1) By having no strategy, the US and Europe risk helping Putin by demonizing all the Russian people as the enemy.

The sudden Western shutdowns to cripple all Russians is reinforcing Putin's propaganda that "The West has always hated us and wants to destroy us."
2) Choking off Russians' free access to information allows Putin's war propaganda to dominate Russian public opinion.

Denying ordinary Russians access to apps, e-banking, credit card services, travel, etc. tells them that the West considers them the enemy. This aids the Kremlin.
3) US & EU leaders seem to think they can create a Color Revolution moment in Russia - if they're thinking things through at all, which I doubt.

I am very concerned that Putin will be able to whip up Russian nationalism among ordinary Russians who had no beef with us until now.
4) Western provocative weakness gave Putin the green light to invade Ukraine. Western leaders prepared no meaningful deterrence. Without strategy, there's no set of priorities. No consideration of second- and third-order effects. No proactive plan. All emotion-driven & reactive.

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More from @JMichaelWaller

Mar 2
If Biden was serious about de-funding Putin’s war in Ukraine, he would have called for lowering oil prices and ensuring energy independence by reopening US oil production and Keystone pipeline.
If Biden was serious about securing American borders as he said in SOTU last night, he would repeal his January 2021 executive orders that opened up those borders. He could do this in minutes if he wanted to.
If Biden was serious about "domestic terrorism" being the #1 threat, he would have mentioned it in SOTU. It's obvious that the threat level was a political abuse of intelligence and security.

People must be held accountable to restore public trust.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 26
1) Last summer, a colleague and I published a long review of Vladimir Putin's psychological motivations. It's an unsparing profile, going back to Putin's childhood, adolescence, and his membership in a Leningrad street gang that reputedly raped weak boys. centerforsecuritypolicy.org/wp-content/upl…
2) Putin has presented special riddles as to his actions, motivations, and goals, even today. Many critics, at home and in the West, paint him as nearly invincible. Some astute observers say he nurses profound personal vulnerabilities ripe for exploitation.
3) The Russian version of our report is here. centerforsecuritypolicy.org/wp-content/upl…
Read 40 tweets
Feb 24
From outside Kyiv today.
Outside Kyiv, >4 hours ago.
Low-flying Russian ground-attack fighter outside Kyiv today.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 23
Pending legislation would make Big Data censorship worse than it is. All in the name of "safety."

Conservatives flail around to "do something." But they risk giving the woke militants what they want. newsweek.com/conservatives-…
2) For years, most Republicans gave Big Data carte blanche to censor free speech. They blew the chance in 2017-18 when they controlled the White House & Congress. They ignored concerns that big social media, protected as public utilities, would censor based on political views.
3) @RichardHanania: "in response to expanded Silicon Valley censorship, it's now become common for Republicans to not just support anti-censorship rules but strict antitrust legislation to punish Big Tech."
Read 15 tweets
Feb 22
Fearful master: US Capitol today. West front remains closed off at lawn level. High steel fence with reinforced posts, looks permanent, at second floor level.
Prototypes of new permanent-looking, heavy concrete barriers, tinted to look like Capitol limestone, filled with crushed stone and joined by 1” steel bolts, still sit by Library of Congress, Independence Ave & 2nd St SE. Jersey barriers to the right look flimsy by comparison.
Close-up of the heavy duty, high steel fences on the second level of the West Front of the US Capitol. Never seen anything like this before; this was a public area since it was built. These fences went up in about December and appear permanent.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 21
Biden made his strategic signaling to Putin in May 2021. bbc.com/news/world-us-…
2) Russia conducts its massive Zapad war games near Ukraine every four years. This is a predictable event. Zapad-2021 started last September. Biden & NATO had plenty of time to say something and exercise leadership, but chose the beta option. Another green light for Moscow.
3) @AlexisMrachek of @Heritage put forward a good set of options for Biden to exercise leadership before Zapad-2021, but Biden opted for the weak approach. dailysignal.com/2021/09/08/rus…
Read 4 tweets

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