Seth Frantzman Profile picture
Mar 1 4 tweets 2 min read
The #DroneWars; the ability of Ukraine to apparently keep its armed drones in the air is very important. Of course it would be good to know eventually more specifics about this; but if it’s happening as reported it’s quite extraordinary
The reason it’s extraordinary is because the Bayraktar is not particularly fast and it’s is vulnerable to air defense but it has shown an ability to get around Russian-made defenses in Syria and Libya.
Considering Russia bragging about controlling the air, Moscow’s inability to stop the drone threat says a lot. Big question is about how much munitions Ukraine has for the drones and can it keep them safe and flying.
I wrote a recent book about the global arms race for drones. The weapon of the future but of course you need a lot of them at different levels amazon.com/Drone-Wars-Pio…

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More from @sfrantzman

Mar 1
🧵 I’m seeing some of the same talking points about Ukraine that we saw during the Iran deal lead-up…the false dichotomy of “either a deal or war”…in Ukraine the argument is if the West “escalates” or threatens “nuclear armed” Russia then there could be “war” and “WWIII”…
But this is a false narrative. Russia started the war…just like Iran is the one enriching uranium. Both of them can simply stop and be peaceful. So if you challenge them you’re not the warmonger…THEY ARE the warmongers who began it
Second, it’s false to pretend that any western intervention in Ukraine “risks war with nuclear armed Russia”…the West has every right to be in Ukraine as Russia, it is Russia that is attempting to oppose a no-fly zone NOT the West.
Read 9 tweets
Mar 1
It appears that what began as wishful thinking by Moscow that they believed their own propaganda of being able to roll into Ukraine and be greeted…that since they weren’t welcomed they will destroy the country
The massive lie peddled by some pro-Moscow voices is that Ukraine was a “threat” to Russia…that it has to be a “buffer” between NATO and the West and if 40 million people don’t agree to be a penniless “buffer” then they have to be crushed like Stalin and Hitler did.
Of course they are resisting but they deserve better than this. They deserve billions to rebuild and defenses to stop this illegal onslaught
Read 4 tweets
Mar 1
🧵 It’s amazing the small but loud number of people for whom the Israel-Palestinian conflict didn’t get enough coverage daily for 70 years that they can’t allow one day of Ukraine coverage to not be about “what about Israel”…this laser obsession is how antisemitism works
Bombs are falling on Ukrainian cities, hundreds or thousands are fleeing, a massive war is going on, thousands reported dead and wounded; but for a handful of obsessed people…Ukraine can’t have one day of coverage. For them it’s always “what about Israel, Palestinian”
Literally every other day of the year often has news items concentrating on the tiniest aspect of the Israel-Palestinian issue; like ONE eviction in east Jerusalem. But these folk see 300,000 people fleeing in Ukraine and can’t allow for one second just focus on that.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 1
Is someone geolocating those Ukrainian Bayraktar drone strike videos we’ve been seeing from Ukraine. I think there are several, one on a train and one on a convoy of trucks? Be interested to learn more about where they happened
Read 5 tweets
Feb 28
The worst take on Ukraine is anyone who uses the term "globalists" when discussing the conflict. Some of these people dare to look at a country being invaded, bombed, strafed and rockets falling on civilians and call the victims "globalists" and the cause "globalists"
If you come to point in your political life where you can watch hundreds of thousands of civilians fleeing, apartments mangled by rockets...and people taking up arms to defend their land...and see their cause as "globalists"...you've gone off the deep end...
How the far-right got warped into a pretzel such that it sees a country trying to be independent, trying to live a free life, just wanting peace and seeking to go about its life normally...and sees the country being attacked by a much stronger country...
Read 5 tweets
Feb 28
I don't buy any of the critiques of Israel relating to the Russia invasion of Ukraine when it comes often from former US policymakers...first of all because many of them don't critique the fact the US is still not being as tough on Russia as European states...
Literally they will slam Israel for not doing "something"...while they don't even ask what the US administration is doing. They want Israel to be tougher on Russia than the US...which is bizarre.
Second of all it's convenient that a huge war begins in Europe and the first thing some do is say "what about Israel"...you've got a whole world of countries...huge conflict in Ukraine and their focus is Israel...seems to be an agenda.
Read 17 tweets

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