‘Yes, He Would’: Fiona Hill on Putin and Nukes politi.co/3400f9r via @politico
Fiona Hill: “There’s lots of danger ahead, she warned. Putin is increasingly operating emotionally and likely to use all the weapons at his disposal, including nuclear ones.”
Completely wrong.
2/“Putin is acting emotionally” is her whacked irrational theory likely fueled by her own emotion. It’s impossible for her to know that. The entire Western narrative is unmoored from reality, which is that Putin’s endgame is a neutral Ukraine, and the last thing he’ll do is
3/trigger Article 5 or launch a nuke. Her remarks in my view just shred all her credibility. Putin’s an ultra-rational chess player who thinks 8-9 moves ahead, and a black belt in Judo, and has proactively taken action to wrest the security guarantee he’s asked NATO to address
4/ever since his 2007 Munich Speech out of an ever-expanding NATO’s refusal to provide such. NATO’s missiles in Ukraine are as unthinkable to Putin as Russian missiles in Cuba were to JFK.
ALL. PUTIN. IS. DOING. IS. PREEMPTIVELY. ENSURING. A. UKRAINIAN. MISSILE. CRISIS. NEVER.
5/HAPPENING. Hill probably believes that Putin’s mother dropped him when he was a baby, which somehow explains everything. We’ll probably see more hypersonics taking out weapons & foreign fighters and Ukraine suffering a “death by a thousand cuts”. The insane part is this: The
6/disconnect from reality Hill & most media & analysts exhibit is the oxygen that breathes life into their illusion that Putin is a madman bent on rebuilding the Russian Empire. No, he’s not & in fact he’s even said the Russian Federation has accepted 1992 and has consolidated
7/itself to the new reality. But reality is the last thing someone like Hill wants to accept b/c it shoots down her theory (which generates income for people like her who write books pushing their theories). They believe after Ukraine the Baltics are next, then Romania & Hungary.
8/They want to draw a comparison b/t Putin & Hitler but here’s the irony: Western Ukrainians, led by Stephan Bandera, were GERMAN COLLABORATORS in WW2 who saw the Nazis as their liberators from the Russians. They committed atrocities - war crimes - against
9/Poles, Jews & Russians. The Organization of Ukrainian Nationalists (OUN) emulated the Nazis and its descendants are Azov Battalion, which sports Swastikas, Right Sector & other Neo-Nazi nationalist groups who see Ukrainians as a pure race. This is
10/the truth about Ukraine’s history, past and present. Truth naturally is the enemy of propaganda. Putin’s denazification operation is aimed precisely at these extreme right Neo-Nazi groups whom Putin says has hijacked the Ukrainian people. Azov Battalion
11/is based in Mariupol. Why do you think the fighting is so intense there? The media, news anchors & analysts have absolutely no understanding of what Putin is doing and freely proffer speculation clothed as journalism. Rational analysis & logical reasoning gave flown the coop.
12/So all Putin wants is for Ukraine to agree to the six conditions in this terms of cease-fire 👇. It’s real simple. He doesn’t want to absorb Ukraine b/c he doesn’t want NATO on his borders. He’s not going to attack other countries or launch nukes.
13/By forcing the issue of Ukraine’s neutrality Putin is fortifying Russia’s national security against NATO. It’s just between Russia and Ukraine.
It’s like Liam Neeson in Taken saying: “It was all personal to me.” Russia-Ukraine relations are personal
14/to Vladimir Putin. I’d see any sharp freshman student would understand these things. Fiona Hill is living in a bubble of non-reality constructing castles in the air that have no bearing down here in the real world.
The straw that broke the camel’s back and pushed Putin too far 👇:
Ukraine–NATO relations en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine%E…
“At the June 2021 Brussels Summit, NATO leaders reiterated the decision taken at the 2008 Bucharest Summit that Ukraine would become a member of the Alliance with the
2/“Membership Action Plan (MAP) as an integral part of the process and Ukraine's right to determine its future and foreign policy, of course without outside interference. NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg also stressed that Russia will not be able to veto Ukraine's
3/“accession to NATO "as we will not return to the era of spheres of interest, when large countries decide what smaller ones should do."”
