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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Mar 21, 2022 • 11 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
This is a truck logistics history🧵that will point back to my "Russian truck fleet is junk in 6-to-8 weeks from operational attrition" startment.

These KamAZ trucks are the newest generation available to Russia.
kamazexport.com
1/
This is a ZIL-131HV truck.

Production of all versions of the ZIL military truck at the Moscow plant ended in 1990.

It is 2022. You are seeing a lot of these in Ukraine.👇
2/
 autoweekvirtualgreencarshow.com/the-best-sovie…
You see a couple of dead ZIL trucks with this dead Russian Object 640 Black Eagle tank prototype in these Ukrainian battle damage assessment photos.
3/
 reddit.com/r/TankPorn/com…
A 32-to-40 year old, 150 HP engined, Zil truck in a Russian military with no tradition of NCO preventive maintenance is a marginal "bookkeeping" asset at best.

4/
Every war or military conflict since trucks were invented has seen far more trucks go down to operational attrition than combat.

It is easy, one internet search away, real life facts like this that tell me those screaming for "Data" are trolls playing "denial games" w/history
5/
All a good preventive maintenance program with lots of spare parts can do in combat is slow this process down.

The WW2 Red Ball Express ended when the truck fleet fell apart.
6/
 historynet.com/red-ball-expre…
The 90 hp Studebaker, Dodge & Chevy trucks of the Red Ball Express had every spare part 1940's Detroit could make over 2-years sitting for them in England.

7/
The 150hp Zil & 300 hp KamAz Trucks in Ukraine simply don't.

The Zil's are just as overloaded as the Kamaz trucks with 1/2 the horsepower trying to keep up on bad Ukrainian roads.

They are redlined/overheated "Zombie Trucks driving."
8/
There is one other thing the Red Ball Express had that Russian trucks in ukraine do not...a supply of gravel to repair roads.

US Army Corps of Engineers dug gravel pits right off the Normandy beaches to provide the trucks of what became Red Ball Express road repair gravel
9/
... before it was needed.

It is the small details that a logistical staff officer, with a stubby pencil and ledger paper spent hours grinding out in the UK, that made the Red Ball Express' success happen.

And what the trucks of the Russian Army in Ukraine lack today.

10/end
Statement, not startment, darn it!!!

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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
May 14
What Ms. Tchakarova is referring to here Russian Reflexive Control information warfare techniques.

I've talked about it quite a bit during the Russo-Ukrainian War and how adherents of "Escalation Management" like @jacksullivan46 and Chancellor Scholz have been captured by it
1/
@PhillipsPOBrien had a nice substack column about the effectiveness of Russian Reflexive Control back in March of this year.

2/
This particular passage from Timothy L. Thomas 2004 paper on the subject shows how Russia's Reflexive control infowar mapped & fed to each specific US tribal & professional demographic the data to get the message Russian wants those groups to believe.
3/
Read 10 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
May 13
This explains the "Imperial Japanese Army at Saipan" behavior of wounded Russian soldiers killing themselves with grenades to prevent capture by Ukrainians.

Russian Mobiks are being ideologically conditioned to kill themselves, like IJA troopers were in WW2.

Russian Death Cult🧵
1/
There are multiple videos like this Russian ideological self-harm conditioned behavior surfacing.

2/
This ideological conditioning is being reinforced to Russian troops by their commanders.

3/
Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
May 6
There are still Western military officers -- including most flag ranks -- watching videos like the one below and denying FPV and other cheap DJI drones have fundamentally changed the way wars on the ground are fought.

Drone War🧵
1/7
A year ago Ukraine had 10,000 drone operators, one per 100 troops

It has trained far more since then.

In fact, the AFU has created a military drone branch co-equal to infantry and artillery branches.

2/7
In some forward areas there are now as many Ukrainian drone operators as infantry because FPV drones have all but replaced crew served infantry weapons.


3/7
Read 8 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
May 5
The people on X saying Ukraine couldn't use ATACMS in the counter-battery role against Russian tactical ballistic missiles were shills, toadies, and trolls.

No one who was at all reality-based would have said anything so stupid.

"WHEN THE GODS OF ARTILLERY MAKE A POINT"🧵
1/
2016 article at the link titled in english "WHEN THE GODS OF ARTILLERY MAKE A POINT" makes clear Ukraine had a very tight intelligence/surveillance/reconnaissance kill chain between its Spetsnaz and it's Tochka-U TBM & 300mm MLRS batteries.

2/
 petrimazepa.com/goddot.html
These Spetsnaz teams spotted 120km Tochka-U & 90 km Smersh fire strikes to clear a "Fire corredor" maneuver lane for these OMG operations during the 2014-2015 ATO.

This was pre-ATO (2014) Ukrainian military doctrine used during the ATO.

3/

Image
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Read 5 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
May 4
What this Russian chemical feedstock for explosive production supply issue @Schizointel tells us about in his post below...⬇️

Russian Explosive Supply Chain🧵
1/
...means that the Russian TogliattiAzot ammonia production facility just became a priority target for Ukraine's OWA-drone strategic bombing campaign.

The distance by car between Kharkiv, Ukraine and Tolyatti, Russia is 982 km.

2/
Image
It's less by air for a Ukrainian OWA-drone.

And since it was made with Western loans, there is insurance data in the West detailing the lay out of the plant for precision OWA-Drone strikes.

That's an example of the weakness of Soviet Union/Russian "one big plant" industrial infrastructure.

3/3
 [H/T @CovertShores for the AFU Drone infographic]Image
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
May 2
Just...Finally!!!

Russian electrical railway substations are the key transportation infrastructure powering 70% of Russia's freight & passenger locomotives.

This is hard to replace long lead item (months) electrical infrastructure.

AFU Strategic Bombing 🧵
1/

Image
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Systematic targeting of these electrical facilities powering the railways within 200 km of Ukraine's 1991 border with Russia will logistically isolate the RuAF frontline units in Ukraine from 70% of rail supply.

Map H/T @Textyorgua_Eng
2/
 en.defence-ua.com/news/ukrainian…
Image
Russia simply lacks the low level integrated air defenses after two years of attrition in occupied Ukraine to prevent this.

_IF_ Ukraine goes after this target set with a will.

3/
Image
Read 8 tweets

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