David Rothkopf Profile picture
Mar 8 20 tweets 5 min read
As we enter the energy war phase of this crisis, when Americans are asked to pay more...perhaps twice as much to fill up their tanks of gas...it is vitally important that our leaders communicate that this is the relatively small sacrifice we must make to help defeat Russia.
They must drive home the point that Russia has not just attacked Ukraine. Russia is attacking democracy, attacking freedom, attacking the international order that so many Americans have fought and died for. Russia is threatening our allies in Europe and the Atlantic Alliance.
If Russia goes unchecked the consequences will be enormous. NATO countries that Putin has targeted as part of his twisted vision of the empire he wants to build will be next. Not only are they allies, but should he threaten them, we will be obligated to fight to defend them.
Not only will that put the members of the American military at risk, it will raise the possibility of nuclear conflict. It will put the whole world at risk. Our leaders need to make this very clear. The fight for Ukraine is not a fight for some distant place and people.
It is for us, our values, for what we hold dear. History has shown that if we fail to stand up to aggressors catastrophe is the inevitable result. Further, while the sacrifices we will be forced to make may be a hardship for many, it is a relatively small one compared to...
...the burden being born by the people of Ukraine in this battle. They are risking and losing their lives and homes, watching their nation be turned to rubble, seeing war crimes committed where they weeks ago were simply and innocently going about their lives.
And while they fight for their country, they are also fighting for us. Further, our allies in Europe are more dependent on Russian oil and gas and business with Russia than we are. Their countries are the ones that may have to absorb and care for as many as 5 million refugees.
Their countries are where the next fight will take place. Their countries are where forces are being moved forward. Their countries are bearing an even greater cost for aiding and defending Ukraine and turning back Russia.
Our leaders must communicate clearly and simply that for Vladimir Putin, a brutal, bloodthirsty dictator, curtailing energy supplies to the west is a weapon. Once again, he expects us not to have the will or the resolve to accept the burdens that this situation requires of us.
Once again, he is underestimating America's ability to lead and our alliance's ability to be unified and to stand firm. Once again, he is counting on a few extreme voices in our society to try to capitalize on this situation for their own personal political benefit.
He does not believe we can remain united. He believes the political divisiveness in the U.S. that he cultivated, into which he poured money and effort, into which he spread disinformation that he saw as equivalent to pouring gasoline on a political fire, will weaken us.
Our leaders must make a clear call that this not be the case. This is a moment we should rise above politics. We cannot expect the most selfish and short-sighted of politicians or media commentators to do so. They have already shown their disloyal and frankly despicable colors.
But President Biden and his team, who have handled this crisis so masterfully so far, must reach out to reasonable voices from the other party and seek the kind of support and spirit of common interests that have served us so well in moments like this in the past.
The administration must use all the tools at their disposal to minimize the sting of sacrifice at home--seeking new sources of oil and gas, seeking to promote greater energy diversity, creating tax breaks and incentives to help consumers through this time...
...and to reduce long-term vulnerability. They are already doing so, leaving no stone unturned. As they do so, it is important to be wise in the options we choose and to make expedient choices that run contrary to our long-term interests.
We should also ensure by whatever means profitable that big corporations and rich investors and local business people are not able to cynically capitalize on this situation for their own benefit or to grow already bloated profits. They too must share the burden.
While this war may have seemed remote to many of us when it started, that was an illusion. It connects to each and every one of us in profound and long-lasting ways. @POTUS @VP @SecBlinken @JakeSullivan46 @SecDef @SecYellen and their teams have realized that from the beginning.
They must go out across the country and ensure all of us recognize that now and accept our role in this, that we understand that it is not enough to post Ukrainian flags on our social media pages or to pound the table with strong words during dinnertime conversations.
Now is a moment to step up, to make the modest sacrifices being asked of us, to be prepared to make them for as long as takes to turn back the monster in the Kremlin, restore security to Europe and bring justice to the brave people of Ukraine.
While our leaders have a role to play here, so do each of us. Let's make it our shared goal to communicate the responsibility this moment demands of all of us and to try set this debate above the normal political brawling that is so common in our public life today.

