Clint Ehrlich Profile picture
Mar 4 5 tweets 2 min read
Canada is now "holding Russia accountable" by detaining a charter flight full of its citizens.

If you wanted to sleepwalk into WW3, this is how you'd do it.
Canada's sanctions only apply to Russian *owned or operated* aircraft.

The Minister of Transportation says this was simply a charter flight carrying Russian nationals.

If that's true, this is kidnapping + air piracy.

Canada needs to *immediately* clarify the legal basis for detaining the charter flight.

What they have said so far is NOT sufficient.

If they have a legitimate justification, tell the world -- before Russia starts detaining Canadians.
The story of Canada detaining a Russian charter flight has already been picked up by Russian-language media.

The tock is clicking to avoid a major international incident.

Will Canada really be the country that pushes the West into open conflict with Russia? 🇨🇦
Canada's government is so incompetent that its foreign ministry didn't even know Canada had detained a Russian charter flight.

A regional Department of Transportation appears to have gone rogue.

Russia is demanding answers and not getting them.

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More from @ClintEhrlich

Mar 5
SITREP Day 10: Many analysts are predicting an imminent defeat of the Russian military.

In reality, Russia is on the verge of annihilating the bulk of the Ukrainian army.

The people denying this are gaslighting you.
No, I'm not exaggerating.

This viral thread from a prominent "expert" claims the Russian military is days away from collapsing and suffering the worst defeat in history.

Another, even more popular thread predicts the course of the war from looking at tires.

It claims that maintenance problems observed on a few vehicles show that Russian forces are doomed.

Read 18 tweets
Mar 5
The life of another "disloyal" lawmaker is under threat in Ukraine.

Nestor Shufrych was detained on questionable charges by vigilantes and handed over to Ukraine's security services.

Photos of him in custody imply he was threatened with beheading. 🧵 Image
Officially, Mr. Shufrych, a People's Deputy of Ukraine, was arrested for taking photos of a Ukrainian checkpoint.

It is claimed, implausibly, that he was acting as a spy passing information to the Russians. Image
In reality, it's clear that his detention is based on his politics.

That was made obvious in his rough interrogation by Ukraine's successor to the KGB (the SBU).

Here, he's being threatened for public statements in which he called for an end to the war in Donbas.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 4
The biggest danger at #Zaporizhzhia isn't a nuclear meltdown.

It's that NATO will use that overhyped risk to ratonalize entering the war.

This is classic wartime propaganda playing out before our eyes.
You know what produces more radiation than a reactor meltdown?

A nuclear war. Between the United States and Russia.

We aren't talking about another Iraq War. This is a conflict that could end the human species.
Two critical points about #Zaporizhzhia:

1. The reactor design means this isn't a second Chernobyl scenario.

2. NATO air strikes would *increase* the danger at the nuclear plant right now.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 3
SITREP - Day 8: Most analysts think the odds of a ceasefire are increasing in Ukraine.

They have it exactly backwards.

We've actually moved closer to the nightmare scenario where Kiev is simply leveled. 🧵
The Russian military is still in a strategic position to win the war.

They've already surrounded Azov Battalion at Mariupol, and they're on their way to encircling Ukraine's forces in the Donbas.

If this were a strategy game, you'd *really* want to play as Russia.
The fall of Kherson today, a city of 300k people, will mark a turning point in the war.

The Ukrainian forces barely put up any resistance, and the city was spared.

The message to other cities is clear: Fight and be leveled or surrender and be treated kindly.
Read 19 tweets
Mar 3
Intense Russian strike in Kharkov.

Likely a Kalibr cruise missile, since the jet engine appears to go silent upon impact.
Another angle of the latest Russian strike on Kharkov.
Fiery aftermath of the latest Russian strike on Kharkov.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 3
There are reports on social media of restaurants around the world banning Russians.

This discrimination has no place in a civilized society.

Random civilians should not be blamed for their government's wars.🧵
A restaurant in Greece allegedly bans Russians. Image
A restaurant in Portugal says "No service for Russians."

The sign says they'll only be served stone soup. "Bon Appétit!" Image
Read 9 tweets

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