I had initially filed these under "huh, that's interesting." In retrospect, I'm really embarrassed that we didn't follow this more closely. 1/7
2/7 For the longest time, we'd wondered what these circular caps on bottom of the missile were for. Now we know: they're covers for penetration aid tubes.

During the terminal part of its flight, the Iskander-M can poop out up to six penetration aids. But what are they?
3/7 Generally speaking, penetration aids (PENAIDs) can work three different ways: physically, as a decoy, using its radar return; thermally, using a flare to spoof heat-seeking weapons, and electronically, spoofing or jamming radars and electronics.
4/7 The Iskander-M PENAID does all three. The body's radar return adds clutter around the missile. The end of the PENAID has a flare to create a strong thermal signature. The interior of the PENAID has a radio transmitter to jam or spoof radars.
5/7 As @CAT_UXO noted, the GRAU index is 9B899. We've seen five different serial numbers, the highest being 2257, plus at least two more that we can't see the serial numbers of.
6/ Two companies are known to be involved in the 9B899. The Central Radiotechnical Research Institute named for A.I. Berg issued contracts during the mid-2010s, and the Stavropol Radio Factory "Signal" claims to have started production of the 9B899 in 2008.
7/7 There is obviously more analysis to do here, but to conclude:
-Where can I get one?
-I think I found @Ascii211's new mission.

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More from @DuitsyWasHere

Feb 25
The Russian encampment is at 46.7627° N, 33.3847° E. The column of vehicles was headed southeast (away from the Kakhovka hydroelectric dam) on the R-47.

#OSINTatMIIS #Ukraine
Another vehicle, this time alone. Moving rather fast (for a truck) with its emergency flashers on.
They've started turning back some - but not all - vehicles. Also, there is something very much on fire in the far distance on the left.
Read 30 tweets
Feb 8
1/17 I agree with this assessment. Nonetheless, since I am apparently a masochist, I geolocated all of the nuclear weapons storage sites active in Belarus during the 1980s.

I'm pretty sure there were 22 of them, though I am open to corrections.
2/17 First, a few notes: In Russian and Soviet service, nuclear weapons (except those attached to deployed strategic missiles) are under the control of the 12th Main/Chief Directorate (12 GUMO), a separate branch of the military directly subordinate to the Ministry of Defense.
3/17 Thus, while a 12 GUMO unit might be attached to a nuclear-capable unit, the chains of command are separate.

Also, outside of the Strategic Rocket Forces (RVSN), 12 GUMO bases are rarely co-located with the units responsible for delivering the nuclear weapons in wartime.
Read 17 tweets
Jan 14
Yesterday's launch was rail-mobile. Presumably the KN-23-like missile they tested last September?
Oh, that's interesting. They uncoupled the locomotive prior to launch. So the 2-car set for the missiles is a self-contained unit and (similar to the Soviet RT-23) doesn't need to draw power from the locomotive.
Of the two cars, one obviously carries the missiles (and, based on the September launch, the generator), and the other (let's call it the support systems car) presumably carries electronics, tools, and whatnot.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 29, 2021
I see the ghost of the R-27 has returned to haunt us again.

"Ampulization," referring to the fueling & hermetically sealing of a ballistic missile at the factory, was a Soviet innovation, developed by the Makeev bureau & first used in the R-27 SLBM. 1/12
2/12 For the Soviets, ampulization required the development of several technological advances. While no longer on the cutting edge, North Korea's potential use of ampulization has implications for where certain parts of the DPRK program are, technologically speaking.
3/ Makeyev described the technologies necessary for ampulization. Many of these can be seen in videos of R-27 missile production. This video is especially useful; I should do a separate thread later explaining other aspects of the manufacturing process:

net-film.ru/found-page-1/?…
Read 12 tweets
Oct 10, 2020
Okay. I'm out of bed and have some milk and cereal, so let's start.

Fun fact: because those horses live, someone in North Korea starves.
There is absolutely no reason to mount that scope on a rifle with that short of a barrel.
I'm assuming these are tank crewmen.

(Yes, I'm going to continue with the snark for a while. I'll start a new thread for the actual missile stuff.)
Read 12 tweets
Sep 20, 2019
1/18 Okay. Now let's talk about what can be done to defend against this type of attack.

This is sort of pushing the limits of my knowledge, so please chime in if I miss something.
2/18 The methods for countering drones and cruise missiles can be broken into two broad categories:
Kinetic (guns, missiles, and lasers)
Electronic (jamming and spoofing)
3/18 The CIWS concept is not new, at least not in the naval realm. Sea-skimming anti-ship missiles have worried naval officers since the 1960's.
Read 39 tweets

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