Zelensky is now caught b/t Scylla and Charybdis, b/t a Russian invasion bent on making Ukraine neutral and NATO’s welcoming Ukraine’s
North Korea last month blamed the Ukraine crisis on the "hegemonic policy" and "high-handedness" of the United States and the West. reuters.com/world/russia-n…
[A correct view. US & NATO pushed Putin too far. Ukraine is Russia’s ‘Cuban missile crisis’.]
2/Plus the DPRK has always had an affinity for Russian culture since its socialist ideology was originally cut from the same cloth as the Soviet Union’s.
3/For the same reasons the US could never allow Russian missiles parked in Cuba, Russia could never allow NATO missiles parked in Ukraine. The Belarus Agreement put Ukraine on a track to NATO membership. Putin has risked war to nip this existential threat
Germany agrees gas deal with Qatar to help end dependency on Russia theguardian.com/world/2022/mar…
“Germany has agreed a contract with Qatar for the supply of liquefied natural gas (LNG) that will help the European country wean itself off its dependency on Russian energy.”
Would be nice if the US could sell LNG to Germany & other countries. Energy security & trade however occupies a low rung on the Biden Admin priorities ladder. At the top: Green New Deal to mitigate the “imminent & existential threat” of climate change.
I mean C’mon, Man. We have to get our priorities straight. Why tap our own vast oil deposits when we can just depend on buying it from Maduro, OPEC & other countries? And if the price goes up, it’s not our fault, it’s “the price of freedom”. And this
A day in the life of the “Ukraine good, Russia bad” two-dimensional world the Neanderthal West is living in: Azov Battalion just executed its own Ukrainian citizens in buses heading out along the humanitarian corridors Russia opened up.
2/Ah yes, the “good guys” whom Brits are leaving home to fight alongside with against the “evil Russians”:
“In 2016, the Azov set up its political wing, the National Corps Party, under the leadership of Andriy Biletsky, an ultra-Nationalist who was a Member of Parliament from
3/“2014 to 2019 and has said on record it is Ukraine’s mission to “lead the white races of the world in a final crusade… against Semite-led Untermenschen [inferior humans]”.”
What’s unclear is where Zelensky stands on Azov Battalion. He has to be aware of the killing. Does he
“When Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a “special military operation” to carry out a “demilitarization” and “denazification” of Ukraine, he appeared to be referring to the neo-Nazi militias such as the Azov, who – with the blessings of the thehindu.com/news/internati…
2/“Ukrainian state – have been at the forefront of Kyiv’s military campaign against the Russia-backed separatist groups. Until the Russian invasion, many in the Ukrainian mainstream viewed the rise of the Azov with concern. After all, they were a law onto themselves and did not
3/“defer to the state — while their military units could operate independent of the Ukrainian chain of command, their street patrol units did not answer to the police, and their defiance of the law went unpunished. But the Russian invasion — belying its stated aim of
Putin Recognizes Donbass Independence as Violence Soars consortiumnews.com/2022/02/21/put…
[Putin waited 8 years for "Kiev [to] implement the 2014-15 Minsk agreements that would have given autonomy to the provinces". But Kiev exhausted his patience.]
2/"Putin had resisted for eight years recognizing the independence of the self-declared republics of Lugansk and Donetsk in the Donbass, insisting instead that Kiev implement the 2014-15 Minsk agreements that would have given autonomy to the provinces, while they remained within
3/"Ukrainian territory.
The decision by Putin effectively declares that the Minsk process is over.
It does not mean at this point, however, that the people of Lugansk and Donetsk are ready to hold a referendum to join Russia or that Moscow is interested in making them part of