Covid antibodies found in stored blood from Sept/Nov 2019 in European blood banks. The implications are enormous.

1. Long before the official start date, it was too late to stop the disease from spreading across the earth. We have wasted 2 years on lockdowns for nothing.
[1/4]
2. The pre-prints finding the virus in Nov/Dec 2019 in the Wuhan markets (reported breathlessly by the NYT) do not point to the true origin events of the virus.
[2/4]

nytimes.com/interactive/20…
3. The early seroprevalence studies that found a prevalence of 3%+ in large US metro centers are not so surprising in light of a Sept/Nov 2019 European start date.

jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…
[3/4]
Why have the studies @contrarian4data linked not received more attention from the press and scientific communities?
[4/4]
@contrarian4data Update: Some commenters are questioning the specificity of antibody tests in general as a basis for dismissing the French and Italian papers. But the false-postiive rates of antibody tests differ across tests and are generally low. I don't see a specific critique of these tests.
@contrarian4data I'm open to being convinced that the tests used are not fit for purpose, but it will take more than just links to papers that show that some antibody tests have a high false positive rate.

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More from @DrJBhattacharya

Jul 19
Great review of Woolhouse's book by @snj_1970. While much of the Woolhouse argument is sensible, his view of early lockdown is naive.

First, by the time the question arose in February 2020, the disease was already widely seeded. No way to get to zero. Short thread follows...
1/5
Second, early lockdown fuel damaging panic and further demand for restrictions which lasted a good long time. Once you ring the bell, it's impossible to unring, especially since the scientists that recommended the destructive lockdowns are loathe to admit their error.
2/5
Third, though the book does admirably acknowledge the harms lockdown, it still doesn't truly understand their extent. By late spring 2020, the UN was already warning of starvation of millions. School closures in poor countries mean tens of millions will grow up uneducated.
3/5
Read 5 tweets
May 4
Dear @TwitterSupport,

Why am I ghost-banned? Is it something I said?

Yours in puzzlement,
Jay
@TwitterSupport You can find the site I used to check for a shadowban here:

shadowban.yuzurisa.com
@TwitterSupport UPDATE: @jack is also shadowbanned. Either @Twitter is trying to calm the entire twitterverse down tonight, or the yuzurisa shadowban check has gone haywire.
Read 4 tweets
May 1
In honor of @MartinKulldorff 12 sensible principles of public health, I thought I'd take a shot at the 12 covidian principles of public health.

1) Health is synonymous with the avoidance of a single respiratory virus, SARS-CoV-2.

[1/12]
2) Public health should focus on short-term priorities. The future -- filled with collateral harms from public health policy -- will take care of itself.

[2/12]
time.com/6170432/bangla…
3) Public health is for the laptop class.

[3/12]
theepochtimes.com/mkt_app/dr-jay…
Read 12 tweets
Mar 31
Last week was the 2-year anniversary of a WSJ op-ed that changed my life. Eran Bendavid & I argued that Mar '20 data were consistent with either: (1) a higher fatality disease with lower spread; or (2) a lower fatality disease with higher spread. [1/7]
wsj.com/articles/is-th…
Here was the key action item: "Given the enormous consequences of [the] Covid-19 response, getting clear data to guide decisions now is critical. We don’t know the true infection rate...Antibody testing of representative samples to measure disease prevalence... is crucial." [2/7]
In the WSJ piece, we wrote that extraordinary measures would be justified if covid would kill millions. This is true -- focused protection measures were and are justified. But lockdowns to protect the laptop class and harm children & the poor were never justified. [3/7]
Read 7 tweets
Mar 5
This clip is infuriating. It is an admission of public health malpractice by the @CDCDirector.

The main clinical endpoint of the vaccine trials was symptomatic infection at 3-4 months post vax, not infection or disease transmission:
nejm.org/doi/full/10.10…
[1/4]
"Optimistically" thinking that the vax could stop transmission & wouldn't wane in efficacy, Fauci & the @CDCDirector made force vaccinating the whole population the central policy goal, rather than focusing on the vulnerable who benefit most from the vax.
[2/4]
When it became clear that the vax does not stop transmission & does wane vs. infection, they persisted in error, "optimistically" pushing for boosters even before solid trial data arrived.
[3/4]
Read 5 tweets
Feb 20
The story about the CDC's new guidelines on childhood development guidelines is more complicated than is being reported around Twitter.

Bottom line: the updated guidelines were not changed because of masks.

My thanks to @Michigan_Noah for pointing me to the full story.
[1/4]
in 2019, the CDC & AAP convened a panel of experts to revise the guidelines. The panel finished in 2021, published their paper in Feb. 2022 & the CDC just updated the guidelines on their site a few days ago.
[2/4]

publications.aap.org/pediatrics/art…
The paper is behind a paywall, but the key reasoning for the updated guidelines is a change in philosophy. 💠Old way: show guidelines marked to when half of kids hit them alongside "warning signs"
💠New way: show guidelines to when 75% of kids hit them without warning signs
[3/4]
Read 6 tweets

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