Today, I attended an emergency online conference of 🇺🇦 mayors from Mariupol, Kharkiv, Trostianets (Sumy region), Merefa (Kharkiv region), and Zhytomyr organized by the Ministry for Regional Development. What the mayors reported raises alarms on many different levels. A small 🧵
Sergej Orlov, deputy mayor of Mariupol, said that we witness is a "medieval siege" and he emphasized that the humanitarian situation is getting worse every day. For several days, the city is cut-off and there is no heating, water, gas, or proper food and medicine supply. /1
Citizens of Mariupol are hungry and use any wood they find to cook and to melt snow to drink. 3000 babies are deprived of food and will soon need medical attention. About 300,000 citizens remain trapped in the middle of this brutal siege. /2
The city is shelled from all directions and by all sorts of weaponry. The city's civilian infrastructure was deliberately targeted, hospitals were hit and destroyed. There are at least 1200 civilian casualties that the city knows of. Many more are expected beneath the rubble. /3
The deputy mayor stressed that for several days the attempts to open corridors out of Mariupol failed because the Russians either shelled the meeting place, mined the routes, or refused to let evacuation buses in or out of the city. Private cars trying to leave were shot at. /4
Ihor Terekhov, the mayor of Kharkiv, also spoke of war crimes committed by the Russian forces, which deliberately targeted civilian infrastructure and now use heavy weaponry to sow terror. Over 400 multi-story residential buildings were destroyed. /5
The shelling from the air and by artillery remains a big problem for Kharkiv. Despite a huge risk for their lives, the city's many workers continue their duties to keep utility companies going and public transport running- even the trash is collected. /6
Because of the ongoing shelling, thousands of people continue to flee Kharkiv every day. Most of them use the few trains which leave the city. But hundreds of thousands remain in Ukraine's second-largest city. The mayor said that fuel supplies are running low. /7
Yuri Bova, the mayor of Trostianets south of Sumy reported that his city is surrounded. Occupants have raided shops and even make burials impossible in the city. Citizens cannot leave and no humanitarian supply is reaching the city. /8
The mayor of the small town of Merefa in the Kharkiv region told that his city was severely shelled even though there is not even any army present in the city. Power supplies have collapsed but the city is working to restore them. /9
Serhiy Sukhmolyn, the mayor of the central Ukrainian city Zhytomyr, said that the city has turned into a fortress, expecting the worst. It was shelled by air and by cruise missiles. Houses, schools, kindergartens, a maternity ward, and an oil depot were hit and destroyed. /10
All utilities are working in Zhytomyr and aid and most other crucial supplies are still arriving. But the feeling in the city is one of fear not knowing whether new strikes might hit the city. /end
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. @shashj is right: the transcript of the Tucker Carlson interview with Steve Witkoff worth analyzing… What stands out to me is how much he empathizes with Putin and how much he parrots the RU position. That simply doesn’t make a good negotiating strategy. /1
Few examples: Witkoff praises the recent progress and seems to be unaware of previous negotiation efforts in Qatar in the summer of 2024, where both sides already were reportedly close to a moratorium on energy infrastructure strikes. See:
This part wasn’t new but it’s cringe 😬 they don’t seem to grasp the RU flattery as a serious strategy to influence and ultimately woe the Witkoff and Trump… /3
The CDU and SPD, the two German parties currently negotiating their new coalition, have ushered in a fiscal revolution that will allow Germany to spend "whatever is needed" on defense and boost infrastructure spending, too. That's a bid deal. Here is what you need to know: /1
Why now? The parties agreed to amend the constitution with the old convocation of the parliament BEFORE the next Bundestag comes into session in about two weeks. They do it because the new convocation, the political forces from the left and right could simply block this move. /2
What's in the deal?
In short: unlimited debt for rearmament and plenty of money for infrastructure.
The amendments foresee a reform of the constitutionally mandated debt break to allow the government to take debt for spending above 1% of the GDP. /3 faz.net/aktuell/politi…
Fresh polling shows that 67% of Germans back 🇩🇪’s military support for Ukraine. Within this group, 27% favor increasing military aid to Kyiv, while 40% believe 🇩🇪should maintain its current level of support. Only 27% of respondents called for a reduction in weapons deliveries. /1
The poll also shows that a majority of Germans would be in favor of the Bundeswehr participating with other European troops in securing a possible ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. 59% of Germans are in favor of Bundeswehr involvement and 35% are against it. /2
There are differences between East and West: while the majority of West 🇩🇪 are in favor of 🇩🇪 participation (61%), only 45% of East 🇩🇪 are in favor of this. In contrast, 50% of East 🇩🇪 oppose a Bundeswehr involvement in a possible European mission to secure a ceasefire (50%). /3
Umfrageergebnisse einer Bevölkerungsbefragung des Zentrum für Militärgeschichte und Sozialwissenschaften der Bundeswehr zeigen, dass die Wahrnehmung der Bedrohung durch RU und die Unterstützung für die militärische Unterstützung der 🇺🇦 leicht gestiegen ist.
Mini 🧵 /1
Daraus kann die Politik entweder einen Angst- oder Unterwerfungswahlkampf oder einen Case machen, warum die Freiheit verteidigt werden muss und wir dafür mehr ausgeben müssen… /2
Die Ergebnisse zeigen mir, dass die Politik besser erklären sollte, warum die Unterstützung der 🇺🇦 in unserem Interesse ist und auch eine Investition in unsere eigene Sicherheit darstellt. Fast alle Parteien machen diesen Case bisher nicht (gut genug). /3
Angela Merkel gehört zweifelsohne zu den wichtigsten Persönlichkeiten der 🇩🇪 Nachkriegsgeschichte. Leider beschäftigt ihre «je ne regrette rien» Einstellung zu Russland ihr pol. Erbe. Ihr kluges Spiegel Interview offenbart eine gewisse Unbelehrbarkeit. /1 spiegel.de/politik/deutsc…
Nord-Stream 2 verteidigt Merkel noch heute als Mittel günstiges Gas für die 🇩🇪 Wirtschaft zu organisieren. Kein Wort über die erzeugte massive Abhängigkeit. Dass Merkel diesbezüglich keinerlei Fehler sieht, muss man ihr und ihren politischen Koalitionspartnern klar vorwerfen. /2
Damals warnten zahlreiche Experten, dass wir uns nicht nur einseitig abhängig machten, was RU als Zeichen der schwäche ansah, sondern auch Milliarden in die russische Kriegskasse spülten und damit den Krieg heute auch ermöglichten. Das alles zu verschweigen, finde ich falsch. /3
The government and ruling 🚦coalition in Germany collapsed after the chancellor fired the Finance Minister and head of the liberal party. Now, new parliamentary elections will take no later than March 2025. What's next and what does this mean for #Ukraine? Small 🧵
The background: the coalition was bitterly divided over how to handle the sluggish 🇩🇪 economy and future investments, in particular. Polling for all three ruling parties was down (see current polling versus results of 2021) and liberals are fearing for the political survival. /1
Amid the toxic state of the government, Scholz together with the Greens asked his Liberal coalition partner and Finance Minister to lift the constitutionally mandated debt brake to among other things finance 3 additional billion EUR winter aid for Ukraine. Lindner refused. /2