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Mar 1 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
"When there's an avalanche, no snowflake is innocent" - Prof. Yao Lu, Dep-Dir of Jilin U's Northeast Asian Studies College and Sec. of the Party Branch at JLU's School of Public Admin, offers a nuanced assessment of Ukraine, seeing it as a strategic opportunity for China.
1/5
Excerpts: "In 2011, the US began withdrawing troops from Afghanistan and Iraq, as Obama introduced the 'pivot to the East' - the 'return of the Asia-Pacific' - as part of the US's global strategy.
2/
"The outbreak of the conflict in Ukraine, however, has forced the US to 'face the West' once more and rethink the geopolitical security challenges ahead with its European allies.
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"This 'pivot to the East while facing the West' in its global strategy could have a significant impact on China's strategic environment.
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"In the midst of the turmoil and crises, China must maintain its strategic sobriety and determination and steadfastly pursue the path of peaceful development."
5/5
Link: aisixiang.com/data/131755.ht…

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More from @GeringTuvia

Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
Mar 1
"If the West catches even a whiff of success in their sanctions, this tool will undoubtedly be used to intimidate other countries in the future. Faced with such financial risks, we must double our efforts to integrate into the global economy" - economist Jin Zhong via Guancha 1/7 Image
Notable excerpts: "Russia is now subject to similar tech and industrial embargoes as Huawei. The weakness of our domestic chip industry has been discussed numerous times, and we must continue to increase our investment efforts as soon as possible to make up for this shortcoming.
"in 2012, China launched its own Cross Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) for financial messaging. Is this system currently functioning properly? How can we attract potential members to join? All of these issues must be addressed to make it operational as soon as possible.
3/
Read 8 tweets
Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
Feb 28
"Sino-US relations are more important to the world today than they were when Nixon visited China" - CIIS' Xu Bu uses "history as a mirror" to learn from Nixon's historic visit how the bilateral relations can improve and remain stable over time.
1/6
Last Monday marked 50 years to "the week that changed the world". For the occasion, Xu Bu, Sec-Gen of the Research Center for Xi Jinping Thought on Diplomacy and Pres of CIIS, a think-tank under the MFA, wrote a piece for the Party's theoretical publication Study Time:
2/
"First, we must follow mutual respect, peaceful coexistence, and win-win cooperation. Second, we must resist decoupling and transcend differences; we must end estrangement and build mutual trust; we must stop meddling (in others' internal affairs) and concentrate on cooperating
3
Read 6 tweets
Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
Feb 26
"As long as we don't make any strategic blunders, China's modernization process will not be hampered by the US, and China may even play a bigger role in the construction of the new world order" - according to Prof. Zheng Yongnian, Ukraine reflects the changing world order.
1/7
The influential political scientist of the Chinese University of Hong Kong (Shenzhen), believes that the war in Ukraine has shown the US and the West that their main threat is Putin and Russia, not China.
2/
Zheng explains how we got here, and how, in his opinion, the new world order has been forming since the end of the Cold War, and it will eventually replace the current hegemonic US-led order with a more decentralized order led by regional major powers.
Excerpt:
3/
Read 7 tweets
Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
Feb 26
"The most fundamental reason for Ukraine's current condition is that its government is a puppet controlled by the US" - quoted from Zhanhao占豪, a private media account that is consistently among the top ten most-read on WeChat for commentary on current affairs. Excerpts:
1/5
"[Ukraine's] policymakers have no understanding of politics and are total rookies when it comes to international relations and geopolitics. A tragic end is virtually unavoidable when you're led by someone like him (Zelenskyy).
2/
"Many countries will vanish in the next few decades until the end of the century, as Zhanhao has repeatedly stated. This is the unavoidable outcome of the 'great changes unseen in a century' [a key Xi Jinping phrase that is found in varying contexts].
3/
Read 5 tweets
Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
Feb 26
"Small countries should take notice and fully appreciate that those who play with fire get burned... They must strike a balance between the major powers and invariably bend the knee in front of certain countries" - Political scientist Guo Jicheng's comments on Ukraine.
1/11
Guo Jicheng is a CCP member, lecturer for the Beijing Municipal Party Committee, and an associate professor at the Institute of Ideological and Political Studies at the China Uni. of Political Science and Law. He has 2 million followers on Douyin (TikTok). Full translation:
2/
"The situation in Ukraine is complicated. It's a question of how much pressure this small country can withstand and what it will do if dismembered; it will have global consequences.
3/
Read 11 tweets
Tuvia Gering 陶文亚 Profile picture
Feb 24
"We must determine which is the principal and which is the secondary contradiction. The primary aim of the struggle is the US imperialist hegemony, while the historical baggage between China and Russia can be shelved for the time being" - editorial board of Eric Li's Guancha
1/5
Needless to say, her use of the terms "primary contradiction" and "secondary contradiction" is based on one of Mao's most famous lectures, which would become the essay "On Contradiction." (marxists.org/reference/arch…)
Excerpt from the video:
2/
"There was a time when China and the US got along, but our economic size and development model have reached a point where we must meet the US head-on.
3/
Read 5 tweets

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