I will repeat that Putin does not care at all what happens to Russia or Russians and he never has. He thinks about staying in power today and tomorrow. That's it. You can never say a dictator has miscalculated as long as he's still the dictator.
Now that Putin's original plan to take Kyiv quickly, assuming the UKR military would collapse & Zelensky would flee, has failed, he will lift all restrictions on destruction in the capital in order to take it all costs.
Obviously they weren't avoiding civilian casualties before, but weren't seeking them. Now no more precision, just destruction and terror. Putin doesn't care "how it looks" to the world or to Ukrainians or to Russians if they cannot make him pay.
What is the difference to Putin if there are a 1000 dead or 10,000 or 100,000? Is he still in power? Is he still rich? As I've often said, the ability to act this way, purely selfishly, is a superpower of autocrats. Normal people cannot emulate it.
Putin will bomb & shell, attack key infrastructure to destroy the capacity of the city to resist. He doesn't want a long siege. His money will dry up from sanctions and the West's promised weapons are still far away. But Russian tanks are there now.
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What a joke. Trump has no plan for ending the war because his only idea is to give Putin everything he asks, which wouldn’t end the war at all. Europe and Ukraine know this. More importantly, Putin knows this and sees no reason to stop the killing he started.
Putin started the war in 2014, expanded it in 2022, and Russia has intensified attacks on Ukrainian civilians every day of Trump's time in office. The motives Putin had to try to destroy Ukraine are still there while no new reasons for him to stop have been created. Simple.
I and others have been listing the consequences Putin would need to face to end this war, and ways to create them, since 2014. The haven't changed much, but Europe and 3 different US presidents keep choosing failed alternatives out of ignorance, corruption, and cowardice.
I'm afraid you're too good for the brave new Putinized world of Trump, Mike! This is a business meeting, no foreign policy expertise required. Witkoff & Bessent, Russian finance guys, that's where the action is. Putin may toss in some Ukraine for show, at best.
Everything Trump does is about Trump. Not Ukraine, not America. This hasty and otherwise pointless and destructive meeting is no exception. It's for the Dear Leader's monetization and glorification. Rubio had to be there for token camouflage only.
Putin may grant Trump some Ukraine headlines to fulfill the glory requirement. The real goal is to normalize relations to enrich them both. Any deal signed with Putin's murderous dictatorship will end America's role as leader of the free world as much as a document of surrender.
Totally misunderstanding Witkoff's mission and Trump's entire agenda. Witkoff's only job is to make the most profitable deal for his boss, and he's competent at that.
The media is so used to standard narratives of national interests that they force everything into that framework even when it doesn't fit. Dictators like Putin and would-be autocrats like Trump don't care about "Russia" or "America", only their personal power, wealth, and image.
Struggling to see how Trump or Putin's decisions are good for their nations or people is pointless. They don't care. The top goal of the elected autocrat is to make the will of the people meaningless. Putin succeeded years ago and Trump acts like he's close--and he may be.
Nothing is honorable about rewarding the aggressor & condemning the victim to occupation, torture, and death. And Ukraine doesn’t have to forcibly expel every Russian soldier from its land when hitting Russian targets + allies destroying the RU economy will force them to leave.
"Ukraine can’t win" has been the mantra of Kremlin propagandists for years now. As if Ukrainians needed to march on Moscow, or send out meat waves of infantry like Russia does. Ukraine *can* win, by making continuing the war more dangerous for Putin’s grasp on power than leaving.
As the great English philosopher GM Nigel Short once said, when your opponent offers a draw, stop and consider why he thinks he’s losing! Putin is showing more interest in negotiations because his position is getting worse, and he knows Trump will help.
The Russian economy is collapsing, Ukrainian strikes are crippling RU energy & will only expand, and all Putin has left is terror attacks on civilians. What to do? Call Trump to the rescue! Get sanctions lifted, stop UKR strikes, marginalize Europe, kill more innocents. 1/7
If Senator Graham has any decency left he will hide in a dark corner and never speak again. Rubio is a Catholic who believes in Heaven and Hell, no? The only question left is the price. How much is Putin paying for the US to betray its allies, values, and its own security? 2/7
Don't forget Fox News & the rest of the MAGA sycophant media. "Russia hoax"? Ok, give one example of anything Trump has ever done that harmed Putin directly. The only hoaxes are Trump pretending to care about Ukraine & months of "he's getting frustrated with Putin" stories. 3/7
For over a century, US power, including hard power, was a force for good in the world. Yes, I said it. My latest Autocracy In America guest @AmbJohnBolton also says it, with plenty to back it up. From Iran to Russia to Hamas, what Trump's isolationism gets wrong. Link 👇
Listen or read my latest podcast episode of Autocracy In America with Ambassador John Bolton, who still believes America can, and should, be a force for democracy in the world. theatlantic.com/podcasts/archi…
Growing up in the USSR, but with the rare privilege of traveling abroad thanks to chess, I had no doubt who the good guys were, and it wasn’t us. Not to say the US and its myriad interventions were all pure of intent or outcome! But democracies standing up to dictators is good.