinese seller using this as their address with Amazon.

And they had the balls to appeal the decision against them on the basis that we didn't properly serve them when we actually went to this address to find an older white woman.

2/3 Image
REKT

3/3 Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 11
For years, I have seen the same take over and over about Amazon.

First it was “Amazon doesn’t make money.”

Then it was “Amazon doesn’t make money without AWS”.

Now we have a new version: “Amazon doesn’t make money without AWS and advertising.”

Say it with me now…
Amazon’s retail business is profitable and very much so.

They use the branded 1st party retail sales as a loss leader to print money off of their marketplace which is, unlike retail, riskless profit.

I know because I’ve looked at the unit economics of their business for years.
So then why does their business look unprofitable after separating out AWS and advertising?

First reason is they’re aggressively depreciating every plane, truck, and warehouse they buy.

Second reason is this crap. How much of it makes money? It’s all in “retail”.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 30
One of the dudes I play bball with is an engineer for ercot, the texas agency that is often blamed for the Feb 2021 freeze.

His explanation of last years freeze:

1. Nat gas power plants were not built for such cold temperatures and they broke, not the green wind turbines

1/n
2. There just was not enough power generation. Ercot’s job is to best use the power they are given by the power plants and there was not enough so they had to rotate it between the residential areas.
3. Depending on whether or not the city’s residential grids were shared with critical infrastructure that never loses power eg hosptials, fire, and other city stuff, their experiences were different
Read 5 tweets
Jan 30
I college, I was taught and convinced that data analysis could do anything and that if you weren’t using it, it was because you weren’t smart enough to.

A decade later, I would say that besides throwing the datapoints up on a graph, it’s almost always useless.

1/n
The world is too complex to gain understanding from a regression or other complicated mathematical formula.

Even randomized control trials, which people who operate in the real world almost never have access to, are often bullshit.
Today, I think data analysis is mostly how people, namely academics and some professions, choose to communicate.

It’s sometimes useful, but also signaling to show that you’re part of a group.

If you want to be heard in that group, you must speak their language.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 29
I have a relative who is fat.

Whenever we tell her to lose weight she says “it’s my metabolism!” 🙄

Anyways, 2 years ago she came to stay with us and I said “great you’re going to lose weight now!”

She showed up with a cane and could barely walk, but after 2 weeks of…
diet modification (basically less fast absorbing carbs) she was able to walk without a cane having lost a lot of weight! She felt great.

Then all of sudden, despite continued diet changes, the weight loss stopped.

I couldn’t figure it out until…
She left the house to go shopping.

I went through her luggage and it was full of candy 😂

The moral of this story is if someone tells you that they can’t lose weight because of X, X is probably them.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 27
Answering questions publicly is more fun.

1. Not really because 9 times out of 10, a new bolt on company is a new supplier. Most products where you’re getting a benefit from container scale are already there when they sell to thrasio. Combining two factories products is…
inefficient and a headache. Like I said, weak returns to scale. The other problem is timing. You’ve got to have two shipments ready at the same time and they’ve got to fit together.

2. 3pl savings are very minimal because of huge assortment of product (headaches) and inability
to negotiate better pricing with FedEx ans ups because you’re using Amazon.

3. By and large the so called “mom and pop” business owner grinds way harder than the thrasio 9-to-5er and is probably more knowledgeable and smarter. Plus it’s easier for the mom-and-pop to blackhat
Read 5 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

:(