Russia is the world's top exporter of crude and oil products combined. A ban would be unprecedented, turbocharging already sky-high prices, risking inflationary shock.
JP Morgan predicts oil could hit a record $185 a barrel by the end of 2022 if disruption to Russian exports lasts that long, although along with most analysts polled by Reuters the bank expects a yearly average price below $100
Hit to growth
A ban on Russian oil would further slow the nascent global recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.
In the coming months, there is a high risk of stagflation, or little to minimal growth coupled with high inflation
Central bank impact
For the Federal Reserve, the inflationary impact has already proved too great. For the European Central Bank, the urgency of policy action is less acute as the labor market still enjoys spare capacity and there is little home-grown inflation
Substitutes?
With fossil fuel demand rebounding from the pandemic but supply around the world still tight, policymakers will be under pressure to ramp up supply despite pledges to back green energy.
The United States denied renewed Russian accusations that Washington was operating biowarfare labs in Ukraine, calling the claims 'laughable' and suggesting Moscow may be laying the groundwork to use a chemical or biological weapon reut.rs/3MFu54r 1/4
Late on Tuesday, Russia repeated its accusation of several years that the United States is working with Ukrainian laboratories to develop biological weapons. Such assertions in Russian media increased in the run-up to Moscow's military move into Ukraine 2/4
In a statement released on Wednesday, State Department spokesman Ned Price said Russia 'is inventing false pretexts in an attempt to justify its own horrific actions in Ukraine' 3/4
Russia's war in Ukraine entered its third week on Thursday with none of its key objectives reached despite thousands of people killed, more than two million made refugees, and thousands forced to cower in besieged cities under relentless bombardment reut.rs/3vQJiK9
Victoria Zaburyna had urged her 76-year-old mother to flee from Russian forces that now besiege Mariupol in southeastern Ukraine. She replied that the city was still calm and had stayed put reut.rs/3CJd9Wp
Thousands more Ukrainian refugees fled to central and eastern Europe, many with no contacts and nowhere to go, as host countries scrambled to accommodate them reut.rs/3vVhZhJ
Taiwan's military strategists have been studying Russia's invasion of Ukraine, and the country's resistance, for the island's own battle strategy in the event its giant neighbor China ever makes good on its threat to take them by force reut.rs/3I0HO2e 1/6
While Taiwan's government has not reported any unusual activity by the military in China, which views the island as its own territory, Taipei has raised its alert level 2/6
Russia's use of precision missiles, as well as Ukraine's tactically well thought through resistance despite being outmanned and outgunned, are being carefully watched in security circles in Taiwan, whose own forces are likewise dwarfed by China's 3/6
Russia said it is ready to provide humanitarian corridors for people fleeing Kyiv and four other Ukrainian cities, as the number of refugees created by the biggest assault on a European country since World War Two surpassed two million reut.rs/3731tBN
McDonald's, PepsiCo, Coca-Cola and Starbucks stopped sales of their best-known products in Russia, offering a united rebuke of the war on Ukraine by companies that define America for much of the world reut.rs/35AI5fj
Britain will phase out imports of Russian oil and oil products by the end of 2022 and consider banning its natural gas, joining other countries, including the United States, in a move to punish Moscow over the invasion of Ukraine reut.rs/3MzMG1T
Republican Governor Ron DeSantis expressed his support for a bill that would prohibit classroom discussion of sexual orientation and gender identity for many young students 👉 reut.rs/3pNiruE 1/5
The Republican-passed bill, formally titled ‘Parental Rights in Education’, prohibits public schools from teaching about sexual orientation or gender identity for children in kindergarten through third grade 2/5
Under the law, parents would be allowed to sue districts they believe are in violation.
Amid an increasingly partisan debate over what schools should teach children about race and gender, Republicans and Democrats don't agree 👉 reut.rs/3IXAm9l 3/5
Fears of an energy war between Russia and the West grew after the United States pushed its allies to ban Russian oil imports as punishment for Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, where talks on humanitarian corridors made little progress reut.rs/3Crs7Qr
Russian President Vladimir Putin has now deployed into Ukraine nearly 100% of the more than 150,000 forces that he had pre-staged outside the country before the invasion, a senior U.S. defense official said reut.rs/35T260h
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy rejected Russian proposals to evacuate Ukrainian citizens into what he has described as 'occupied territory' in Russia and Belarus reut.rs/3hNAkFb