Thread by @StarCityBen

(Thread) Let's talk Kamigawa: Neon Dynasty pack odds. Standard disclaimer - the odds I'm posting here are my own observations and based on secondary market pack opening (both us and other vendors I've spoken to). These are not official @wizards_magic posted odds. #MTG

Hidetsugu, Devouring Chaos (NEON variants)
My estimate is that any Neon Variant of Hidetsugu appears 1:40 Collector boxes (1:480 Collector Packs). This would make the odds 1:480 packs for Blue, 1:960 packs for Green and 1:3,840 packs (1:320 boxes) for Red. (/2)

COLLECTOR PACK VARIANTS
Wizards alredy talked about this, but each R/M card has their normal odds of appearing, and the split is 1:1 for every specific variant in that slot. This applies to both the foil and non-foil slots.There are 59 Rares and 18 Mythics in #MTGNEO. (/3)

COLLECTOR PACK VARIANTS (Part 2)
The odds of any VERSION of a specific card appearing is 1:136 for Mythic and 1:68 for a Rare. Kodama of the West Tree has 2 variants. The chances of opening any version of Kodama is 1:136. The chances of opening a specific version is 1:272. (/4)

COLLECTOR PACK VARIANTS (Part 3)
Slot 15 of the Collector Booster (foil variants), Jin-Gitaxias, Progress Tyrant can be EA foil, Etched Foil, Showcase Foil or Phyrexian Foil.

The chance any Jin-Gitaxias is still 1:136.
The chance of one specific version is 1:544! (/5)

SET BOOSTER PACKS, COMMANDER EXCLUSIVES
The Commander cards exclusive to Set Boosters appear at roughly the same frequency as other #MTGNEO Rares/Mythics. If you expect to open 50 copies of Jin-Gitaxias, you would also expect to open 50 copies of Go-Shintai of Life's Origin (/6)

VARIANTS IN SET/DRAFT BOOSTERS
Variant versions of Rares and Mythics appear at a 7:1 ratio against normal versions in Set and Draft Booster packs. If you opened packs to get 100 copies of Ao, the Dawn Sky, you'd expect to have 14-15 copies of the Borderless version. (/7)

VARIANTS IN SET/DRAFT BOOSTERS (Part 2)
For previous sets, odds were generally 2:1 (66.6% Normal / 33.3% Variant). For #MTGNEO, the 7:1 odds makes it 85.7% Normal / 14.3% Variant. This means variant versions will be roughly 2x as rare, and will hold the value better. (/THREAD)

I'm adding this to the end too, just to make this 100% clear: - the odds I posted here are my own observations and based on secondary market pack opening (both us and other vendors I've spoken to). These are not official
@wizards_magic posted odds. #MTG