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Michael Tracey Profile picture
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Mar 6 • 4 tweets • 2 min read
Ukraine is Trying to Goad the US into World War III mtracey.substack.com/p/ukraine-is-t…
As the article notes, there is a conventional wisdom setting in that World War III has "already started," and therefore a No Fly Zone wouldn't really be an escalation, as the war is already underway. I've talked to several people in Poland who believe this
A foreign government is engaged in a full-throttle lobbying blitz to instigate the US into launching WWIII, and US media still largely parrots that government's claims with zero skepticism -- because they're the "Good Guys." Do people really not see the insane folly of this?
Just wanted to report that people have been raging over this article all day, and no one has actually tried to refute the core premise. They're just mad at the word choice and tone. Honestly, my word choice and tone could've been 1000x harsher about the prospect of imminent WWIII

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More from @mtracey

Michael Tracey Profile picture
Mar 7
UN reports 364 civilian deaths in Ukraine as of March 6. There were 7,206 civilians killed in Afghanistan between 2018 and 2019, according to the UN, while the US was a warring party. Let's not pretend there isn't extreme selectivity in the official outrage over civilian deaths
There could've been 10x or 20x that many civilian deaths in Afghanistan -- where the US was waging an intense aerial bombardment campaign and propping up the corrupt Afghan military -- and it still wouldn't have received even a fraction of the outrage now being devoted to Ukraine
Main reason: the usual distortions of US hegemony. And I don't play this card often, but I do think straight-up racism is a significant factor. There has never been anything close to this level of outrage over the 7-year civilian catastrophe in Yemen aided and abetted by the US
Read 4 tweets
Michael Tracey Profile picture
Mar 6
It's very simple: is Zelensky in the middle of a furious lobbying campaign to compel a No Fly Zone, or isn't he? He is. Would a No Fly Zone constitute war against Russia, or wouldn't it? It would. What's in dispute here? By all means, try to challenge either one of those premises
Are people going to pause and think for a second? Why is the media feverishly lionizing a foreign leader who is actively, explicitly lobbying for the instigation of World War III?
Doing a Callin, coming up at 1pm EST. Live from Poland callin.com/link/NvQZfKtMgF
Read 4 tweets
Michael Tracey Profile picture
Mar 2
Escalation Alert: Is NATO Fighting in Ukraine Right Now? mtracey.substack.com/p/escalation-a…
Bottom line: The Ukraine military says "combat tasks" are being launched from Polish bases, using "fighter jets" pledged by the EU. Neither the EU nor Poland would give me a clear explanation of what's happening. This ambiguity should trouble anyone who prefers to avoid WWIII
The unclear and contradictory statements from these officials about what would be a massive escalation -- air attacks on Russian forces launched from a NATO country -- should at the very least be a major red flag
Read 6 tweets
Michael Tracey Profile picture
Mar 1
There's a disturbing lack of clarity about what this EU supply of "fighter jets" precisely entails. Ukraine fighter pilots will now "base on" Polish airports, meaning "combat tasks" will be launched from a NATO member state? Hello, anyone see the glaring escalatory danger here?
I have asked the Polish Defense Ministry for comment. I also received a cryptic statement from an EU spokesperson today. Will publish tomorrow: mtracey.substack.com
Also, the Prime Minister of Bulgaria denied claims that it was giving fighter jets to Ukraine. So something is off about these statements from Ukraine military sources, not surprisingly novinite.com/articles/21400…
Read 4 tweets
Michael Tracey Profile picture
Feb 28
Why Wouldn’t the US Negotiate With Putin?
mtracey.substack.com/p/why-wouldnt-…
The real question: why did the US so obstinately refuse to even entertain giving Putin a "concession" on something they simultaneously insist would never have happened anyway? They said they knew an invasion was coming, but didn't do the one thing in their power to avert it? Image
The ideological narrative spawned in the US since 2016, which painted Putin as the puppet-master of a global right-wing extremism and subversion movement, poisoned the well for any offering of concessions that could be seen as "appeasing" him: especially for a Dem Administration Image
Read 6 tweets
Michael Tracey Profile picture
Feb 26
The blame for this nightmare is 100% bipartisan. Trump started sending weapons, abrogated major treaties, and relations with Russia cratered. All while Dems/media obsessed with a deranged “collusion” conspiracy, poisoning the well for any real diplomacy. Which Biden refused to do
You have to be dangerously simple-minded to not understand what the US proudly declared: that it turned Ukraine into a client state, subsidized its military, and was the only relevant diplomatic player in this entire situation. Acknowledging reality doesn't "excuse Putin," idiots
If you don't think the recent radicalization of the US foreign policy establishment against Russia had any affect on how the US carried out its self-proclaimed central role in this situation, I don't know what to tell you
Read 4 tweets

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