People seem to get angry at me for not posting more Ukrainian losses, but I am watching a lot of Russian channels, and they aren’t posting many.

In the last 36 hours, I have seen
6x Ukrainian POWs
1x destroyed BMP-1
2x captured Kozak-2
2x captured BTR-60
2x captured T-64
And the captured vehicles look to have been abandoned in a motor pool.
Lot of propaganda though “demilitarizing Ukraine” “denazifying”

Happy Russian speaking people hoisting separatist flags in newly captured areas in the east.

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More from @Osinttechnical

Mar 9
Russian forces continue to consolidate their positions, but haven’t made any major offensives in the past few days. Ukrainian forces around Chernihiv risk encirclement at the moment as the Russians move east of Kyiv. Image
I expect the forces west of Kyiv will try to cut the city off from resupply, but the Ukrainians are using this period to stock up on munitions, including a number of ATGMs.
Lol, didn’t realize that @billroggio started a thread a half hour before me, go read it.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 9
I know there are going to be a lot of those SimpsonUSSRjoke.gifs being posted about this, but the Russian government is currently trying to rally the people against a common enemy in order to prevent general unrest.
It’s great when you can just point at McDonald’s and say “bad western company” instead of admitting the mess of a war you started is having some pretty bad consequences.
I will add-
Read 5 tweets
Mar 8
This is going to backfire pretty badly in the public eye.
Not commenting on the viability. Just saying it looks bad.
IMO a lot of people in pretty high places hyped this up, congress, Ukraine, unnamed Polish govt officials, the EU.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 8
Looking at the list from @oryxspioenkop again

Russian losses- 902 vehicles, including 143 tanks and 272 A/IFVs

Ukrainian losses- 272 vehicles, including 46 tanks and 89 A/IFVs

This isn’t a complete list but serves as an accurate, independent baseline.
More importantly in my opinion, Russia has lost 278 trucks, vehicles and jeeps, including 85 Ural-4320 and 112 KamAZ 6x6.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 7
The Ukrainians weren’t lying, they actually got Gen. Vitaly Gerassimov.
This is a pretty good independent confirmation
This is also one of the most hilarious security failures I have seen in a while. The FSB officer called his boss on an unsecured phone line.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 7
I have tried to reinforce in my assessments that the Russians continue to make steady progress, especially in the south.

I’ll repeat it here, the Russians are taking heavy losses, especially among their supply divisions, but they still have the mass to push forwards.
It’s something we have seen continuously, if anything, the fact that they have made massive progress in the south highlights some of their weaknesses, especially in the urban environment.
They’ve moved much slower in the last few days, primarily expanding on gains made in the first few days of the offensive.
Read 5 tweets

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