John Scott-Railton Profile picture
Mar 14, 2022 12 tweets 12 min read Read on X
Massive container ship #EVERFORWARD has run aground in the Chesapeake Bay.

Yes, same operator as #EVERGIVEN.

Yes, almost exactly a year later. 1/
2/ Looking at charts, #EVERFORWARD may have slightly deviated from dredged navigation channel into shallower waters after departing Baltimore.

And got stuck.

She's apparently not blocking the navigation channel, but is quite close to it.
3/ The #EverForward's AIS track is... interesting.

People may read it as: she missed a waypoint (didn't make a turn) heading from Craighill Angle into Craighill Channel.

Caveat: accidents = complicated & AIS tracks can be *imprecise* so take all guesses w/big grain of salt!
4/ UPDATE: was going through wind records (not substantial), speed (she kept speed), draught (lot of empty containers), load condition.. when... @mercoglianos with a video!

Takeaway: he also thinks #EverForward missed the turn!

Now, here's the thing...
5/ The #EverForward is aground in a shoal area of ~24 feet of water.

She lists as 42.6 feet of draught (depth below waterline).

Takeaway: VERY stuck. Getting her un-stuck & back into the 51 foot deep Craighill Channel is likely to be a *big production.*
6/ When you talk about ships aground, tides come up.

Could a high tide free the #EverForward?

As @mercoglianos pointed out, max tide is basically a foot there.

They'll surely work with it, but it's unlikely to re-float anything.

tideschart.com/United-States/…
7/ Investigating what led #EverForward to plow into the shoal's mucky bottom may take a while.

Pilot error? Rudder malfunction?

Key info will live in the Voyage Data Recorder.

Fun fact: the VDR capsule is often mounted on the "monkey island" (deck directly above bridge)
8/ Meanwhile, just to make the storyline more interesting, the #EverGiven will soon arrive at the #SuezCanal.

Battling very strong headwinds at the moment.

We hope she has calmer winds during her transit.

No ghusts!
9/ UPDATE: #EVERFORWARD still stuck in Chesapeake muck.

So I made an explainer video.

My first video... ever. Thanks to @mercoglianos for the inspiration.
10/ The #EVERFORWARD is very high out of the water from bow (front) to stern (rear).

Means: she's grounded along her whole length.

A lot more boat to free from the muck than the #EverGiven.

Expect to see dredges.

Video: @JulioCesrChavez
11/ NOON UPDATE: #EverForward still #everstuck.

Folks asking: is she a "sister" to the #EverGiven? a "cousin"?

She's a different class. Not sister. Maybe cousin.

Naming convention:

"Ever G___" = G Class (400m long: massive)
"Ever F___" = F Class (333.96 m: still v. large)
12/ Speaking of #EverGreen's "Ever ___" naming convention.

At this point, it feels like naming a vessel Ever Lucky is just tempting fate.

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More from @jsrailton

Dec 4
WHOA: Predator spyware discovered in 🇵🇰#Pakistan.

+ a leak shows zero-click infections via... ads.

Yikes.

Here are some more damming revelations as Intellexa, the shady, sanctioned spyware supplier gets exposed by @AmnestyTech & partners.. /1Image
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2/ First, a mercenary spyware myth has just been busted.

Because the leak shows an Intellexa employee directly accessing a customer deployment.

Prior to the #PredatorFiles leak, spyware companies basically always claimed they couldn't access customer deployments & didn't know what was going on there.

They used this to avoid responsibility & claim ignorance when faced with abuses.Image
3/ And it gets crazier. The leak shows Intellexa casually accessing a core backbone of Predator deployment of a government customer.

Seemingly without the gov's knowledge.

Suggests that Intellexa can look over their shoulder & watch their sensitive targeting.

Huge counterintelligence nightmare for customers.

And a giant liability red-flag for intellexa.Image
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Read 11 tweets
Nov 13
NEW: 🇨🇳Chinese hackers ran massive campaign by tricking Claude's agentic AI.

