David Rothkopf Profile picture
Feb 25 7 tweets 1 min read
Common MAGA argument is “Putin didn’t invade Ukraine under Trump. Which means he saw Trump as strong.” Nonsense. Under Trump he didn’t have to invade. Trump was doing more to remove the NATO threat than an invasion could.
Trump sought to draw down the US troop presence in NATO by a lot. Trump had plans to pull out of NATO altogether in term two. Trump regularly attacked NATO allies and sowed dissension.
(See the relations between Trump’s ambassador to Germany and the Germans.) And recall Trump was actually impeached for withholding vital aid from Ukraine.
Putin didn’t invade Ukraine under Trump because during his term of office Putin’s best plan for weakening NATO was Trump.
And don’t give me this nonsense Trump was strengthening NATO by forcing them to pay more line. He didn’t even understand how NATO financing worked. He attacked their spending as a way to attack the idea of the alliance. And the 2% commitment idea preexisted Trump by a lot.
And don’t say Trump was tough on Russia (he was the opposite). Or that he gave Ukraine weapons. That was done on the initiative of others and often against his protests behind the scenes.
In fact senior officials who wanted to be tough on Trump often tried to work those issues behind his back/without his involvement. No, for four years Trump was Putin’s wrecking ball for the Western Alliance—on many levels.

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More from @djrothkopf

Feb 27
The fear of taking action that might escalate this war so that it spills beyond the borders of Ukraine or creates a nuclear crisis is real, understandable and even a sign of sanity.
The fear of what happens to Ukraine and also to the international order if we do not more actively defend them is also real, understandable and our answer will help define the measure of our morality.
Putin's calculus was wrong on many levels--depending on Western disunity, American weakness, and Ukrainian passivity in the face of invasion. On each front he has grossly misunderstood the situation and his plans have been confounded.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 27
The leader of the Republican Party reminds America again that he is not on our side, that he supports a brutal dictator who has launched a barbarous attack against an innocent European neighbor, a democracy of 45 million people.
There is no "yes, but" on this, no way to rationalize it. He has taken the side of evil, been called out for it, and has maintained his pro-Putin, anti-American, anti-NATO alliance, anti-democracy stance. He doesn't offer a "different point of view."
He is actively working to destroy everything that America has stood for in the world for the past 80 years...even as, via his January 6th coup attempt and on-going assault on our democracy...he also seeks destroy the system of government we have had for two and a half centuries.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 26
I was reading up on Ukrainian history the other day. It's an extraordinary story that connects with every part of the world, to many of the world's peoples and religions. Ukraine, as much as Istanbul, is surely the crossroads of the world.
Its story is one not just of Slavs but of Vikings, Mongols, Khazars, Turks, Christians, Muslims & Jews. It is full of innovation, from the pre-historic domestication of horses to the flourishing of Kievan Rus. It has seen the horrific from brutal wars to the Holodomor.
Like any nation, it has seen evil and intolerance and also redemption and great creativity, been divided by tribalism and seized by empires. It also seemed quite remote to me until this week's events. But as I read, I realized that was a mistake.
Read 15 tweets
Feb 26
One reason this war for Ukraine resonates so clearly is that it is the rare conflict that is largely without ambiguity. Russia provoked an innocent neighbor without provocation. Their reasons had to do with the virtues of that neighbor country--notably its embrace of democracy.
The Russian invaders are brutal and violating international law. The Russian leader is a dangerous, kleptocratic war criminal without a single redeeming virtue. The people of Ukraine are fighting heroically against great odds to defend themselves.
The protestors against the war in Russia are heroically standing up to the despotic, corrupt regime that has stolen so much from the since Putin took power. The Western powers are acting in defense of peace and international law.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 25
While there's much to be careful of in sorting through Twitter (or Tik Tok or Facebook or other) feeds on the Ukraine war, there's no doubt that the availability of social media and so many witnesses with access to the Net and global audiences is transformative.
If you know who to follow and understand what you're seeing, the place to keep track of this conflict is no longer cable news. (Which is now more a source of analysis than breaking news as it was, for example, during the Gulf Wars.).
It is also the place where effective memes/viral stories can have important political consequences. The Sunflower Lady and the story of Snake Island are two powerful examples. So too is just the image of Zelenskyy staying in Kiev, defeating disinformation w/a Tweet.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 25
Enjoyed appearing on @TheBeatwithAri. One of you folks asked me to recap what I named as Putin's 5 big miscalculations. Happy to.
1. He expected the reaction to the invasion would be roughly what it was to Georgia & Crimea. Clearly, the outrage is orders of magnitude worse.
2. He expected NATO to be divided and unable to act. It has been unified and he has actually materially strengthened it.
3. He expected the US to be divided and thus weak. We have not. Biden & team have been strong, effective, smart leaders.
4. He felt Ukraine would be a push-over. Not going to happen. The military has already shown it'll put up a fight. However, even if Russia takes Kiev & ousts the gov't, installing a puppet, there will be a major insurgency & keeping a lid on Ukraine will be v. costly & difficult.
Read 9 tweets

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