What is preventing the US from launching its "overwhelming" sanctions now, other than cowardice and corruption? What do they need from Putin? To store Iranian uranium as part of the deal? What?
As I always feel obliged to do when Putin violates another agreement or norm, I ask to hear from his many appeasers through the years, as he turned Russia into a police state, murdered & jailed my colleagues, and makes war.
No honor among them, no shame, no apologies or mea culpas for years, even decades, of pretending Putin could be an ally, or someone who could be dealt with diplomatically. They should all go to Donbas to see what Putin has wrought with their help.
Obama, teasing Romney for saying Russia was a geopolitical threat, then gifting Putin the infamous Reset. Macron, a pathetic dupe & messenger boy. Merkel, "separating business and politics". The list is endless. All the power in the world but not an ounce of courage.
Putin's NSC meeting made it clear that he isn't being influenced by hardliners. HE is the hardliner and they all cower before him and he listens to no one. It's a one-man dictatorship, brittle and vicious. He will not stop until he is stopped.
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Trump isn’t being fooled by Putin. He doesn’t trust him or believe him. It’s worse. He agrees with him. Trump wants what Putin wants, envies what Putin has, and is imitating Putin’s transformation of Russia into a dictatorship.
Any help the Trump admin provides Ukraine will be happen only if it is overwhelmingly in Trump's personal interest, like everything else he does. Congress locking down his agenda until he restarts US aid to Ukraine and applies strong sanctions on Russia, for example.
Support for Ukraine is popular with Americans, even Republicans, but Trump doesn’t budge on this issue, loyal to Putin since 2016 despite Putin spitting in his face repeatedly. Unfortunately, the GOP won’t challenge Trump on this or anything else.
Yes, as I wrote in my "Putinization of America" articles in the Atlantic. ICE is Trump's Rosgvardia, given impunity (or "total immunity" in Vance's words) for loyalty to Trump personally. Encouraged to violate the law, then told they'll be punished only if MAGA loses power, etc.
"This is why the resistance must center the principles at stake. Does America have rule of law or not? The first line in defense of an incipient police state is: “You don’t have anything to fear if you’ve done nothing wrong.” This fallacy is soon replaced by: “It could happen to anybody,” as the regime sees the value of using arbitrary persecution to spread fear. Again, fear is the autocrat’s goal, as is simply doing many things every day. Even if you don’t like him or his policies, the longer he is there, doing things, the more the autocrat starts to feel inevitable, like the sun rising each morning.
In politics, as in physics, force is mass times acceleration. The administration is mounting a barrage of attacks, with great urgency, to break through the resistance of American legal structures, sometimes by using legal and relatively popular policies (deporting convicted criminals, for example) as cover for likely illegal and relatively unpopular policies (deporting immigrants without due process). The fabricated urgency is a tell: No war, no terrible crisis, compels the president to violate the Constitution. But the administration is breaking down norms and setting precedents faster than judges can stop it. Of course, ignoring judges is also part of the plan."
Also, in my Next Move substack in July, more specifically: "In 2016, Vladimir Putin created Rosgvardiya—a new, militarized domestic law enforcement apparatus. Russia had no shortage of police agencies; it inherited several from the Soviet Union, including the Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD). So what made Rosgvardiya different? It operated directly under Putin’s authority.
Unlike Putin and Rosgvardiya, Trump did not create ICE. However, the 50% boost in ICE’s ranks that Trump is pursuing under OBBBA would change the face of any agency. Now that Gavin Newsom has taken Trump to court over the latter’s deployment of the California National Guard, the president is likely looking for more hassle-free and pliant institutions to do his bidding, and ICE could be the perfect outlet for those ambitions. If nothing else, ICE’s behavior in the past half year ought to make a dramatic expansion of the agency the object of intense public scrutiny." thenextmove.org/p/dont-miss-th…
Trying to predict the outrages of autocrats is hopeless because their superpower is to generate constant shocks to dominate the environment. But what’s happening in Minnesota is method, not madness. Trump wants violence, to radicalize & divide, to create pretext for crackdowns.
First, to claim only he can solve the crisis (that he is creating), a typical formula. Chaos & violence push people toward a "law and order" strongman. Also, as the midterms approach, the grounds must be prepared for interfering with the democratic process for "security" reasons.
Having lived through a similar, nationwide version of this in Trump's model, Putin's Russia, it’s not easy to fight against. And Trump and many of his gang have passed the point at which they feel they can afford to lose power, even in Congress. It’s a perilous moment.
When you think of despots and media, it's often of Big Brother on every screen or Pravda publishing the party line. That may be how it ends, but that's not how it starts. Chilling effects, appeasement, producers and publishers toeing the line unquestioningly. My latest:
It's natural to question the source when something is published by an outlet known to be in the tank, or in the pocket, of a partisan owner. But when a previously respected outlet like CBS suddenly starts acting like a White House press shop, few are prepared.
As documented about the fall of Russia's free press, it doesn't all become Pravda overnight. Having nominally critical outlets support the regime in one specific way, or via a few specific people or shows, is more effective early on than blanket censorship or control.
Maduro is a dictator who stayed in power by force after losing an election. No one who believes in democracy should mourn his fall. Trump's pretexts and potential geopolitical deals especially w Russia deserve scrutiny, but the Venezuelan people deserve a chance at freedom.
As with everything Trump does, his motivations will be about personal power and enrichment. This does not contradict that Maduro was an illegitimate thug allied with others like him. However his removal was arranged (deal?) it shakes the global forces of dictatorship.
Condemning a nation's people to authoritarianism and repression because of potential bad outcomes after the fall of their dictator is a free world observer's luxury. Democracy and prosperity can never be guaranteed, but the opportunities for them should be promoted.
🎯 Mamdani's "warmth of collectivism" line, naive or ominous or both, is becoming a teachable moment. It would be nice if people would learn about the bitter realities of socialism this way instead of the hard way of living through it.
As I explained back when it was Bernie Sanders saying similar things & was defended in similar ways, it's not a matter of rhetoric or intentions. Obv they aren't Mao, it's not the USSR, etc. It's what people in power with a collectivist mindset do when things don't go well.
If the economy does poorly, do they admit error and ease off, try other methods, etc? Or do they invent scapegoats and insist that the system will work if they have more (and more) authority to enforce compliance? We know the answer from history.