Vibe hacking ran 80-90% of the operation without humans.

Massive scale (1000s of reqs/sec).

Agents ran complex multi-step tasks, shepherded by a human.

Long predicted. Welcome to the new world.

Fascinating report by @AnthropicAI 1/Image
2/ The old cybersecurity pitch: unpatched systems are the threat.

The next generation concern might be unpatched cognition.

The attacker jailbroke the cognitive layer of @anthropic's Claude code, successfully convincing the system of false intent (that it was a security exercise)Image
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3/ One of the key points in @AnthropicAI's report is just how limited the human time required was to run such a large automated campaign.

Obviously powerful stuff, highlighting the impact of orchestration.

And concerning for the #cybersecurity world for all sorts of reasons, ranging from attack scale, adaptability & cost reductions...

But I keep thinking of the next step in this..

READ: assets.anthropic.com/m/ec212e6566a0…Image
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Read 6 tweets
Nov 11
Putin has 3 identical offices his residences to hide where he is when he goes on TV.

But a cascade of tiny details gives the whole thing away.

Light switches, door handles, wood patterns & wall seams.

Truly epic OSINT.

h/t @alburovImage
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2. First, Putin had one office in his Novo-Ogarevo residence.

Then, paranoia kicked in. After he invaded Crimea it intensified.

Time for new digs, and elaborate deceptions to make him feel safe & project the image to Russians that he's an engaged Moscow-based leader. Image
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3/ For something that cost so much, the number of substantial differences & subtle tells is overwhelming.

Undoing the entirety of the enterprise of deception.

You have to assume that Intelligence services have known these tells for a long time.
svoboda.org/a/systema-kabi…Image
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Read 7 tweets
Oct 23
NEW: Ex exec at premier private cyber weapons contractor to US accused of selling eight trade secrets to buyer in Russia.

I think this = exploits.

Very bad: at minimum would give adversaries a blueprint for detecting the tip of the spear of US/Allied cyber ops..

Wild story 1/Image
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2/ A watch collection studded with fake rolexes...

...is allegedly part of Peter "doogie" Williams haul from selling the hacking labs' secrets.

documentcloud.org/documents/2619…Image
3/ While doogie's watch collection is a joke, the questions couldn't be more serious:

Were cyberweapons paid for by American taxpayers also turned against us?

Were service members, officials, or civilians at physical risk? When was this breach first suspected? Who knew what? When?Image
Read 9 tweets
Oct 22
WARNING: seeing a lot of phishing against @Signal users.

Did you get a message like this?

Don't engage! It's an attempt to steal your account.

Your account is safe & chats are private, but you should use Signal's option to Report Spam & Block. 1/Image
2/ You can make the attackers life harder by clicking Report.

Background: Like any popular secure messaging app, Signal users sometimes get targeted by spam & phishing attempts.

Often, attackers guess large numbers of usernames / phone numbers & send out message requests...Image
3/ Take a minute to remind yourself how message requests & blocking work on @Signal.

FAQ: support.signal.org/hc/en-us/artic…Image
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Read 4 tweets
Oct 21
A "damaging" leak of tools from a five eyes exploit developer?

Concerning. We need to know what's under this rug.

Big picture: "trusted, vetted" private sector players offensive cyber are not immune to losing control of tooling... with national security consequences 1/
2/ If true, a tooling leak at boutique firm Trenchant wouldn't be the first time that exploits from commercial offensive vendors wind up... in the wrong place.

Many questions.

In the meantime. Remember when Russian APT29..was caught with exploits first used by NSO & Intellexa? Image
Image
3/ There will always be a push for states to turn towards the private sector to meet offensive needs.

It's appealing. For some, it's very lucrative.

But in practice it brings unavoidable counterintelligence & national security downside risk that shouldn't be downplayed.
Read 11 tweets

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