Today, at least 23 NATO, Swedish, & Ukrainian ISR aircraft flew sorties over Europe: USAF RC-135V (HOMER21), RC-135W (JAKE11), WC-135W (JAKE21), RQ-4 (FORTE12), U-2S (2 BLACK01); USN P-8As (PS21x, 2 PS22x, PL22x), EP-3E (no callsign); 1/8
US Army RC-12Xs (YANK01, YANK02, YANK03), ARTEMIS (BRIO68); RAF P-8As (RFR7041, STGRY01), RC-135W (RRR7215); Canadian CP140 (no callsign); Greek EMB-145H (OURAN31); NATO E-3A (NATO06); Swedish S102B (SVF622); Ukrainian TB2 (12345678). 2/8
ISR Sync matrix for 2022-02-22 covering all spotted flights up until the current time, with daylight represented as a light gray bar on each line. I tried a slight adjustment on the style, based on received feedback. 3/8
A much busier day than we've been seeing, today. Yesterday, President Putin signed an executive order recognizing the Donetsk and Luhansk People's Republics, significantly escalating tensions in the region.
We saw a flight from the USAF WC-135W Constant Phoenix, performing another background calibration flight over the Baltic Sea. She last made this flight about 6 months ago.
There was also consistent maritime patrol aircraft activity over the Ionian Sea, consistent with recent patterns relating to a nearby Russian Navy group. The Marshal Ustinov, a Slava-class cruiser, was briefly tracked south of Crete heading east, ~7 hours ago. 6/8
Today, at least 13 NATO ISR aircraft flew sorties over Europe: USN P-8As (4 PS21x, PS20x); USAF RQ-4 (FORTE11), E-8C (REDEYE6), RC-135U (HOMER19); US Army RC-12X (YANK01, YANK02), ARTEMIS (BRIO68); NATO RQ-4D (UAVGH000); German Navy P-3C (GNY4530). 1/5
Despite the P-8 activity in the Ionian Sea being regular these past few days, today was the first day I am including it due to recently hearing about Russian naval operations in the area.
Today, at least 8 US and Ukrainian ISR aircraft flew sorties over Europe: USAF RC-135W (JAKE12), RC-135V (HOMER71), WC-135W (JAKE21), RQ-4s (no callsign [possible FORTE12?], FORTE11); USN P-8A (PL20x); Ukrainian TB2 (12345688); NATO RQ-4D (UAVGH000) 1/8
Again we see an overall lighter day, with few P-8s in the eastern Med but with a P-8 observing the Gibraltar Strait. Two Rivet Joints providing coverage of the Belarus-Ukraine border and of Crimea, with 24-hour RQ-4 coverage of the same areas, this time with an added TB2. 2/8
Per @CSIS, the area focused on by the TB2 can be shown to be busy with Russian ground forces: 3/8
Today, at least 7 US ISR aircraft flew sorties over Europe: US Army RC-12X (YANK01, YANK02), ARTEMIS (BRIO68); USAF RQ-4 (FORTE10), RC-135W (JAKE11), RC-135U (HOMER69), E-8C (REDEYE6). 1/6
There was also an eighth aircraft, another USAF RQ-4 with bogus hex #000001. This aircraft is flying over Greece at the time of posting. 2/6
I covered FORTE10's flight in yesterday's map, but it is worth noticing the similarity in location of the RQ-4 with the E-8C and RC-135W. With the distance it is flying from Kyiv, it's possible that this adjustment could be in response to nearby IADS.
Earlier today, eight ISR aircraft from the US, UK and Sweden flew over the Baltics, Ukraine, & the North & Celtic Seas: USN P-8A (PK249); US Army ARTEMIS (BRIO68); USAF RQ-4 (FORTE12); USAF RC-135W (JAKE11) Swedish S102B & S100D (SVF623, C604); RAF P-8As (RFR7041, RFR7040). 1/6
This is the second RQ-4 flight to make this pattern in the last week, making use of the same airframe. There is a possibility that we will see the return of the daily RQ-4 flights over and around Ukraine. 2/6
All of the approximate unit locations reported by @konrad_muzyka are covered by the line-of-sight range of the RQ-4, giving us a better idea of what she's focusing on.
Earlier today, five ISR aircraft from the US, Sweden, and Ukraine flew over the Baltics, Ukraine, and the North Sea: USN P-8A (PK22x), US Army RC-12X (YANK01, YANK02), Ukrainian TB2 (1235678), Swedish S100D (SVF604). 1/3
The Ukrainian TB2 briefly transmitted (~12 minutes) along the Crimean border, tracking west back to Mykolaiv. It is possible, based on prior flights, that she spent some time over the Donbas region. 2/3
SVF604 100004 #4A8220 from Malmen AB, SE
PK22x #AE67DE from Keflavík, IS
YANK01 88-00325 #AE515E from Šiauliai, LT
YANK02 91-00516 #AE1208 from Šiauliai, LT
12345678 #001071 from Mykolaiv AB, UA
3/3
Earlier today, ten ISR aircraft from multiple NATO members flew over the Baltics and Ukraine:
USN P-8A (PK18x)
US Army RC-12Xs (YANK01 & YANK03)
USAF RC-135W (JAKE11)
USAF E-8C (REDEYE6)
RAF P-8A (GURNY01)
RAF RC-135W (RRR7205)
Swedish S100D (SVF604)
Swedish S102B (SVF623) 1/5
Norwegian 20ECM (NOW717H)
German P-3C (GNY4500).
Callsigns, Registrations, Hexes:
PK18x #AE68AA from Keflavík, IS
JAKE11 62-4134 #AE01CE from RAF Mildenhall, UK
REDEYE6 01-2005 #AE1499 from Ramstein AB, DE
YANK03 & YANK01 88-00325 #AE515E from Šiauliai, LT
3/5
RRR7205 ZZ665 #43C39C from RAF Waddington, UK
GURNY01 ZP801 #43C918 from RAF Lossiemouth, UK
SVF623 102003 #4A81F8 from Malmen AB, SE
SVF604 100004 #4A8220 from Malmen AB, SE
NOW717H 053 #478121 from Gardermoen AS, NO
GNY4500 60+08 #3F6008 from Nordholz AB, DE #ADSB 4/5