Trent Telenko Profile picture
Mar 21, 2022 11 tweets 6 min read Read on X
This is a truck logistics history🧵that will point back to my "Russian truck fleet is junk in 6-to-8 weeks from operational attrition" startment.

These KamAZ trucks are the newest generation available to Russia.
kamazexport.com
1/
This is a ZIL-131HV truck.

Production of all versions of the ZIL military truck at the Moscow plant ended in 1990.

It is 2022. You are seeing a lot of these in Ukraine.👇
2/
autoweekvirtualgreencarshow.com/the-best-sovie…
You see a couple of dead ZIL trucks with this dead Russian Object 640 Black Eagle tank prototype in these Ukrainian battle damage assessment photos.
3/
reddit.com/r/TankPorn/com…
A 32-to-40 year old, 150 HP engined, Zil truck in a Russian military with no tradition of NCO preventive maintenance is a marginal "bookkeeping" asset at best.

4/
Every war or military conflict since trucks were invented has seen far more trucks go down to operational attrition than combat.

It is easy, one internet search away, real life facts like this that tell me those screaming for "Data" are trolls playing "denial games" w/history
5/
All a good preventive maintenance program with lots of spare parts can do in combat is slow this process down.

The WW2 Red Ball Express ended when the truck fleet fell apart.
6/
historynet.com/red-ball-expre…
The 90 hp Studebaker, Dodge & Chevy trucks of the Red Ball Express had every spare part 1940's Detroit could make over 2-years sitting for them in England.

7/
The 150hp Zil & 300 hp KamAz Trucks in Ukraine simply don't.

The Zil's are just as overloaded as the Kamaz trucks with 1/2 the horsepower trying to keep up on bad Ukrainian roads.

They are redlined/overheated "Zombie Trucks driving."
8/
There is one other thing the Red Ball Express had that Russian trucks in ukraine do not...a supply of gravel to repair roads.

US Army Corps of Engineers dug gravel pits right off the Normandy beaches to provide the trucks of what became Red Ball Express road repair gravel
9/
... before it was needed.

It is the small details that a logistical staff officer, with a stubby pencil and ledger paper spent hours grinding out in the UK, that made the Red Ball Express' success happen.

And what the trucks of the Russian Army in Ukraine lack today.

10/end
Statement, not startment, darn it!!!

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Trent Telenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @TrentTelenko

Jul 3
The use of crippled/wounded Russian men as soldiers is not the only or even the most important indicator that Russia has hit the mobilization wall⬇️

Nor are female prisoners, foreign mercs or DPRK soldiers.

Russia is now deploying Hitlerjugend-esque child-soldiers.

Wall🧵
1/
This trial use of 17 year olds by Putin reported by Ukraine's Center for National Resistance (CNR) closely mirrors the Hitlerjugend Division of the Waffen SS in the Normandy summer of 1944.

The end game of this desperation measure...

2/
ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/388…
...in Feb/Mar 1945 was the Waffen SS using 14 year old kids.

Per the CNR Report:

"Currently, Russia is actively recruiting members of patriotic movements, in particular, the network of military education centers "Warrior" and "Yunarmiya" (Young Army). Teenagers aged 17

3/ Image
Read 15 tweets
Jul 3
There are two thing here that are important.

The use of a 73mm BMP-1 gun as artillery is as good an indication Russian traditional tube artillery is 'supply constrained' as you want to find.

The prime mover shown is even more important.

RuAF systemic logistical collapse🧵
1/
It tells us that Russian motor transport fleet is in worse shape than its tube artillery park.⬇️

It's a visual confirmation of a general motor transport shortage telling us why cholera outbreaks are happening to Russian troops along the Dnipro.

2/ Image
Russia motor transport can't deliver enough fresh water to front trenches.

The latest @AndrewPerpetua video kill list of Russian motor transport shows three tactical trucks, four civilian cars, no Loaf/Scooby vans, one ATV and 25 motorcycles.

3/
Read 13 tweets
Jul 1
The increased Ukrainian use of barbed wire tracks with the appearance of Russian "Motorcycle Dragoon's."

1/
And this post⬇️

The late Cold War Soviet Army, which both the Ukrainian & Russian Armies stem from, had a cultural aversion to barbed wire.

Russian "Motorcycle Dragoon's" seem to have cured the Ukrainian Army of this.

3/3
Read 4 tweets
Jun 29
The timeless, and refused to be recognized by Western Intelligence, realities of Russian Army logistics:

Mobik animal labor moving and removing ammunition from wooden boxes with wet and splinter-ridden hands.

And it has been that way for centuries.

Logistical intel🧵
1/
Image
Each of these "field depots" takes a Mobik work crew a lot of time to unload vehicles.

The time and numbers required to create this ammo depot is detectable by drones.

Because the Russian Army doesn't have pallets and forklifts.

2/
This is how Ukraine gets its military logistics from NATO.

Highly advanced mechanized logistics is easy to spot, assuming you look for it.

3/
Read 19 tweets
Jun 29
We have a new generation of Russian Forward/Leading Edge Conveyor (TPC in Russian) motor transport being deployed in Ukraine .

These things are important motor transport infrastructure for the Russians that Western intelligence pretends doesn't exist.

Logistical intel🧵
1/
A TPC is essentially a small two-wheel engine with handlebars pulling a cart.  This was a key piece of transport in Russian infantry units as it does distribution to the front lines from a tactical truck.

I did a thread on it here:

2/
Image
It is a small and slow transport, requiring zero skill, that a below average for conscripted mobik IQ individual could use to transport up mortar ammo and water - both are heavy and bulky - and Casevac

New, faster, generations are being fielded in the face of the FPV threat.

3/ Image
Read 15 tweets
Jun 27
Yes, I've been looking for Russian train derailments that could be attributed to lack of foreign roller bearing for a while.

Now there may be one where I expected they would show up first.
1/
Something I've been expecting to see since September 2022 in fact.

See that post below:

2/
Is there reason to think about roller bearing failures now?

Yes there is.

Look at the map below.

3/

Image
Read 9 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(