Palmer Report Profile picture
Mar 1 7 tweets 2 min read
Among the people who actually watch the State of the Union, few stay tuned in for the other party's rebuttal. Even fewer watch the followup speeches from fringe members of the President's own party. Who cares who all gives a followup speech? The whole thing is a non-story.
For one thing, the SOTU rebuttal is a dead end. If you give a solid speech, you get no attention. If you do something dumb (Rubio / water, Ernst / plastic bags, etc), your career trajectory stops right there. It's why the GOP is sending a loser like Kim Reynolds out there.
Most of the people who want to hear the rebuttal aren't going to sit through a SOTU from a President they hate, just to hear the rebuttal. And no one knows what time the rebuttal is going to start, so no one tunes in just for that. The rebuttal only goes viral if you screw up.
As far as a few House Democrats giving rebuttals to the rebuttal or whatever you'd call it, zero minds are ever changed by this. It's just an excuse for the media to hype the imaginary "progressive vs centrist House Democrat schism" when that's not even how the lines are drawn.
In that sense, the speeches directly after the State of the Union are similar to the Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary, in that the media hypes them to high heaven ahead of time, and then they never to have any impact on where things head after that.
I think we should have all 435 House members each give their own SOTU response speech, one after another, Jerry Lewis telethon style, until one of them finally passes out at five in the morning, and that person has to spend the next week sitting next to Majorie Taylor Greene.
I threw that joke in about Marjorie Taylor Greene at the end of the thread, just to prove a point: despite being pointless and not even a funny joke, it got more likes than most of the tweets in the otherwise important thread.

Everything in punditry is a reality show contest.

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More from @PalmerReport

Mar 3
If I had to guess, after the 1/6 committee referred Meadows for criminal contempt, the DOJ asked the committee to hold off sending any more such referrals for now, because it's complicating the ongoing criminal cases that the DOJ already has against so many of Trump's people.
Why do I say this? When the committee referred Bannon, the DOJ indicted and arrested him fairly quickly. But the contempt indictment appeared to have been carved out of a much longer indictment document, suggesting the DOJ has been building a massive criminal case against Bannon.
So the DOJ quickly acted on the 1/6 committee's first contempt indictment, as a courtesy. But then the committee referred Meadows for contempt, and ten weeks later nothing has happened – yet the committee isn't really complaining about it publicly.
Read 39 tweets
Mar 3
The reason we're pursuing legal action against @PaulCogan is that he keeps plagiarizing us WORD FOR WORD. He copy-pastes our tweets and pretends they're his. He copy-pastes our articles into Twitter threads and pretends he wrote them. It's textbook word for word plagiarism.
Cogan has plagiarized Palmer Report (word for word) more than a dozen times over the past year; it's not just some one-off mistake on his part.

We have repeatedly asked him to cease and desist, publicly and privately. He's had plenty of warning.
Moreover, Cogan routinely posts links to various other political news sites. He clearly knows how to post an article link, and regularly does so. Best we can tell, Palmer Report is the ONLY site whose content he steals and presents as if it were his own work.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 2
Once Canada cracked down on its trucker idiots, it was fairly obvious that no similar trucker protests would emerge in the U.S.

Right wing anti-government types usually scatter at the first sign they’re outnumbered. It’s why governments should never treat them with kid gloves.
Obviously the U.S. still needed to put superior forces about the Capitol, which it did. It’s part of the reason no one showed up. Just as Trump’s goons didn’t take another swing at the Capitol on Inauguration Day, once they saw the superior forces being mounted.
The only thing right wingers understand is superior displays of force. It's why they love blusterers like Trump and Putin. It's why they make big threats. And it's why they cower whenever they see that the government has them outnumbered.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 2
Times like this, the "do something" crowd on Twitter is particularly harmful to public discourse. They demand NATO do something in Ukraine, while ignoring what NATO is already doing in Ukraine. When you ask what else they want done, they offer no specifics, they just get louder.
These types generally have no knowledge or understanding of what's going on. They just want to come across as more brave, virtuous, and aggressive than everyone else. So they discount everything being done, and demand generic magic wand solutions instead.
If the Hague says it's holding war crimes hearings for Putin on March 7th, they say "WHY NOT TODAY?"

If a nation sends 50 fighter jets to Ukraine, they say "WHY NOT 100?"

The "do something" crowd has zero to contribute, they just discount everything that's happening.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 1
With the ruble in freefall, the Russian stock market closed indefinitely, the Russian economy gone, NATO nations arming Ukraine, The Hague holding war crimes hearings, and Biden about to use the SOTU to rally the world, Putin’s derangement is likely to escalate today.
This doesn’t mean Putin is going to suddenly pull a rabbit out of his hat. This isn’t the movies. In the real world, if you’re losing your leverage and power, desperation moves may make things worse for your enemy, but they also make things much worse for yourself.
Putin’s only two remaining avenues of power:

1) Ratcheting up his verbal threats against the West, which we have to brush off at this point

2) Being more cruel with his attacks in Ukraine, to try to distract from their lack of effectiveness.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 1
Vladimir Putin is "frustrated and directing unusual bursts of anger at people in his inner circle," per NBC News. We're watching Putin unravel in real time. Now is the time to ratchet things up. Let's put even more financial pressure on the Russian oligarchs to finish him off.
What really stands out is that the U.S. has this information. Either we have a mole very high in Putin's regime, or we've bugged the most "secure" rooms in the Kremlin, or Putin's advisers have decided it's time for him to go and are leaking this stuff to us accordingly.
No way to know for sure, but at least one of the above type of scenarios must be true. More to the point, there's no way for Putin to know which of the age scenarios are true. Does he start tearing out the walls, taking out his advisers?
Read 4 tweets

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