Really not feeling great about how much mainstream western punditry boils down to "What's the maximum amount we can provoke and attack Russia without starting a nuclear war? Some say the line is here, but I think it's probably further back."
I mean, like, what about Putin's recent actions suggests that this is the sort of person you want to take chances with? And not just chances, but *the most consequential chances humanly possible*?
You never quite know who's listening to who; what actual decision maker is listening to what dumbass warmongering thought leader. And just the fact that these ideas are gaining so much mainstream traction can be enough to adjust the other side's calculations in a dangerous way.
There's such a massive, MASSIVE disconnect between the unparalleled dangers we're toying with here and people's attitudes about them. In the general public, and throughout the political/media class as well. So easy to imagine an "OH SHIT IT WASN'T A GAME AFTER ALL" future moment.
No part of the way empire managers have acted up to this point suggests they can be trusted not to set off an unthinkable chain of events from which there's no return. They've been making wrong calls every step of the way. And it's so easy to fuck this up.
https://twitter.com/caitoz/status/1496772763192905736
It reminds me of young drivers, how they'll get into accidents because they don't have a good visceral understanding of the very real risks on the road. Except instead of damaging your fender, they'll wipe out all life on earth.
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