Today was not a great day for the Russian forces in Ukraine.
We are talking about potentially hundreds of casualties in the last 12 hours.
I’m not going to paint a rosy picture and say Ukraine is going to win, but the Russian decision not to dedicate more troops, more armor, or more fire support so far has cost them dearly.
On Ukrainian losses, I’m unsure. I imagine they have been pretty heavy as well, but today I’m actually thinking they may have come away with fewer casualties.
I do have one confirmed destroyed Ukrainian unit. A static display BDRM scout car.
Let me make it clear. These are people dying on both sides. With families. Lives. Some of them are conscript soldiers. Some are career. A lot didn’t know where they were going until just before the invasion.
Thousands of people will not come home because of this war.

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More from @Osinttechnical

Mar 1
I have seen something like 4 or 5 Russian supply convoys attacked and knocked out today.

The Ukrainians are causing a bit of havoc behind Russian lines.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 1
Most recent Wikipedia map of the invasion. Russians are still making good progress in the south, though the push to take Kyiv has stalled. Image
I expect the Russians to take a bit of time to sort their new troops out NW of Kyiv and make a push sometime soon.
Detail of Kyiv Image
Read 5 tweets
Mar 1
Strike hits the Kharkiv regional state administration building
Image
Dense area Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 28
The networking infrastructure they can build with that is definitely attractive, I do wonder if they can disable the heating element to drop the wattage requirements.
I do hope this ends up being a net positive, Elon has a history of being a bit intrusive into events like this.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 28
Russian MOD claimed air superiority over Ukraine
Based on the news that new aircraft made it to Ukraine yesterday and overnight, I'm not entirely sure.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 28
Ukrainian MOD reports 5300 Russian casualties
"Total estimated losses of the enemy from 24.02 to 28.02 as of 6.00
Aircraft 29
helicopters 29
Tanks 191
Armored fighting vehicles 816
Cannon 74
Buk 1
Grad 21
Automotive 291
Tankers 60
UAV 3
Ships / boats 2
Air Defense 5"
"Personnel approximately 5300 (to be specified)
Information is indicative and can be clarified, as it is extremely difficult to obtain after the battle, because commanders primarily focus on fighting."
Read 6 tweets

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