Thomas C. Theiner Profile picture
Fiat iustitia, et pereat mundus. Now: Film, Documentaries Ex: Comando Truppe Alpine
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Jan 29 โ€ข 24 tweets โ€ข 7 min read
As many people do not realize the importance of ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Greenland for the defence of the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US, I will explain it:

โ€ข ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ chinese nuclear submarines

If you watched The Hunt for Red October, you already know the reason the US has been, is, will be worried about enemy submarines.
1/24 Image Enemy submarines operating off the US East Coast would sink US ships, blockade US ports, launch cruise missiles at US cities, and disrupt US supply and reinforcement transports to Europe.

Today russia's Northern Fleet has 5ร— cruise missile and 9ร— attack submarines at
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Jan 29 โ€ข 5 tweets โ€ข 1 min read
Top 3 countries in Europe:

Ordering new main battle tanks:
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland: 180ร— K2, 250ร— M1A2 SEPv3
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy: 240ร— KF51 Panther
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Germany: 123ร— Leopard 2A8, 17ร— Leopard 2A7 A1
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Ordering new infantry fighting vehicles:
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland: 1,000+ Borsuk
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Italy: 679ร— KF41 Lynx
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Czechia: 172ร— CV90 Mk IV
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Jan 29 โ€ข 9 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
After the end of the Cold War ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช Sweden demilitarized #Gotland island, the key strategic location in the Baltic Sea.

After russia invaded Ukraine in 2014, Sweden remilitarized the island. The new Gotland Regiment (P 18), an armored formation, is a signal to enemy and allies,
1/9 Image that Sweden WILL DEFEND Gotland.

Sweden also formed a second amphibious battalion, ordered Blekinge-class submarines, bought Patriot air defence systems, grows its air force with Gripen E fighters, ordered modernized RBS 15 Mk. IV anti-ship missiles, etc. etc.
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Jan 27 โ€ข 15 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Denmark

They last added a frigate to their Navy in 2011. They plan to add the next by around 2032 (!).

This is an unserious clown-show!

Alas, they are just as unserious as ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช. Governments in Europe refuse to accept that we are in an emergency far
1/14 worse than any in the last 80 years.

โ€ข russia is invading Ukraine, which will fall if we do not triple our military aid.
โ€ข China will invade Taiwan, which will cut off all trade with Japan and South Korea
โ€ข Trump is gonna break all bonds with Europe, and invade Panama
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Jan 25 โ€ข 30 tweets โ€ข 5 min read
Combat brigade reductions of #NATO nations 1989 vs. 2025:

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ -52ร—
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช -40ร—
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท -27ร—
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช -25ร—
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง -24ร—
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น -17ร—
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด -13ร—
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ -11ร—
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ -9ร—
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ -5ร—
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช -5ร—
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ -1ร—

A detailed break down follows, and also details about the former Warsaw Pact members: ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด
1/28 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USA 1989: 110ร— brigades
โ€ข Army: 55ร— (34ร— Armor/Mech., 14ร— Infantry, 4ร— Airborne, 3ร— Air Assault)
โ€ข National Guard: 52ร— (30ร— Armor/Mech., 22ร— Infantry)
โ€ข Reserve: 3ร— (1ร— Mech., 2ร— Infantry)

Of the Army brigades 17ร— were based in Europe, 3ร— in South Korea, 1ร— in Panama.
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Nov 6, 2024 โ€ข 4 tweets โ€ข 1 min read
What does Trump's victory mean for NATO - listed from most certain to worst:

1) Operation Atlantic Resolve, which protects Eastern Europe since russia's invasion of Ukraine, will almost certainly end.
2) The only two US Army brigades in Europe (2nd Cavalry Regiment in ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช &
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173rd Airborne Brigade in ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช) will very likely return to the US.
3) US Air Force units in Europe will likely be reduced, but I doubt Trump will close the bases... he needs them to bomb Iran.
4) US nuclear sharing with ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท will likely end, leaving Europe without
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Sep 8, 2024 โ€ข 4 tweets โ€ข 1 min read
russia isn't a superpower.
Never was a superpower.

Got whooped by Japan in 1905, couldn't beat Austria-Hungary & was trashed by Germany in 1914-17, barely beat the Chechens in the 1990s.

