Children vaccination, a lay man's guide to Risk Benefit Analysis:

1. Risk to children of the age 0-19 can be understood in terms of Infection Fatality Rate (IFR). This is estimated at 0.0027%. That is, 1 in 37,037 infected children runs the risk of mortality.
Now, if we look at actual mortality in children, that is reported far lower. UK reported 2 child deaths in 1 Million cases. So, we can say risk to children is practically zero by taking IFR accuracy up to 2 decimals.
2. Now, if we go for a vaccine, we expect a benefit. But IFR cannot be a negative number, so Benefit of vaccine is ZERO to children.

3. Every vaccine has Adverse Drug Reactions (ADR). Whenever someone suffers an unexpected health outcome at any time after vaccination ...
...whether short term or long term, that is called an AEFI (Adverse Event Following Immunization). Such events are expected to be registered by doctors, or patients, and need to be investigated by an AEFI committee. India does not have a good, transparent system...
... So nobody knows what is the impact of mass vaccination on society.

4. So, to sum it up, the only effect of vaccination is ADR/AEFI.

Now, think about it. Would you vaccinate your 0-19 year olds??

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More from @umamaheshwarb

Feb 19
Germ Theory

It is possible for a germ to harm us directly or indirectly. While I am not in the know of any sane research that fulfils KOCH's postulates (direct harm), it is known that bacteria can indirectly harm (excreta, breakdown products).
Animal experiments are most cruel and the very process of experiment leads to an ailment and not any pathogen. In one study, rodents were anaesthetised and "innoculated" with fluid injected into lungs. Is that the way you catch a respiratory infection? Think about it!
Science and philosophy are not two divorced subjects. Look at forests. Are the big cats out to eliminate the herbivores? In the Millions of years of existence on the planet did they manage to eliminate herbivores? Don't we feel the microcosm and macrocosm are related?
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