Age profile of $RIG
Note that they have included the newbuilds under construction to reach this.
Age profile of $VAL ships in the same segment:
Note that little "1". Means they exclude the options they have to take a couple of newbuilds (they are very likely to take that before end 2023).
But VAL also have a unique arrangement with the key players in Saudi so they also work with normal & higher spec Jackups. A very profitable JV that I guess we could see spun out eventually to shareholders.
Then you have this which you get painted at Twitter as something important... really old rigs that is a number in the fleet statistics but not relevant when looking at fleet value. Very difficult concept for tweeters to understand.
Some of them are still here bcs they make money.
Like these: 🤔🤔these assets have no value in NAV/fleet value.. but we make great money on them.
Should we scrap them and loose the revenue to make the fleet average look younger? Or should we think that investors can handle such a situation if we tell we can scrap it anytime..
About that special relationship with the Saudis. Another reason I think $VAL is better. My guess is that some time into this bull market Valaris shareholders will be able to monetize this asset which probably gets little value today. s23.q4cdn.com/956522167/file…
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Largest current holdings: 1. $VZLA 2. $KNT 3. $MKO.v 4. $ECO/ $OET 5. $GGD 6. $PGLD.v 7. $CERT.v 8. $NEXG.v 9. $NCAU.v 9. $SM.v 10. $GOT.v 11. $NEXM.v 12. $APGO.v
The year is coming to an end. +97% measured in a currency up 15% against the USD is great. I don't know if 2026
can match that but I do know that logically this, much more than 2025, is the year when my companies really should re-rate up due to individual fundamentals like the Lassonde curve and more.
Put differently, to a large extent I think 2025 was about the metal prices improving while 2026 will be about the companies delivering and reaching phases where they typically get higher valuations.
I couldn't be more happy about the companies I own entering 2026, which is a reason you don't see that many changes.
I would like to introduce a new company that I hope will be important to me going forward. Full disclosure is that we talked to management since months, met them at Beaver Creek and I invested as much as I was allowed in a recent private placement. $PGLD.v p2gold.com
Great management track record, great place to have an asset and an interesting story how well established technology changed how the ore will be treated vs when this asset was first discovered. p2gold.com/_resources/pre… youtu.be/9AmM-Y6CXIo?si…
- Former Pretium Resources management, took BruceJack ug mine in B.C. from discovery hole to commercial production in less the 8 years. Management hold ~ 17% of sh os
- Recently closed $11 million Cad financing
- 207 million sh os (328 FD) MCap 54 million Cad
- ~ 12M cad in cash
- P2 owns 100% of Gabbs, a 45 km2 gold-copper heap leach project in Nevada, Walker lane trend, 100% BLM land.
- Total 3.5 million oz AuEq - 1.2 million Indicated and 2.3 million AuEq inferred (depending on price assumption 70-80% gold)
- Gold/Copper in three shallow OP porphyry deposits.
- 2024 PEA show 175k AuEq pa for 14.2 years
- NPV5 @ $3350 gold $1.8B usd = 0.022 x NPV5
- Met work finished 2 months ago show strong increases in recovery for oxide ore (+9% for gold and +24% for copper)
- These numbers will be incorporated in an updated PEA, expected release early - mid October
- Next step is to go straight to FS and start drilling mid October. 4000 meter before year end and 6000 meter in Q1.
Trump & Tankers: 1. Actually enforce Iran sanctions reducing dark fleet shorter haul transport to ChIndia. 2. Incentivize more US production 3. Push SK, Japan, China to reduce the trade deficit causing them to prioritize long haul import from the US.
$OET $ECO
One more thing to take note of. Dry docks are done 4y 9m - 5y from delivery.
Okeanis is coming out of its toughest dry dock year 2024 with 6 dry docks. Next year will be only two (Suezmaxes in the summer months). Meaning increased utilization
Large tankers=limited fleet growth
"Completed necessary special surveys on 3x VLCCs during the seasonally weaker Q3."
Profits will come up a lot for gold producers.
$KNT & $MKO.V are important producers for me that I expect to hold several years to see production and profits move up a lot.
Mako has about 79m shares and cost 3.15C$ or a mcap of 180m USD.
With 2800 gold, the 2027 Guyana mine will almost have an AISC margin of 2000 usd x 66500 ounces of gold with life of mine 15y that is likely to grow.
2025-26 profits from Nicaragua mine will help to finance capex.
An amazingly uncomplicated mine where they start with basically mining dirt from surface meaning less capex and need for crushing.
When silver falls from 31 to 29, and even if it would fall to 27 due to China saying it will stop buying gold for a while (to get the price to cool down to be able to buy more gold...) that isn't important.
It is only a sale and an opportunity if one believes in the fundamentals
$AYA, $GGD $VZLA they will all be large producers with All in sustaining costs around 10 usd and the impact of what is happening with the price is low or zero.
Napkin calculation: GGD is fully funded for production, 360 musd mcap. 8m ounce x 15 usd=120musd, then they double that
I am not saying people should buy, and mining stocks are much tougher than shipping because volatility even in the higher quality names is extreme. The flip side is that one can make a lot more money is names like this, a lot more
I think I am on to something huge with $GOT.v but there is no 43-101 compliant resource of ounces yet and certainly no reserves of economical ounces
Very rich neighbourhood and MUCH better nearby infrastructure than people think when looking at the website "top of Mount Everest"
Truly an amazing story about most easy gold in the world having been mined 100s of years ago, but in this case was covered by ice now gone making it possible to find:
Jackpot outcrop the highest-grade sample ever collected on the property 21.5 oz/t AuEq or 667.40 gpt AuEq.