Wonderful article by Eliot Cohen in The Atlantic: "Why Can’t the West Admit That Ukraine Is Winning?"
Indeed, why is this irrational nonsense allowed to dominate the US "analysis"? Cohen offers many good answers.
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
Indeed, why is this irrational nonsense allowed to dominate the US "analysis"? Cohen offers many good answers.
theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…
"Analysts and commentators have grudgingly declared that the Russian invasion of Ukraine has been blocked, and that the war is stalemated. The more likely truth is that the Ukrainians are winning.
So why can’t Western analysts admit as much?"
So why can’t Western analysts admit as much?"
"Most professional scholars of the Russian military first predicted a quick and decisive Russian victory; then argued that the Russians would pause, learn from their mistakes...Their analytic failure will be only one of the elements of this war worth studying in the future."
"...there are few analysts of the Ukrainian military—a rather more esoteric specialty—and thus the West has tended to ignore the progress Ukraine has made since 2014, thanks to hard-won experience and extensive training by the United States, Great Britain, and Canada."
"The Ukrainian military has proved not only motivated and well led but also tactically skilled, integrating light infantry with anti-tank weapons, drones, and artillery fire to repeatedly defeat much larger Russian military formations."
It annoys me the most that the US military "specialists" are not even beancounters, ignoring the numbers: "The Russian army has committed well more than half its combat forces to the fight. Behind those forces stands very little. Russian reserves have no training to speak of"
"Talk of stalemate obscures the dynamic quality of war. The more you succeed, the more likely you are to succeed; the more you fail, the more likely you are to continue to fail. There is no publicly available evidence of the Russians being able to regroup and resupply..."
Eliot Cohen is so obviously right.
The US military analysts who were all wrong in Afghanistan & Iraq are at it with ignorance & arrogance.
Yet, I want to praise three generals: Wesley Clark, Ben Hodges & Philip Breedlove who analyze properly & are on the right side of history.
The US military analysts who were all wrong in Afghanistan & Iraq are at it with ignorance & arrogance.
Yet, I want to praise three generals: Wesley Clark, Ben Hodges & Philip Breedlove who analyze properly & are on the right side of history.
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