The only time moscow led a superpower was post WWII, after the russians enslaved the
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people of Eastern Europe.
Once Poland, Romania, Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, Bulgaria, Ukraine, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan threw of their colonial oppressor, russia reverted
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Aug 10, 2024 โ€ข 4 tweets โ€ข 1 min read
Ukraine Kursk Offensive: first results:

1) embarrasses putin & weakens his position โœ…
2) forces russia to move troops from Donbas & Southern Ukraine to Kursk & Bryansk, which weakens russian's frontline in the South โœ…
3) forces russia to send fighters & helicopters forward
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to compensate for russia's lack of ground forces in Kursk, which gives Ukrainian anti-aircraft units ample opportunities to shoot down russian aircraft โœ…
4) Ukrainian troops continuously maneuvering / advancing, while disrupting russian communications through the use of EW,
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Jun 22, 2024 โ€ข 5 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
#TheAcolyte - SPOILERS!

The vicious online reaction to The Acolyte shows, that right-wing "media critics" are film-illiterate grifters, who latch onto even the most minuscule line to disparage each episode. All to confirm their delusion that media involving #LGBTQ & colored
1/5 Image creators are an attack on the "white male", who they pretend to be the true arbiter of "culture".

@Lucasfilm even gave a hint in the first line of the first trailer that this is a #Rashomon style story. This didn't stop these "critics" to complete lose it after the first
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Jun 14, 2024 โ€ข 5 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
1ร— frigate
1ร— submarine
1ร— oiler
1ร— tug to tow the above home when they break down

The russian ships were shadowed by:
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธLos Angeles-class attack submarine USS Helena
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธArleigh Burke-class destroyers USS Donald Cook & USS Truxtun
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆHalifax-class frigate HMCS Ville de Quรฉbec
1/2 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธLegend-class cutter USCGC Stone
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ1ร— P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft

And in case the russians would have done something funny: there are some additional 50+ P-8A Poseidon at Naval Air Station Jacksonville, which is also home to the 159th Fighter Squadron, which
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May 18, 2024 โ€ข 4 tweets โ€ข 1 min read
For 20 years war criminals from Karabakh had Armenia in their iron grip. In 2018 they were forced by the people to allow free elections and the democratic opposition won 70% of the vote, while the Karabakh criminals' party lost 90% of its votes and did not enter parliament.
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Aftet the disastrous defeat in the 2nd Karabakh war, the Karabakh clans demanded a snap elections, got it, and were crushed again with the democratic and pro-peace forces of Pashinyan receiving 54% and the two let's-have-more-Karabakh-wars parties at 26%.
Now, as Pashinyan is
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Apr 28, 2024 โ€ข 12 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
How to do mobilization for war in the perfect way: the @USArmy in #WWII:

When Germany invaded Poland the US Army consisted of just 6ร— divisions (1st ID, 2nd ID, 3rd ID, 1st CAV, Hawaiian Division, Philippine Division).
1/12 Image In October 1939 the Army added the 5th ID and 6th ID. Afterwards the US Army fielded 8ร— divisions.

After the Germans invaded France with 141ร— divisions, the US Army activated another 4ร— infantry (4th, 7th, 8th, 9th) and 2ร— armored (1st, 2nd) divisions.

Total: 14ร— divisions.
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Apr 25, 2024 โ€ข 5 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Today Germans found out that raising and stationing a Panzerbrigade in Lithuania will cost up to โ‚ฌ11 billion...

Of course, because if you devastate your military for 30 years and create gaps in personnel, materiel, etc. it costs MORE to rebuild than it would have cost to
1/5 Image maintain your military. Germany between 1989 and 2024 reduced its battalions (active and reserve) by the following %:

CBRN Defense -63,64%
Artillery -92,68%
Reconnaissance -45,45%
Paratroopers -66,67%
Signals -66,67%
Air Defense -100,00%
Gebirgsjรคger -25,00%
Panzer -91,76%
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Apr 19, 2024 โ€ข 8 tweets โ€ข 3 min read
The air defense of a large country is difficult.

People have forgotten the insane density (and cost) of NATO's Cold War SAM belts.

In Germany alone the HAWK belt consisted of (from North to South):
โ€ข 24ร— German
โ€ข 12ร— Dutch
โ€ข 8x Belgian
โ€ข 35ร— US Army
โ€ข 12ร— German

1/8 Image HAWK sites, each of which was filled with radars and missile launchers. (Photo: the Dutch HAWK site on Velmerstot in Germany).

Between the SAM belt and the border mobile radars, and short range air defense systems like Gepard, Roland, Chaparral, VADS, etc. as well as mobile
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Apr 2, 2024 โ€ข 17 tweets โ€ข 6 min read
On April Fool's Day the head of the German Navy's Naval Aviation the #Marineflieger joked that the Marineflieger would finally get fighter jets again...

