I was asked for the reason that putin/russia is so hell-bent on conquering Mariupol.
Let me explain. Thread:
Originally putin assumed the invasion would be a cakewalk, allowing for a quick annexation of Donetsk and Luhansk (dark red). Other regions (light red) would then
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have seen "spontaneous" "people's republics" appear, which would have demanded annexation to russia too.
putin would have slowly dismembered Ukraine after fake referendums, leaving a rump Ukraine under a russian-controlled quisling government.
That plan failed.
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putin now understands that Ukrainians hate russia and will fight a decades long insurgency if russia occupies their country.
putin now also realizes that he has too few troops to conquer and occupy the southern and eastern parts of Ukraine he originally planned to annex.
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putin's new plan seems to be to annex a smaller part of Ukraine.
(russia might even try to take all of Kherson (dark green)).
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This territory would be protected on its western side by the Dnieper river, and the eastern Kharkiv part by the Donets river.
If russia annexes these territories then Mykolaiv, Kryvyi Rih, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv are all in easy reach if russia invades again in the future.
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If russia controls these territories then russia controls the water supply for Crimea and can block shipping on the Dnieper.
Mariupol is the second-largest city in these territories and the only major harbor. Mariupol was also the only major Donbas city, that resisted
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russian attempts to take it over in 2014.
Now putin wants to punish the city for having resisted him in 2014; and putin needs the city so he can declare the liberation of Donbas to be complete; and he needs the city before he can annex these territories.
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But putin just needs the city for its symbolic value. He doesn't want the city's people, who defied him before.
Just like Hitler wanted Stalingrad for the symbolism and nothing else, putin wants Mariupol for the symbolism and nothing else. Fascist nihilism then and now.
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What does Trump's victory mean for NATO - listed from most certain to worst:
1) Operation Atlantic Resolve, which protects Eastern Europe since russia's invasion of Ukraine, will almost certainly end. 2) The only two US Army brigades in Europe (2nd Cavalry Regiment in 🇩🇪 &
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173rd Airborne Brigade in 🇮🇹🇩🇪) will very likely return to the US. 3) US Air Force units in Europe will likely be reduced, but I doubt Trump will close the bases... he needs them to bomb Iran. 4) US nuclear sharing with 🇩🇪🇮🇹🇳🇱🇧🇪🇹🇷 will likely end, leaving Europe without
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tactical nuclear weapons. 5) Trump could pull US officers and assets from NATO's command structure... which would cripple NATO commands like the Allied Air Command, Allied Land Command, Joint Forces Command Naples, etc. leaving NATO unable to command forces to fight a russian
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russia isn't a superpower.
Never was a superpower.
Got whooped by Japan in 1905, couldn't beat Austria-Hungary & was trashed by Germany in 1914-17, barely beat the Chechens in the 1990s.
The only time moscow led a superpower was post WWII, after the russians enslaved the
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people of Eastern Europe.
Once Poland, Romania, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, Bulgaria, Ukraine, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan threw of their colonial oppressor, russia reverted
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back to a mid power. Economically weak, military crappy, politically shitty, culturally retarded.
putin's invasion of Ukraine was the first step in his plan to return russia to superpower status by colonizing russia's neighbours again.
1) embarrasses putin & weakens his position ✅ 2) forces russia to move troops from Donbas & Southern Ukraine to Kursk & Bryansk, which weakens russian's frontline in the South ✅ 3) forces russia to send fighters & helicopters forward
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to compensate for russia's lack of ground forces in Kursk, which gives Ukrainian anti-aircraft units ample opportunities to shoot down russian aircraft ✅ 4) Ukrainian troops continuously maneuvering / advancing, while disrupting russian communications through the use of EW,
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forces russian reinforcement convoys to loiter within GMLRS/ATACMS range, while russian officers try to figure out where Ukrainian forces are. Thus enabling Ukraine to strike the russians & cause mass casualty events ✅ 5) provides Ukraine with territory & POWs to trade ✅
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The vicious online reaction to The Acolyte shows, that right-wing "media critics" are film-illiterate grifters, who latch onto even the most minuscule line to disparage each episode. All to confirm their delusion that media involving #LGBTQ & colored 1/5
creators are an attack on the "white male", who they pretend to be the true arbiter of "culture".
@Lucasfilm even gave a hint in the first line of the first trailer that this is a #Rashomon style story. This didn't stop these "critics" to complete lose it after the first 2/5
flashback episode, which is a child's viewpoint.
Disney's third trailer showed us that what we saw in the child's flashback (left image) isn't, what actually happened (right image).
The Acolyte is by no means as good as #Andor (which is an anti-fascist masterpiece), but 3/5
1× frigate
1× submarine
1× oiler
1× tug to tow the above home when they break down
The russian ships were shadowed by:
🇺🇸Los Angeles-class attack submarine USS Helena
🇺🇸Arleigh Burke-class destroyers USS Donald Cook & USS Truxtun
🇨🇦Halifax-class frigate HMCS Ville de Québec 1/2
🇺🇸Legend-class cutter USCGC Stone
🇺🇸1× P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft
And in case the russians would have done something funny: there are some additional 50+ P-8A Poseidon at Naval Air Station Jacksonville, which is also home to the 159th Fighter Squadron, which 2/5
flies F-35A & at Homestead Air Reserve Base the 93rd & 367th Fighter Squadrons fly F-16C/D Block 30 Falcons, at Tyndall Air Force Base the 43rd & 301st Fighter Squadrons fly F-22A Raptors, while the 95th Fighter Squadron flies F-35A Lightning.
For 20 years war criminals from Karabakh had Armenia in their iron grip. In 2018 they were forced by the people to allow free elections and the democratic opposition won 70% of the vote, while the Karabakh criminals' party lost 90% of its votes and did not enter parliament.
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Aftet the disastrous defeat in the 2nd Karabakh war, the Karabakh clans demanded a snap elections, got it, and were crushed again with the democratic and pro-peace forces of Pashinyan receiving 54% and the two let's-have-more-Karabakh-wars parties at 26%.
Now, as Pashinyan is
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negotiating a peace treaty with Azerbaijan, the same Karabakh clans try to overthrow the government with street protests led by a bishop, who is for issuing ridiculous ultimatums.
The deranged Armenian diaspora is hyping up the bishop and protest, and theu are salivating at
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