Polish firemen packing milk and clothing for refugees outside the railway station at Przemysl, the border town just west of Ukraine. Local residents have turned out in droves to donate. #UkraineWar
Local officials tell us there’s too much right now- the cars are all full up. But thousands and thousands more are expected today.
We’re told typically you’d expect about 3000 people crossing the border- yesterday was north of 25000.
Supplies of water too
Hundreds of people waiting in the elegant surroundings of Przemysl station. It’s chaotic. Weirdly incongruous with the surroundings. But of course, places like this, at such a European crossroads, have seen scenes like this before. But never thought they would again.
Local fire brigade co-ordinating free onward transport from the station. Local residents are turning out to offer lifts for arrivals.
Hundreds of people, including families waiting for the next train to come in. One woman has just arrived with her 8 year old boy who needs medical care. Over 500 were on a tiny train. There were no working toilets on board, kids had to pee in bottles.
Bear in mind we’re only really seeing the numbers from western Ukraine right now. Many fleeing further east have simply been stuck or making painstakingly slow progress. Assuming the war continues we’ve barely seen the tip of the iceberg.
For example we just spoke to a woman who has taken 1.5 days to make a journey which would normally take a few hours.
The levels of generosity here from the central and Eastern European nations and peoples is something to behold. Just spoke to a Ukrainian woman who has lost her grandmother & brother. A man has travelled from Prague to take her to Czechia and family. He doesn’t even know her.
Train station full of recent arrivals, mainly women, children and elderly waiting to be processed. One family we spoke to have been travelling for a week. Some have been standing on this train for over 20 hours.
A lost little girl on the platform, being helped by the train guard and Polish Scouts, who are helping coordinate aid.
Refugees fleeing from a modern European warzone. Put it in black and white it could be 80 yrs ago. A 19yr old told me her family had made her leave them in Lviv (a 1.5 day journey which would normally have taken a few hours): “so if the worst happens, at least one of us is left.”
Polish aid operation in full swing. Asking on the tannoy for older people to come forward first for food and medicine. Biggest car hire company in Poland is offering free hires for people offering to provide transport to refugees.
This gentleman is also offering free transport for refugees, with a free message for someone else.
The trains aren’t only full of people coming out of Ukraine. We’ve spoken to people here who are going into Ukraine-mainly Ukrainian men from abroad who are going back to their fight for their country. One told me: “I’m not afraid to die. I have to do this. There isn’t a choice.”
We’ve been told of Ukrainians coming to fight from as far afield as Canada (where there’s a huge Ukrainian population).
People here offering free travel to as far as Estonia. That’s a 850 mile drive.
You’d think this would be a queue for a train out of 🇺🇦. It’s not. It’s for the next train to Lviv. Why? some journalists. But also Ukrainian men living abroad (or who were abroad) when the invasion began going to fight. And Mums who weren’t in the country going to get their kids
For example, we spoke to this group of Ukrainian women. They were all on a holiday together to Spain when war broke out. Each of them has kids in Lviv and Kyiv and beyond. All of them have been trying desperately to get back to 🇺🇦since war broke out. It’s taken them all week.
It’s hard to imagine what this journey must have been like. And they’re the lucky ones.
What astounds me when I look at these thousands of people is that none of them would be here, endured this journey, had these searing experiences, had their lives transformed, if it weren’t for the choices of one man. The power of the politics he has chosen is breathtaking.
There are so many supplies here which people have donated and more seem to arrive every minute. The local mayor has actually asked people to stop bringing things, as you can see, the station is rapidly running out of space to put them.
Not least because Europe had convinced itself it had left the era of “great man” power politics behind. Virtually everyone I spoke to had a deep loathing for Putin (though notably not Russians). One 20 yr old woman told me if she had the chance she’d “kill him with my own hands.”
These are people who never imagined they’d be refugees. A week ago they were living entirely typical lives. They never really believed Putin would do what he’s done, hence so many being away from Ukraine on work trips, holidays etc and now desperately trying to get back.
Been lots of discussion on here about discrimination to non-whites at the border. I didn’t see any discrimination myself today (there were non-whites being let through) but of course it doesn’t mean it isn’t happening. Talking to some Poles there is an awareness that…
…Ukrainians are being treated v differently in this crisis compared to say the Syria crisis, or those at the Belarusian border. One Polish man, who was waiting to give people lifts, told me he thought there was some racism at play. Also a sense of closeness to the Ukrainians…
…which isn’t there with those who are from further afield. There is a sense a Slavic solidarity, despite the real tensions which have existed between Poles and Ukrainians over the years. And of course, as one man said to me, a common foe in the Russian state: “we know it could…
“…so easily have been us. It has been us.”
That solidarity is on full display throughout the city of Przemyśl (and such a handsome city, at that).
This is a place at the confluence of peoples, history and empires. This town was sieged in WW1 when part of the Austrian-Hungarian empire (by Russians). Then fought over by Ukrainians and Poles in the interwar years. Then this river was the border between the Reich and…
…Soviet Union after carving Poland in WW2 (until Barbarossa). It’s used to its fair share of refugees, war and great power politics. Everyone hoped and probably assumed that they wouldn’t return, two decades into the 21st century.
What we’ve seen is just the start. We could be looking at a crisis of millions. Something to remember- they all hope and expect to go home and quickly. They don’t want to settle. Just somewhere to be safe for now, until they can go back, to the country they love and lament.
Closing up this thread for today. More of all this on tomorrow’s @BBCNewsnight.
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For those waking up in US, bewildered in Europe, what happened?
