It gives me no pleasure but I'm confident western powers won't start WW3 with a Ukraine no-fly zone because western rulers don't give a fuck about Ukrainians. They'd happily watch every single Ukrainian die a horrible death than risk their own deaths via nuclear armageddon.
The main danger of the calls for a no-fly zone is not that they'll be listened to, it's that they push the Overton window of acceptable debate much further toward warmongering extremism, so supporting extreme things like mass-scale economic warfare becomes the moderate position.
People tend to overestimate the power of the US war machine and underestimate the power of the US propaganda machine. They won't fight a war for Ukraine, but they will use it to build international support for unprecedented acts of economic warfare and funding a bloody insurgency
So nuclear war over a no-fly zone seems unlikely. There's still no reason to believe these idiots won't get us all nuked some other way amid all this brinkmanship, but they've got enough brains and self-preservation instinct to avoid deliberately attacking the Russian military.
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