This should NOT be a joke.
This should be a high priority investment for the Bundeswehr.

A thread about ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง:
1/17 Image During the Cold War the West German & Danish navies' tasks were to:
โ€ข prevent the Soviet Baltic, East German & Polish fleets from transiting the Skagerrak
โ€ข prevent Warsaw Pact amphibious landings on the Danish isles

For this the German forces in Schleswig Holstein & the
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Mar 31, 2024 โ€ข 6 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
The Soviet Union was losing the war against Germany.

Only the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US industry saved the Soviets.

In 1941 in seven months of war in the East the Wehrmacht suffered 285,400 irrecoverable losses vs. 3,137,673 irrecoverable Soviet losses. A ratio of 1 to 11 (!).
1/6 Image In the 12 months of 1942 the Wehrmacht suffered 500,700 irrecoverable losses vs. 3,258,216 Soviet irrecoverable losses. A ratio of 1 to 6.5.

BUT from 1941 to 1942 Soviet average monthly losses decreased by 176,700 troops... because US Lend/Lease materiel began to arrive.
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Mar 31, 2024 โ€ข 6 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
About the loss of British combat power:

During the Cold War the British Army was the smallest of the four big (๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น) European NATO armies.

The British Army fielded 13 brigades (+ the Royal Marines' Commando brigade), while Germany fielded 38 and Italy 25 brigades.
1/6 Image France fielded 12 divisions, which each had the strength of 2ร— standard NATO brigades.

But no one complained, because at the time the Royal Air Force was the biggest air force on the continent with some 800+ fighters & bombers. Only France fielded a comparable air force.
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Feb 29, 2024 โ€ข 25 tweets โ€ข 7 min read
Air Force reductions in Europe 1989 - 2024
A look at ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ

Let's start with fighter bases in Germany:
โ€ข left 1989
โ€ข right 2024

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Fighters based in Germany in 1989:

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 156ร— F-16C Falcon, 72ร— F-15C Eagle, 58ร— F-4 Phantom II = 286
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง 96ร— Tornado, 32ร— Harrier GR.3, 32ร— Phantom FGR.2 = 160
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช 312ร— Tornado, 224ร— F-4 Phantom II, 168ร— Alpha Jets = 704
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 54ร— CF-18 Hornet

Total: 1,204 fighters
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Feb 22, 2024 โ€ข 4 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
#Transnistria asking putin to annex it to russia is insane.

The center of Tiraspol, the capital of this russian created fake state, is barely 10km from Ukraine... and there are 0 geographical obstacles between Ukraine and Transnistria.

The six Ukrainian brigades currently
1/4 Image in the Odesa region (20,000+ battle hardened troops) outmatch the approximately 4,000 Transnistrian troops and 1,000 russian troops. And half of the Transnistrian troops are in the north, while half of the russians are on the other side of the Dniester in the city of Bender,
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Feb 19, 2024 โ€ข 4 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
Wrong. The British needed arms and ammo to withstand a German invasion in 1940.

Every British soldier in this photo is equipped with US "surplus war supplies", that Roosevelt allowed to be shipped to the UK on 1 June 1940. Included were: 900 field guns with half a million
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Image shells, 80,000 machine guns and half a million rifles with 125 million rounds. This allowed the UK to build up its forces after the defeat at Dunkirk.

Britain needed US materiel to survive the first two war years. Without this US help Hitler would have taken London.
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Feb 18, 2024 โ€ข 4 tweets โ€ข 2 min read
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Army material based or stored in depots in Europe in 1989 and what is left in 2024 in brackets:

Armor:
โ€ข M1A1 Abrams: 3,189 (0)
โ€ข M2 Bradley: 3,085 (0)

Artillery:
โ€ข (M109A3 & M110A2): 1,320 (M119: 12 & M777A2: 24)
โ€ข M270 MLRS: 288 (32)

1/4 Image Helicopters:
โ€ข Attack (AH-1F & AH-64): 572 (AH-64E: 24)
โ€ข Scout (OH-58C & OH-58D): 597 (0)

US Air Force fighters based in Europe in 1989:
โ€ข A-10 Thunderbolt: 144
โ€ข F-4G Phantom II: 58
โ€ข F-15C Eagle: 96
โ€ข F-16C Falcon: 244
โ€ข F-111E/F Aardvark: 186

Total: 728 fighter.
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