Have been on air for last 12 hours pouring over the data
Here it is
There's no silver lining for Democrats. Trump won everywhere. He's going to win the popular vote. He did better across the demographics. He grew his coalition, better with black voters, Latinos, young voters. The US become less racially divided by party. Harris underperformed Biden virtually everywhere.
Trump improved on his 2020 margin in 2,367 counties. His margin decreased in only 240 counties.
Trump didn't just sweep up in the swing states, and none of them are going to be that close. He closed the gap on Harris in a tonne of blue states. She turned out anaemic victories in New York, New Jersey, Rhode Island, Minnesota. He expanded his margins in red states to take huge generationally big victories in Florida and Iowa. He flipped Miami Dade county, winning a heavily Latino county Hillary won by 30 points by 10. He drove down Harris margins in big urban centres everywhere, including Chicago, New York, Austin etc.
This feels a far more devastating loss for the Democrats, even than 2016.
2016 the Dems had plenty of things to console them. A massive popular vote victory. A narrow electoral college loss in a few places. A rock solid ethnic minority coalition which looked like a solid electoral map of the future. Roe was intact. The Supreme Court was still balanced.
They have none of that now. They're staring down the barrel of a transformed Republican Party and a sustained inability to know how to deal with Trump and Magaism. In policy terms, they also have nowhere to go. In Biden's term they governed exactly in line with their own instincts. It's been soundly rejected by the electorate.
Extraordinary intervention from Donald Trump’s own former Chief of Staff John Kelly. The fmr general says Trump meets the definition of a fascist, would govern like a dictator and has no understanding of the Constitution or the concept of rule of law.
Kelly says: “Certainly the former president is in the far-right area, he’s certainly an authoritarian, admires people who are dictators — he has said that. So he certainly falls into the general definition of fascist, for sure.”
Kelly says Trump would not want to be pictured with amputee veterans saying that “it wouldn’t look good for me.”
Kelly confirms Trump spoke positively of Hitler as president.
“He commented more than once that, ‘You know, Hitler did some good things, too.”
As predicted, Labour are trying to suggest things are worse than they knew. There’s a bit of truth to that though broad contours of state of economy/public realm were known.
We’re clearly in for more pain. Just like, checks notes, the past 14 years.
That itself is an idictment of a generation of policymakers and politics. Voters might be forgiven for thinking they’ve heard all this before. Indeed they have, since George Osborne in 2010. Ernie Bevin said he wanted to be at the Ministry of Labour til 1990, ie to set the terms of thinking on industrial relations for a half century. It sometimes feels like Osborne will be Chancellor til 2050, no matter bow many times his vision of politics/political economy fails. You have to wonder how much more tolerance for it there’s going to be.
If nothing else, politically it was a huge contrast with the politics of optimism at last week’s DNC- instead now we have things are going to get worse before they get better.
Strongest sections of the speech were his diagnosis of the problems of populism and how Tories fell into that reap. Was authentically him and convincing.
The story of the last time a former president was shot and lived to tell the tale🧵
In October 1912 President Teddy Roosevelt was running for an unprecedented third term in office. He'd left the presidency four years before. On the 12th he was campaigning in Milwaukee.
Roosevelt had left the Republicans to found the Progressive Party, also known as the 'Bull Moose' Party.
On the night of the 12th October he was dining at the Gilpatrick Hotel, owned by a supporter. After eating he left to give a speech at the Milwaukee auditorium.
En route he was approached by a man called John Schrank, a German-American tavern owner, originally from Bavaria.
Shcrank opened fire on the former president with a Colt revolver. He was quickly wrestled to the ground but not before a bullet penetrated Roosevelt's body.
Fortunately, the bullet hit something else first- TR's glasses case and the folded up copy of his speech, some 50 pages long entitled "Progressive Cause Greater Than Any Individual"- both of which in his coat pocket.
NEW: Donald J. Trump is officially selected as the Republican candidate for president at the RNC in Milwaukee.
He becomes the first person since FDR in 1940 to win his party’s nomination three times on the trot (though unlike Trump he won each time).
The GOP has travelled a long way since those early Never Trump days. It’s indisputably his party now, in personnel, in ideas, in culture and the way it does politics.
That’s despite his refusal to accept the outcome of a presidential election, which led to an insurrection, and the fact he’s been convicted of a crime. It is a political journey without parallel, both personally and for his party.
The selection of Vance again shows the grip on the Republican party Trump now enjoys. In 2016 Trump was forced to choose a more establishment VP (Pence) to try and unite the party behind his candidacy. In Vance he chooses someone in his image, a prodigal son of America First.
The assassination attempt on President Trump is the 1st attempted attack on a presidential candidate for 52 years.
Political violence has a long pedigree in America's history. It haunted its politics in the 1960s. The landscape is darkening again and has been for some time.
Goes without saying that the attempt on Trump's life is heinous and deplorable. There is a lot of blame to go round for the now toxic nature of American politics which long predates Trump personally. However, while the descent of American politics towards renewed political violence did not begin with him it can't be denied he has his own significant part to play. His politics has always been predicated on the idea of existential threat. Of American enemies within and without. He mocked the attack on Nancy Pelosi's husband, downplayed the kidnap plot on Gretchen Whitmer. And then there is the big lie and January 6th which continues to fray the bonds of American democracy.
In other words, Trump has been part of this change in US politics, of the turn to extreme aggression in US politics, which will probably outlast him. It doesn't justify anything in any way, but it does help to explain part of the context of a democracy which increasingly feels a couple of wrong moves from complete disaster. You can't understand that without Trump and the unique way he does politics.
In the meantime, with only four months to go until the US election, this will reframe everything, especially with the RNC about to get underway.
Trump's position within the Republican Party will be solidified even further. That picture will become a symbol of political martyrdom.