In January, Rishi Sunak was the only popular politician in the UK, bucking the near-universal trend for a politician to become more widely disliked as they become better known.
In early February, at the height of partygate, he appeared to hold Boris Johnson’s fate in his hands — and decided not to act.
This week, however, after one of the most widely-panned budgetary statements since George Osborne’s “omnishambles” in 2012, Sunak’s star appears to have finally fallen.
On Wednesday, the cosmetic tax cuts Sunak announced were duly cheered by the Tory benches.
That apparent success soon unravelled. The accompanying Office for Budget Responsibility report was damning.
Rishi Sunak’s Britain was, it wrote, heading for “the biggest fall in living standards since ONS records began in 1956”.
Those on Universal Credit are losing 9 per cent of their income until benefits are increased in line with inflation later this year, pushing many into poverty.
Grillings in the media by Sky and the Today programme, have exposed how unusual the pandemic had been for Sunak.
The decisions he is making are tougher than during the pandemic — Rishi Sunak has to disappoint someone now.
It is not clear, in any case, that the Chancellor has a clear and compelling vision for the type of state he wants to craft.
By attempting to balance the books, fund the state and lower taxes when only two out of the three are possible Sunak risks satisfying no one.
What Sunak lacks is clarity of mission. Read more about the Chancellor’s turbulent week here.
🧵 The powerful closing paragraphs of @Anoosh_C's story, Bust Britain. 🧵
“Collapsing councils are a microcosm of the British state’s failings: austerity, short-termism, Treasury myopia and decades of failure to solve the so-called wicked problems of policymaking, such as council tax, planning and our broken social care model. Every block in the Jenga tower appears to be wobbling.
“The NHS is stuck with one in ten jobs vacant, crumbling buildings and equipment, strikes and poor patient outcomes. Welfare is no longer acting as a safety net: the UK now has record levels of long-term sickness at 2.8 million and a system too threadbare to propel people back into work. So depleted are our armed forces that military chiefs mull the return of conscription. Police fail to solve 90 per cent of crimes. And best of luck to anyone who encounters a prison or courtroom.
Today the £4.2bn industry as a whole is in labour crisis.
In recent decades, the children and grandchildren of pioneering Bengali restaurateurs have opted not to join the family business, going instead into professional jobs supported by access to university.
The steady stream of migrants looking to start out in the kitchen and build a successful restaurant has slowed to a trickle, too.
In 2007, 12,000 Indian restaurants were open across the UK. Today there are only 8,500 – and more are closing every week, according to the industry.
What does the reshuffle tell us about the Prime Minister?
Sunak’s hand was forced as he could no longer delay the appointment of a new party chairman.
He has tried to turn Zahawi’s sacking to his advantage by framing the reshuffle as a “100-day reset” of his government, which is mired in crisis due to strikes, scandals and the squeeze on living standards.
Ukraine’s national security adviser, @OleksiyDanilov, speaks to @MacaesBruno about German betrayal, the coming Russian onslaught and why the West is scared.
Read more ⬇️
Danilov shared his thoughts on Germany’s refusal to send Leopard 2 battle tanks to Kyiv, who might eventually replace Vladimir Putin and why Russia wants a “Korean solution” to end the war.
He also spoke about the helicopter crash in Brovary, Ukraine, on 18 January – in which 14 people died, including Ukraine’s interior affairs minister – and whether Russia was responsible.