renowned international relations scholar John Mearsheimer, whose analysis of the Ukraine-Russia conflict in 2015 turned out to be very prescient, gave his view on the current war on March 2nd. He argued that the West is only going to make the situation worse. THREAD WITH CLIPS
Mearsheimer goes on to note that bc Ukraine is perceived to be an existential concern by Russia but not the US, and how Great Powers behave when they perceive an existential threat as the US has done throughout its history, what the West is doing only leads to greater devastation
Mearsheimer predicts that the Russians will end up prevailing bc they do perceive it to be an existential threat whereas the US and the West don't really care. The real losers in the war are the Ukrainian people, who, Mearsheimer says, were led down the primrose path by the US
earlier in the talk Mearsheimer says that he does not believe Russia will take-over the entire country and occupy it and any such suggestion is absurd. Rather, the question is how much of the Eastern part they'll try to take. Watch the full video here:
see this thread for clips of his 2015 analysis, which as I mentioned turned out to be quite prescient, particularly this last part where he said the course that was being followed was going to end up in Ukraine being wrecked
https://twitter.com/zei_squirrel/status/1486032796648890369
two more clips where Mearsheimer talks about why he believes the sanctions will not work in toppling Putin and putting an end to the war, but in fact nationalism will cause most Russians to rally around him (confirmed by the post this is a response to)
https://twitter.com/Hiruy4HoCo/status/1500290522547724289
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