According to reports the Ukrainian 79th Air Assault Brigade garrison in Mykolaiv was hit by a Russian missile strike, fairly heavy casualties.

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More from @Osinttechnical

Mar 19
Just a short Ukraine map update, Russia continues to be bogged down in the north, especially around Kyiv, while pushing in the south to cut off more territory in Eastern Ukraine. This left their advance towards Mykolaiv weak, which Ukraine has used to mount a counterattack. Image
Around Mykolaiv, Ukranian forces have pushed towards and taken Posad-Pokrovs'ke, which is about halfway to Kherson Image
The Russians have surrounded and are moving into Mariupol and attempting to link up with separatist forces further north. Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 18
Ukrainian MOD update key points (translated) w/ additional graphics from @Liveuamap

"The occupiers partially succeeded in the Donetsk operational area. On approaches to Mykolaiv, the enemy was stopped by joint actions of divisions of Defense forces." Image
"The situation in the Volyn direction has not changed significantly.
In the Polissya direction, the enemy is trying to hold the previously captured frontiers on the Irpin River." Image
"In the northern direction, there were no changes in the composition of the enemy troops and the nature of his actions. The occupiers continue to partially blockade the city of Chernihiv, shelling civilian neighborhoods in the city."
Read 7 tweets
Mar 18
Google maps is down. Going to have a bit of trouble verifying or finding locations for videos.
Google earth as well. That’s less than optimal.
It might not be completely down but it is very, very slow.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 18
I think the main takeaway from this at the moment is that logistics are the critical element over the next few weeks.

If Russia can secure their rear area, replace lost units, and rebuild their logistics force, they will be able to restart their large offensives.
If not, they risk remaining bogged down, losing frontline units in engagements with dug in Ukrainian forces.
IMO, right now a lot of the transport capabilities are used just to supply ammunition for artillery units.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 17
Just a thread of updates from a senior US defense official- “There really hasn't been a lot of changes to talk about. The only thing that I would highlight -- more than 1,000 missile launches [by Russia towards Ukraine] now.”
“We have observed some, I wouldn't call it increased, but continued naval activity in the north Black Sea off the coast of Odessa, but no shelling over the course of the last 24 hours that no imminent signs of an amphibious assault on Odessa”
“we still assess that they're 15 kilometers away from [Kyiv] city center; basically, no change.”
Read 33 tweets
Mar 17
Captured Russian “Thorn” (Торн) SIGINT platform.
Pretty obscure system, here’s the only wiki entry I can find on it uk.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A2%D0…
Read 4 tweets

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