Share this page!

Enter URL or ID to Unroll

You can paste full URL like: https://x.com/threadreaderapp/status/1644127596119195649
or just the ID like: 1644127596119195649

How to get URL link on X (Twitter) App

  1. On the Twitter thread, click on or icon on the bottom
  2. Click again on or Share Via icon
  3. Click on Copy Link to Tweet
  4. Paste it above and click "Unroll Thread"!
  5. More info at Twitter Help
David Coletto Profile picture
@DavidColetto
Feb 24, 2022 • 10 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
The latest @abacusdataca poll comes about 2 weeks after our previous one. Here's what we found:

1. LPC and CPC are deadlocked at 31%. NDP at 20%

More here: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit… Image
2. 3-way race in BC, LPC slightly ahead in ON, and BQ ahead by 8 in Quebec. CPC is well ahead in the Prairies.

More here: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit… Image
3. Mood of the country has stabilized but is still lower than at any point since Spring 2021. All this was done before today's events in Ukraine.

More here: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit… Image
4. The federal government's approval rating is largely unchanged from earlier this month. 39% approve vs. 46% disapprove but the disapproval number is still at more than 12 month high.

More here: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit… ImageImage
5. Clear majority support invoking the Emergencies Act - 57% vs. 30%.

Support by party voters:
LPC 79%
CPC 40%
NDP 63%
BQ 59%

More here: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit… Image
6. PM Trudeau's favourables steady but still higher than at any point since the pandemic started. Have to go back to the SNC Lavalin scandal to see his negatives this high.

More here: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit… Image
7. CPC Leader Candice Bergen has seen a change in her favorables. Negatives up 4, positives up 3. Convoy/occupation put her in the spotlight.

More here: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit… Image
8. NDP Leader Singh's positives continue to drop slowly. Under 40% for the first time since August 2021. Negatives up slightly over the past few weeks.

More here: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit… Image
All in all, the events have the past few weeks have hurt impressions of the government and PM but have also done little to improve the standing of the main opposition parties.

Accessible voter pools for LPC, NDP, and CPC are fairly consistent with what we found in November. Image
You can get all the details here: abacusdata.ca/canadian-polit…

Survey was done online with 5,200 Canadian adults from Feb 17 to 22, 2022.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
　

Keep Current with David Coletto

David Coletto Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @DavidColetto

David Coletto Profile picture
Feb 5
Merged our last 4 #onpoli surveys to look a bit deeper into the relationship between vote and other variables.

Surveys are from November to January and I have a total of 3,460 cases to work with.

The overall provincial vote intention was:

🔵PC 44%
🔴OLP 24%
🟠NDP 21%
🟢GPO 6%

Follow this 🧵for more data from @abacusdatacaImage
Vote by Community Type:

Urban:

🔵PC 42%
🔴OLP 24%
🟠NDP 23%
🟢GPO 6%

Suburban:

🔵PC 45%
🔴OLP 25%
🟠NDP 18%
🟢GPO 7%

Rural:

🔵PC 46%
🔴OLP 19%
🟠NDP 22%
🟢GPO 7%
Vote by union membership

Private sector union:

🔵PC 47%
🔴OLP 23%
🟠NDP 17%
🟢GPO 8%

Public sector union:

🔵PC 34%
🔴OLP 29%
🟠NDP 29%
🟢GPO 6%
Read 8 tweets
David Coletto Profile picture
Feb 1
NEW: What do Americans think about Canada, tariffs, and a possible trade war? Our latest @gzero / @abacusdataca poll finds surprising insights on how our neighbors view the economic relationship. 🇺🇸🇨🇦 🧵⬇️
Canada’s Reputation:
Americans have a positive view of Canada—69% favourable vs. just 8% unfavourable. But when it comes to economic issues, goodwill doesn’t always translate into policy alignment. Image
Trade & Tariffs:
56% of Americans believe Canada has benefited more from free trade than their country.

But only a minority think Canada is a major source of fentanyl or illegal immigrants

These perceptions are fascinating and important to consider. Image
Read 5 tweets
David Coletto Profile picture
Jan 2
🧵Why have the Conservatives gained most and the Liberals lost most among economically progressive/ culturally conservative voters according to the @abacusdataca voter segmentation? Image
Conservatives have gained momentum among Economic Progressives & Cultural Conservatives because these voters prioritize affordability and social stability.

They support government intervention in healthcare, education, or income support, but feel uneasy about rapid cultural shifts.
Trudeau’s Liberals, in their view, either overreached on social issues and under-delivered on tangible economic relief - it's a perfect storm caused by inflationitis.

Poilievre’s Conservatives tapped into frustrations about rising living costs, rising crime, and the impact of immigration.

By promising lower taxes, supporting traditional values, and critiquing bureaucratic “gatekeepers,” Conservatives appear more in tune with these voters’ desire for strong public programs and cautious cultural evolution, driving a shift in support.
Read 5 tweets
David Coletto Profile picture
Dec 13, 2023
Working on some new #cdnpoli poll analysis that I'm really excited about.

Back in April, I asked Canadians what they thought a Poilievre government would do if elected and what it should do.

I reasked the exact same questions on our most recent @abacusdataca survey...🧵
The results are fascinating.

First, perceptions about what a Poilievre government would or wouldn't do haven't changed much EXCEPT for:

Eliminating the carbon tax (+14)
Making housing more affordable (+9)
Cutting taxes (+6)
Taking climate change seriously (+5) Image
The fact that axing the carbon tax and housing have most so much is a testiment to the relentless discipline the Conservatives and Poilievre have displayed on those two issues.
Read 12 tweets
David Coletto Profile picture
Dec 13, 2023
What accounts for the shift in voter intentions in #cdnpoli from our latest survey?

A few data points to consider 🧵

🔵CPC 37% (-5)
🔴LPC 27% (+4)
🟠NDP 19% (-)

abacusdata.ca/conservative-l…
Image
First, some key metrics for the Liberals, the fed gov't and the PM haven't moved much from last month.

The shift is not about people warming up to the PM or Liberal gov't again.

Image
Image
Image
Second, we do see an uptick in negative sentiment towards @PierrePoilievre. 3-point increase in negatives and a corresponding 3-point decline in positives. Image
Read 9 tweets
David Coletto Profile picture
Jul 5, 2023
Working through some new polling I did on immigration in Canada which I'm going to track every 6 months.

Survey was done last week with a representative sample of 1,500 Canadian adults online.

A few initial findings and thoughts:

#cdnpoli #immigration #publicopinion #canada
When told that Canada's immigration target is about 500,000, 6 in 10 feel it is too high, including 37% who say it is "way too high".
Views are pretty consistent across the country (except in BC). Age is somewhat of a factor - younger Canadians less likely to feel immigration target is too high.

Interestingly, even a majority of immigrants think the immigration target is too high.
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

Send Email!

:(