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More from @djrothkopf

Mar 10
I'm not going to win any points for saying this but the Biden Admin international team has been doing exceptional work from the outset. They have restored international standing, strengthened alliances, rejoined multilateral institutions, elevated US diplomacy.
The list of accomplishments is long: the leadership in this conflict is historic and will be studied & emulated for generations. But they rejoined the Paris Accord, rejoined the World Health Organization, led the global fight against the pandemic, and ended America's longest war.
Yes...the courageous decision to get out of Afghanistan was the right decision and while the exit from that country could certainly have been handled better, the net benefits were great (including giving us the bandwidth and resources to face key challenges of today).
Read 13 tweets
Mar 10
We will constantly have to reevaluate how much we feel we can do for Ukraine as the atrocities against it mount. By all means, let's not start a nuclear war. But, having said that, let's also keep in mind that Russia is already accusing us of having set up WMD labs in Ukraine.
They don't need us to actually do anything to make outrageous claims to "justify" their indefensible acts. And they know we are providing key weapons to Ukraine. They know we are leading crushing sanctions. They know we will soon provide Ukraine with another $14 billion.
The Russians know we have helped train the Ukrainians. The Russians no doubt believe we are providing them with all manner of covert assistance. Further, our military and theirs have operate in close hostile quarters in Syria and we avoided WWIII.
Read 8 tweets
Mar 9
Before an Iran deal happens, a couple points:
--A deal reconstituting the JCPOA to some degree is in the interest of the US and the world
--Pulling out of the JCPOA was one of the biggest mistakes of the Trump era and measurably made Iran and its nuclear program more dangerous
--The urging of US Mideast allies to pull out of the Iran deal was misguided, not in their interests, and an error they should not repeat
--Russian involvement in the deal is necessary to getting the deal done and we should hold our noses and encourage it to happen
--It should not however, in any way change our current efforts to severely penalize and isolate Russia for their repugnant and indefensible behavior in Ukraine
--Russia should not be allowed to use the deal to achieve any gains re: the sanctions regime against them
Read 4 tweets
Mar 9
Gotta say, I'm not terribly persuaded by the Russia is losing, its army has been a disaster, Putin has miscalculated, the sanctions are taking a huge toll, and therefore Putin is more dangerous takes. Having a nuclear option as his only option...is a terrible option for him.
Yes, he might deranged. But, in the first instance, not clear the professional Russian military would follow him off of that particular cliff. And secondly, it's a cliff. There's no nuclear use option that in the end turns out well for Putin.
Should we be careful? Of course. But let's realize a moment of growing strength for what it is. And let's not let Russian spin cow us from taking steps that are essential to the defending Ukraine and the international order.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 9
Enough with the bad takes on @VP's role. She is playing a more active role in international diplomacy that the vast majority of her predecessors in the job...and handling tough issues. This is not just attending foreign funerals.
@VP has been involved continuously in a series of very sensitive discussions on relations with neighbors in hemisphere, on IndoPac ties in the moments after the Afghan withdrawal, with France post AUKUS dust up, on Libya, in Munich pre-Ukraine war and now this mid-conflict.
In each case, the readout from foreign leaders and from with the highest levels of the USG has been that she has been exceptionally effective (and if she weren't she wouldn't keep being chosen for such central roles.) She does not shy away from the hard assignments.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 8
Biden makes all the right points in his address calling for a ban on imports of Russian energy (and calling on Congress to approve $12 billion in aid to Ukraine). He explained the rational. He made a clear case why this is important to all of us and to our national interests.
He explained what he would do to mitigate price impacts. He explained how he was coordinating w/ allies. He explained how this fit with other support for Ukraine. He explained that US would help allies with refugee burden. He laid out why some allies could not take this step now.
He made it clear he will not tolerate price gouging from energy companies. He made it clear that the arguments that we need to drill more on federal lands don't make any sense, that plenty of permits exist if that is the desire/intent of oil companies.
Read 8 tweets

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