"As long as we don't make any strategic blunders, China's modernization process will not be hampered by the US, and China may even play a bigger role in the construction of the new world order" - according to Prof. Zheng Yongnian, Ukraine reflects the changing world order.
1/7
The influential political scientist of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (Shenzhen), believes that the war in Ukraine has shown the US and the West that their main threat is Putin and Russia, not China.
2/
Zheng explains how we got here, and how, in his opinion, the new world order has been forming since the end of the Cold War, and it will eventually replace the current hegemonic US-led order with a more decentralized order led by regional major powers.
Excerpt:
3/
"With no superpowers, only major powers and regional powers, the new intn'l order in the making will reflect a greater distribution of wealth, power, and cultural authority. The liberal ideology of the West will endure, but it will no longer dominate the international order.
4/
"For China, the war in Ukraine has accelerated the ongoing great changes that have not been seen in a century. The international situation is perilous, and we must analyze new changes and trends in major powers' interactions calmly and rationally, without sentimentality,
5/
"because any emotional impulse could lead to destructive strategic blunders. But one thing is clear:
6/
"The reason a major power is a major power, or at least considered one, is not because of its ability to challenge the old order, much less conduct war, but rather because of its responsibility and ability to promote and maintain international peace."
7/7
guancha.cn/ZhengYongNian/…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Tuvia Gering 陶文亚

Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @GeringTuvia

Feb 26
"The most fundamental reason for Ukraine's current condition is that its government is a puppet controlled by the US" - quoted from Zhanhao占豪, a private media account that is consistently among the top ten most-read on WeChat for commentary on current affairs. Excerpts:
1/5
"[Ukraine's] policymakers have no understanding of politics and are total rookies when it comes to international relations and geopolitics. A tragic end is virtually unavoidable when you're led by someone like him (Zelenskyy).
2/
"Many countries will vanish in the next few decades until the end of the century, as Zhanhao has repeatedly stated. This is the unavoidable outcome of the 'great changes unseen in a century' [a key Xi Jinping phrase that is found in varying contexts].
3/
Read 5 tweets
Feb 26
"Small countries should take notice and fully appreciate that those who play with fire get burned... They must strike a balance between the major powers and invariably bend the knee in front of certain countries" - Political scientist Guo Jicheng's comments on Ukraine.
1/11
Guo Jicheng is a CCP member, lecturer for the Beijing Municipal Party Committee, and an associate professor at the Institute of Ideological and Political Studies at the China Uni. of Political Science and Law. He has 2 million followers on Douyin (TikTok). Full translation:
2/
"The situation in Ukraine is complicated. It's a question of how much pressure this small country can withstand and what it will do if dismembered; it will have global consequences.
3/
Read 11 tweets
Feb 24
"We must determine which is the principal and which is the secondary contradiction. The primary aim of the struggle is the US imperialist hegemony, while the historical baggage between China and Russia can be shelved for the time being" - editorial board of Eric Li's Guancha
1/5
Needless to say, her use of the terms "primary contradiction" and "secondary contradiction" is based on one of Mao's most famous lectures, which would become the essay "On Contradiction." (marxists.org/reference/arch…)
Excerpt from the video:
2/
"There was a time when China and the US got along, but our economic size and development model have reached a point where we must meet the US head-on.
3/
Read 5 tweets
Feb 20
"Maintaining fairness&justice in🇺🇦, actively encouraging talks, & promoting peace are more in line with China's int'l image, strategic goals, & the common interests of the int'l community than hoping for a reprieve after a major conflict b/w the🇺🇸and🇷🇺" - Cui Hongjian, CIIS
1/6
Cui, senior research fellow and director of the Department for European Studies at CIIS and a contributor to the Carnegie–Tsinghua Center has also said that "achieving regional stability and strategic balance will better serve China's national interests in the long run."
2/
The article's main argument, however, is that "linking between the fate of Taiwan and Ukraine is a trap". Cui argues that the US-led West's insistence on drawing parallels between the two cases belies three premises:
3/
Read 6 tweets
Feb 17
"If in the 90s - and going into the last decade - globalization was interest-driven through trade and investment, one of the many characteristics of today's globalization is the return of ideology" - Renowned Chinese economist Zhang Yuyan on the post-pandemic world.
1/3
Zhang, a Senior Fellow & Director of the Inst. of World Economics and Politics at the state-led Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), has published a new article titled "The Game of Major Powers in a Post-Pandemic Era" in the "World Economics and Politics" journal.Excerpt:2/
"The game between major powers or groups of states has shifted from pure 'interest politics' to 'interest politics+principles politics,' making it more difficult to reach an intn'l consensus. Of course, in the end, the principles that uphold justice for mankind will triumph." 3/3
Read 4 tweets
Feb 16
"China has been pursuing its own form of decoupling for more than a decade" - Since 2018, policymakers in China and the US have been frequently using the term "decoupling" to describe the changing dynamics in bilateral relations.
1/8
Despite leading voices in the Biden administration now talking about "recoupling," many analysts, including former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd, have warned that this could be a self-fulfilling prophecy.
2/
In a new column titled "Prophecies and Realities of Sino-US Relations," Yu Yongding, ex-pres of the China Society of World Economics and dir. of the Inst. of World Economics and Politics at the state-run CN Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), also warns against this eventuality
3/
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(