"Maintaining fairness&justice in🇺🇦, actively encouraging talks, & promoting peace are more in line with China's int'l image, strategic goals, & the common interests of the int'l community than hoping for a reprieve after a major conflict b/w the🇺🇸and🇷🇺" - Cui Hongjian, CIIS
1/6
Cui, senior research fellow and director of the Department for European Studies at CIIS and a contributor to the Carnegie–Tsinghua Center has also said that "achieving regional stability and strategic balance will better serve China's national interests in the long run."
2/
The article's main argument, however, is that "linking between the fate of Taiwan and Ukraine is a trap". Cui argues that the US-led West's insistence on drawing parallels between the two cases belies three premises:
3/
First, a need to frame both as a rivalry of "democracies" vs. "autocracies;" second, conflate internal affairs (ie Taiwan) with international diplomacy; third, to have both used as pawns in the great powers game and rally allies to contain China and Russia. Excerpt:
4/
"Ensure that the Taiwanese pay closer attention to events in Ukraine, so that they can see for themselves how the US' ability to prop up the great power games in Eurasia is less than ideal, and so that they can figure out where their true hope for the future lies...
5/
"Because Taiwan has been a part of China since ancient times, its fate must be decided and sealed by the Chinese people."
6/6
Link: opinion.huanqiu.com/article/46oqkf…

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More from @GeringTuvia

Feb 17
"If in the 90s - and going into the last decade - globalization was interest-driven through trade and investment, one of the many characteristics of today's globalization is the return of ideology" - Renowned Chinese economist Zhang Yuyan on the post-pandemic world.
1/3
Zhang, a Senior Fellow & Director of the Inst. of World Economics and Politics at the state-led Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), has published a new article titled "The Game of Major Powers in a Post-Pandemic Era" in the "World Economics and Politics" journal.Excerpt:2/
"The game between major powers or groups of states has shifted from pure 'interest politics' to 'interest politics+principles politics,' making it more difficult to reach an intn'l consensus. Of course, in the end, the principles that uphold justice for mankind will triumph." 3/3
Read 4 tweets
Feb 16
"China has been pursuing its own form of decoupling for more than a decade" - Since 2018, policymakers in China and the US have been frequently using the term "decoupling" to describe the changing dynamics in bilateral relations.
1/8
Despite leading voices in the Biden administration now talking about "recoupling," many analysts, including former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, have warned that this could be a self-fulfilling prophecy.
2/
In a new column titled "Prophecies and Realities of Sino-US Relations," Yu Yongding, ex-pres of the China Society of World Economics and dir. of the Inst. of World Economics and Politics at the state-run CN Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), also warns against this eventuality
3/
Read 8 tweets
Feb 6
Not only that, but also China's "civilizational" superiority, e.g., the recent article by Xie Maosong, a senior research fellow at the Chinese Academy of Sciences' China Institute for Innovation and Development Strategy (IIDS) and senior fellow at the Taihe Institute.
1/14
Xie has written an article highlighting the "civilizational significance" of the Beijing Winter Olympics in a mishmash of geopolitical strategic analysis mishmashed with convoluted Chinese exceptionalism based on the classics, particularly based on the Book of Changes (I Ching)2/
This text, which dates from the Western Zhou period (1000-750 BCE), has been used by the people of East Asia for over a millennia to guide how to count and interpret yarrow wood stalks for divination and advice. Watch this excellent demonstration: .
3/
Read 14 tweets
Feb 6
"Sino-Russian solidarity makes the US uneasy: corralling a few dogs, even a pack, is easier with two lions than with one" - Hu Xijin, the Global Times' retired but active editor, offers his thoughts on the unfolding crisis in Ukraine vis-a-vis Sino-US-Russia triangle.
1/6
Excerpts: "China and Russia's mutual support for each other's core interests will undoubtedly grow stronger in the future. This is something that Washington and its allies must not underestimate.
2/
"They can't presume that their old-fashioned alliances will continue to be the foundation of their hegemony over the 21st-century. Hegemonism has waned, and an alliance between the US and related Eurasian countries is no longer a viable option.
3/
Read 6 tweets
Jan 25
"PLA warplanes are tightening the noose around the neck of 'Taiwan independence'" - a Global Times editorial reacts to reports that the PLA has flown 39 aircrafts into Taiwan's air defense identification zone on Sunday, the largest sortie since October 2021.

Excerpts:
1/4
"The PLA's military planes have now become the norm, looming like a sword of Damocles over 'Taiwan independence' while taking concrete steps to back the mainland's warning and deterrence.
2/
"It is important to emphasize that there is no real distinction between PLA military aircraft over Taiwan and US military aircrafts over Hawaii. Taiwan is a part of China. The concept of "Taiwan airspace" has never existed. 'China airspace' is the only thing that exists.
3/
Read 5 tweets
Jan 25
"The future of US-China relations hinges on the transformation of America's self-perception of its Cold War 'victory'" - Professor Zhang Yun of Niigata University with a fascinating short article on the old and new "Cold Wars".
Summary and excerpts:
1/11
Zhang believes that the "new Sino-US Cold War" theory is based on the US misperception of itself as the undisputed winner of the Cold War against the Soviet Union. For Sino-US relations to return to normal, it must make a paradigm shift.
2/
"The USSR could not resist the temptation to overreact militarily, ideologically, and diplomatically in response to the US military and propaganda provocations, and its military-enabled hegemony has resulted in a significant lag in social and economic development.
3/
Read 11 tweets

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